Nolan Hoffman
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%24.7%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (12%)
CT (8%)
SI (54%)
CU (27%)
FB-1.1 (54%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 6 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 1.35 | 1.24 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 6 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 1.35 | 1.45 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | West Virginia Power | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.46 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | West Virginia Power | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.50 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 2 | 51 | 207 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 5% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 1.0% | 3.53 | 2.99 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 2 | 51 | 207 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 5% | 1.4 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 19.8% | 1.0% | 3.53 | 2.28 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 27 | 119 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 0.9% | 3.62 | 3.06 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 27 | 119 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.0% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 0.8% | 3.62 | 2.73 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 34 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 0.5% | 3.05 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 34 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 3.05 | 2.81 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 44 | 0 | 58 | 273 | 77 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 3.88 | 3.20 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 44 | 0 | 58 | 273 | 77 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 0.7% | 3.88 | 2.76 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 66 | 300 | 83 | 37 | 6 | 6% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 66 | 300 | 83 | 37 | 6 | 6% | 1.3 | 27.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 5.18 | 3.45 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 28 | 0 | 33 | 151 | 38 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 0.8% | 4.32 | 2.94 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 75 | 328 | 82 | 40 | 5 | — | — | 24.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 4.38 | 3.76 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 47 | 197 | 82 | 40 | 5 | — | — | 41.5% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 2.7% | 7.07 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 66 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 61 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 62 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.58 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 58 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 160 | 0 | 170 | 720 | 168 | 94 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.65 | 4.19 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 198 | 111 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.65 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 226 | 5 | 295 | 1299 | 284 | 137 | 15 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 3.87 | 3.24 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 3 | 200 | 881 | 192 | 93 | 10 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 3.87 | 3.24 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nolan Hoffman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 24.7% | 13.1% | 2.5% | — | 4.65 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 128 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 75 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 74 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 73 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.71 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.19 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 363 | 73 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 73 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 73 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 72 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 72 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 72 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 72 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 72 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 72 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 72 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 71 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 71 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 71 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 71 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 23.7% | 13.1% | 1.03 | 4.54 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |