Cody Bolton
P
Houston Astros
+0.1
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.75
FIP4.28
xFIP4.54
SIERA4.55
K%22.1%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%11.8%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL3030
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p4724.8%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p520.310
SL+0.5 (9%)
CT (20%)
SI (14%)
CU (14%)
CH (10%)
FB-0.7 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 9 | 9 | 26 | 108 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13.9% | 9.3% | 1.3% | 3.16 | 3.81 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | 9 | 9 | 44 | 179 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 18.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.65 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 21 | 21 | 102 | 406 | 102 | 30 | 7 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.28 | 3.94 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 14 | 76 | 323 | 82 | 40 | 4 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 3.09 | 3.60 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50 | 2 | 68 | 302 | 69 | 33 | 5 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 4.63 | 3.69 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 50 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 3.56 | 3.76 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 12 | 3 | 25 | 115 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 20.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 4.38 | 2.99 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 3 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 11 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | HOU | 19 | — | 19 | 82 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.56 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 28 | 121 | 30 | 17 | 3 | 24.5% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 5.15 | 3.19 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 27 | — | 27 | 115 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 184 | 60 | 396 | 1681 | 345 | 170 | 34 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.66 | 3.76 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 30 | 200 | 848 | 174 | 86 | 17 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.66 | 3.76 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cody Bolton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.60 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 27 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 83 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.47 | 3.01 | 115 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 80 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 77 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 76 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.95 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.64 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.31 | 3.05 | 227 | 76 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 76 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.48 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 75 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.55 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.6% | .290 | 3.80 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.75 | 2.97 | 230 | 75 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 75 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 75 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 123 | 74 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 74 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.60 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 140 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 15.9% | 13.5% | 0.6% | .301 | 3.38 | 16.6% | 7.1% | 109 | -0.42 | 3.31 | 244 | 73 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 73 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.87 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.86 | 2.78 | 312 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.