Cody Bolton
P
Houston Astros
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 44 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.41
FIP4.39
K%22.0%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p1019.6%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.380
SL+0.5 (10%)
CT (24%)
SI (15%)
CU (12%)
CH (11%)
FB-0.7 (43%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 9 | 9 | 26 | 108 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 13.9% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 3.16 | 3.81 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 9 | 9 | 26 | 108 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 0.9% | 3.16 | 2.83 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | 9 | 9 | 44 | 179 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 100% | 4.9 | 18.6% | 4.6% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 3.65 | 3.87 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | 9 | 9 | 44 | 179 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 100% | 4.9 | 25.1% | 3.9% | 21.2% | 3.4% | 3.65 | 3.30 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 102 | 406 | 102 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 3.28 | 4.36 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 102 | 406 | 102 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.1% | 7.4% | 17.7% | 1.7% | 3.28 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 14 | 76 | 323 | 82 | 40 | 4 | 47% | 2.5 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 1.3% | 3.09 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 14 | 76 | 323 | 82 | 40 | 4 | 47% | 2.5 | 25.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 3.09 | 3.21 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 2 | 68 | 302 | 69 | 33 | 5 | 4% | 1.4 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 1.6% | 4.63 | 3.64 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 2 | 68 | 302 | 69 | 33 | 5 | 4% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 1.7% | 4.63 | 3.48 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.56 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 3.56 | 3.58 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 3 | 25 | 115 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 25% | 2.1 | 20.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 4.38 | 2.99 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 3 | 25 | 115 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 25% | 2.1 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 0.9% | 4.38 | 3.10 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 14 | 4 | 28 | 126 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 2.0 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.53 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | HOU | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | HOU | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 41 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 72 | 313 | 71 | 40 | 10 | — | — | 22.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.84 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 64 | 272 | 71 | 40 | 10 | — | — | 26.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 56 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 51 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 53 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 49 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 192 | 3 | 220 | 961 | 205 | 125 | 28 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.57 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 3 | 200 | 875 | 187 | 114 | 25 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 195 | 62 | 416 | 1768 | 363 | 181 | 39 | 32% | 2.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.75 | 3.88 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 30 | 200 | 851 | 175 | 87 | 19 | 32% | 2.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.75 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cody Bolton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.98 | 21.2% | 8.2% | 119 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 73 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 71 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 69 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 68 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 67 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 67 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 67 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 67 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 66 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 66 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 65 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 65 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 65 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 65 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2025 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 65 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 65 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 64 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 64 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 61 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |