Cody Bolton — OGILVIE

Cody Bolton P Houston Astros

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.36

FIP4.31

K%21.6%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5494.8

Whiff%

p1019.6%

p5523.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.380

SL+0.5 (10%)

CT (24%)

SI (15%)

CU (12%)

CH (11%)

FB-0.7 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	9	26	108	22	8	1	100%	2.9	13.9%	9.3%	4.6%	1.3%	3.16	3.81	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	9	26	108	22	8	1	100%	2.9	20.4%	7.4%	13.0%	0.9%	3.16	2.83	—
2018	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	9	9	44	179	45	7	6	100%	4.9	18.6%	4.6%	14.0%	3.7%	3.65	4.14	—
2018	20	A RAW	West Virginia Power	9	9	44	179	45	7	6	100%	4.9	25.1%	3.9%	21.2%	3.4%	3.65	3.30	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	102	406	102	30	7	100%	4.8	19.7%	8.3%	11.4%	2.6%	3.28	3.89	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	102	406	102	30	7	100%	4.8	25.1%	7.4%	17.7%	1.7%	3.28	2.87	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	30	14	76	323	82	40	4	47%	2.5	22.3%	13.0%	9.3%	1.3%	3.09	3.60	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	30	14	76	323	82	40	4	47%	2.5	25.4%	12.4%	13.0%	1.2%	3.09	3.21	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	2	68	302	69	33	5	4%	1.4	20.2%	10.3%	9.9%	1.7%	4.63	3.66	+0.7
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	2	68	302	69	33	5	4%	1.4	20.2%	10.3%	9.9%	1.7%	4.63	3.66	+0.7
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	2	68	302	69	33	5	4%	1.4	22.8%	10.9%	11.9%	1.7%	4.63	3.48	+0.9
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	48	209	51	20	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	2.4%	3.56	3.73	+0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	48	209	51	20	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	2.4%	3.56	3.73	+0.5
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	48	209	51	20	5	0%	1.0	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.4%	3.56	3.58	+0.6
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	3	25	115	23	11	1	25%	2.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.2%	0.0%	4.38	2.86	+0.5
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	3	25	115	23	11	1	25%	2.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.2%	0.0%	4.38	2.86	+0.5
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	3	25	115	23	11	1	25%	2.1	20.0%	9.6%	10.4%	0.9%	4.38	3.10	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			42	3	62	295	62	38	9	7%	1.5	21.0%	12.9%	8.1%	3.1%	5.66	4.83	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	16	4	30	133	30	15	5	25%	1.9	23.2%	14.7%	8.4%	3.2%	5.16	4.79	-0.1
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	16	4	30	133	30	15	5	25%	1.9	23.2%	14.7%	8.4%	3.2%	5.16	4.79	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	HOU	8	1	10	38	8	1	2	12%	1.2	21.1%	2.6%	18.4%	5.3%	4.66	4.54	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	HOU	8	3	20	95	22	14	3	38%	2.5	23.2%	14.7%	8.4%	3.2%	5.40	4.74	-0.0
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	HOU	8	3	20	95	22	14	3	38%	2.5	23.2%	14.7%	8.4%	3.2%	5.40	4.74	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB MLE	HOU	5	0	5	23	5	3	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	2.7%	4.36	4.31	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	HOU	5	0	5	21	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	2.7%	4.36	4.31	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	35	156	35	18	6	—	—	22.4%	11.4%	11.0%	3.6%	5.03	4.72	-0.1
FULL	28	MLB A+C	HOU	—	—	25	107	35	18	6	—	—	32.6%	16.6%	15.9%	5.2%	6.95	5.33	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	59	0	62	260	55	32	8	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	55	0	58	244	50	30	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.4%	8.2%	3.1%	4.93	5.03	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	55	0	58	245	52	30	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	52	0	55	232	48	29	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.4%	8.2%	3.1%	4.93	5.03	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		155	3	181	796	167	100	24	2%	1.2	20.9%	12.5%	8.4%	3.0%	5.13	4.58	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		172	3	200	881	185	111	27	2%	1.2	20.9%	12.5%	8.4%	3.0%	5.13	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		197	62	418	1775	359	176	37	31%	2.1	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	2.1%	3.73	3.80	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	30	200	850	172	84	18	31%	2.1	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	2.1%	3.73	3.80	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cody Bolton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	20.9%	11.8%	2.7%	—	4.94	20.8%	8.5%	119	+0.28	—	—	—
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	73
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	71
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	70
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	69
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	68
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	68
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	68
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	68
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	68
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	67
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	67
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	67
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	66
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	66
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	66
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	66
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	65
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	65
Peter Tago R 2021 · 3.91 FIP	29	SU	3.91	21.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	207	65
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	20.9%	12.2%	1.12	4.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84