Jacob Hurtubise

LF Nashville Sounds

Age 29 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	MLBCIN	68	.185/.302/.241	2	49	-0.6
2025	27	MLBCIN	15	.083/.267/.083	0	24	-0.3
2026	28	AAAMIL	179	.224/.360/.238	15	49	—	.200/.303/.213
2026	28	AAMIL	100	.317/.434/.463	6	109	—	.279/.364/.419
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBMIL	25	.195/.300/.245	1	64	-0.1
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBMIL	92	.194/.297/.245	4	62	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%91

BB%86

Speed84

Whiff%76

Z-Con%59

K%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPatrick Biondi (age 27) · Terrance Gore (age 28) · Coby Smith (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .300 / .245

PA25

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO45

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

807.9%

xAVG

100.187

POWER25

Avg EV

1084.0

Bat Spd

1066.4

EYE60

Chase%

8025.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

3726.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	414	332	94	12	3	0	58	73	17	39	10	283	412	337	750	54	360	18	14	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	156	39	2	2	1	23	41	12	16	3	250	387	308	695	58	330	21	12	327	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	137	100	39	4	0	1	29	14	5	12	3	390	545	460	1.005	70	437	10	21	452	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	318	242	74	7	10	6	48	49	19	33	6	306	450	492	942	186	360	15	15	413	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	109	90	24	4	0	0	16	23	1	11	0	267	380	311	691	44	353	21	15	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	54	10	1	1	0	6	18	3	2	0	185	302	241	542	56	270	26	9	243	49	-4	+0	+0	-3	+1	-0.6
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	234	192	52	5	2	2	31	43	6	15	1	271	385	349	734	78	340	18	13	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	286	333	643	976	357	273	13	0	419	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	83	267	83	350		167	40	7	205	24	-1	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	207	150	24	4	1	0	33	38	13	13	0	160	354	200	554	40	207	18	16	273	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	179	147	33	2	0	0	26	42	5	15	2	224	360	238	598	14	314	23	15	293	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	100	82	26	4	4	0	13	16	4	6	1	317	434	463	898	146	388	16	13	399	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	83	66	11	1	1	0	7	24	5	2	0	167	295	212	507	45	256	29	8	236	46	-5	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	414	353	83	10	3	0	40	100	17	39	10	235	341	280	622	45	317	24	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	164	39	2	2	1	15	49	12	16	3	238	346	293	638	55	317	25	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	137	108	40	4	0	1	21	17	5	12	3	370	493	435	928	65	408	12	15	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	318	264	72	7	8	5	30	62	19	33	6	273	387	417	803	144	323	19	9	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	54	10	1	1	0	6	18	3	2	0	185	302	241	542	56	270	26	9	241	49	-4	+0	+0	-3	+1	-0.6
2024	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	234	206	51	5	2	1	19	52	6	15	1	248	329	306	635	58	318	22	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	3	1	1	0	286	333	643	976	357	220	20	0	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	83	267	83	350		167	40	7	203	24	-1	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	207	164	25	4	1	0	21	46	13	13	0	152	298	189	487	37	191	22	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	179	155	31	2	0	0	18	50	5	15	2	200	303	213	516	13	289	28	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	100	86	24	4	4	0	8	20	4	6	1	279	364	419	782	140	338	20	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	414	353	83	10	3	0	40	100	17	39	10	235	341	280	622	45	325	24	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	414	332	94	12	3	0	58	73	17	39	10	283	412	337	750	54	360	18	14	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	164	39	2	2	1	15	49	12	16	3	238	346	293	638	55	330	25	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	156	39	2	2	1	23	41	12	16	3	250	387	308	695	58	330	21	12	327	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	564	467	138	13	10	7	63	98	25	56	9	296	407	411	818	116	357	17	11	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	564	432	137	15	10	7	93	86	25	56	9	317	459	447	906	130	378	15	16	405	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	317	274	64	7	3	2	25	72	10	18	1	234	320	303	623	69	308	23	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	317	260	66	8	3	3	37	63	10	18	1	254	366	342	708	88	323	20	12	320	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	222	176	26	4	1	0	22	52	15	13	0	148	296	182	478	34	203	23	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	222	162	25	4	1	0	34	44	15	13	0	154	347	191	539	37	205	20	15	268	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	242	55	5	4	0	26	70	9	21	3	227	325	281	606	54	318	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	279	229	59	6	4	0	39	58	9	21	3	258	386	319	705	61	343	21	14	331	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	414	354	83	10	3	0	40	100	17	39	10	234	341	280	621	45	317	24	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	165	39	2	2	1	15	49	12	16	3	236	346	291	636	55	317	25	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	564	471	138	13	10	7	63	98	25	56	9	293	407	408	815	115	349	17	11	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	317	279	64	7	3	2	25	72	10	18	1	229	320	297	618	68	303	23	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	222	183	26	4	1	0	22	52	15	13	0	142	296	175	471	33	189	23	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	242	55	5	4	0	26	70	9	21	3	227	325	281	606	54	307	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	317	279	64	7	3	2	25	72	10	18	1	229	320	297	618	68	303	23	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	222	183	26	4	1	0	22	52	15	13	0	142	296	175	471	33	189	23	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	242	55	5	4	0	26	70	9	21	3	227	325	281	606	54	307	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIL	10%	317	273	54	8	3	0	30	76	11	15	4	198	302	250	552	52	269	24	9	262	64	-14	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	25	22	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	195	300	245	545	50	265	24	8	260	64	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIL	27%	338	293	58	8	3	1	31	82	11	13	4	197	299	249	548	53	267	24	9	260	62	-15	+1	-2	-4	+7	-1.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIL	27%	92	80	15	2	1	0	9	22	3	4	1	194	297	245	541	51	263	24	10	258	62	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	175	146	26	3	2	0	16	46	8	6	1	178	294	226	520	48	257	26	9	247	82	-9	+1	-0	-7	+4	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	542	96	11	7	0	59	171	30	22	4	177	293	223	516	46	256	26	9	247	82	-35	+3	-1	-25	+14	-4.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2578	2185	505	55	28	11	245	583	108	188	33	231	338	297	635	66	307	23	10	290	82	-31	+3	-1	-12	+15	-2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	551	128	14	7	3	62	147	27	47	8	232	339	299	639	67	309	23	10	290	82	-30	+3	-1	-12	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Hurtubise (OGILVIE)	29	35	25	60	60	196/300/248	52	269	0	12	24%	9%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	232/291/290	58	306	3	29	24%	7%	67	-1.1	216/282/277	61	303	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	195/268/219	24	285	0	37	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Terrance Gore 2019 · AAA	28	42	35→30	63→70	41	201/255/252	52	276	3	41	27%	6%	45	-2.7	208/282/290	82	312	5	43	32%	8%	65	-1.2	202/301/280	78	308	0	73	30%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Coby Smith 2009 · AAA	28	47→46	38→40	53→60	49	222/288/299	78	261	5	23	17%	7%	69	-0.9	220/272/310	90	251	8	26	15%	6%	65	-1.2	217/263/299	82	240	8	36	13%	5%	55	-1.6
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	46→56	37→40	63→65	47	218/290/293	75	295	5	38	26%	8%	68	-1.0	220/288/286	66	297	4	33	25%	8%	65	-1.2	221/288/272	51	300	3	37	25%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→57	36→30	58→60	42	230/277/293	63	301	3	38	24%	6%	62	-1.4	222/276/300	78	282	5	24	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/268/269	57	262	3	24	19%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Pete Orr 2008 · MLB	29	48→45	39→45	52→55	42	230/268/319	89	289	5	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	225/268/335	110	278	7	20	21%	4%	69	-0.9	221/264/336	115	269	8	23	20%	4%	65	-1.0
✕Brandon Chaves 2009 · AA	29	46→49	36→30	52→50	47	215/278/281	66	276	4	16	22%	7%	60	-1.6	204/271/272	68	254	4	11	20%	8%	56	-1.9	185/261/232	47	228	2	8	18%	8%	40	-2.2
✕Zach Davis 2022 · AAA	28	46→51	37→30	58→65	41	216/274/285	69	308	5	34	30%	6%	60	-1.6	217/286/287	70	322	4	41	31%	7%	65	-1.2	220/297/258	38	327	0	78	30%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Johnny Davis 2019 · AAA	29	49→54	36→30	59→65	38	228/269/293	65	322	4	32	29%	5%	59	-1.7	229/273/307	78	305	5	41	25%	5%	63	-1.3	236/277/299	63	310	4	58	24%	4%	61	-1.2
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	41→45	56→60	40	200/250/301	100	262	9	27	27%	5%	55	-2.0	213/271/335	122	269	12	21	25%	6%	70	-0.8	195/265/342	147	221	16	30	20%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Johnny Raburn 2008 · AAA	29	50→56	36→30	56→55	50	234/293/300	66	284	2	23	18%	7%	70	-0.9	217/275/285	68	258	4	15	16%	7%	59	-1.6	212/271/272	60	248	3	13	15%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2019 · AAA	29	46→51	39→40	53→60	43	215/283/303	88	309	6	23	30%	7%	68	-1.0	215/278/335	120	331	11	16	36%	7%	74	-0.6	179/240/301	123	291	11	16	40%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/285/307	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	69	-0.9	195/248/294	99	291	8	34	33%	6%	52	-2.2	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕Jonathan Diaz 2014 · AAA	29	47→48	36→30	49→50	51	220/298/281	61	274	4	14	20%	8%	68	-1.0	204/277/268	64	254	3	10	20%	8%	58	-1.7	191/272/239	49	239	3	6	20%	9%	47	-1.5
✕Errol Robinson 2024 · AAA	29	44→49	36→40	51→55	43	204/274/268	65	312	4	18	34%	8%	57	-1.8	209/272/292	83	308	6	20	32%	8%	61	-1.5	183/247/233	50	273	2	36	32%	8%	36	-1.0
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA	29	39→44	39→40	53→45	50	188/269/274	87	254	6	14	27%	10%	56	-1.9	205/273/292	87	282	5	7	27%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/308	87	310	2	0	27%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	49→53	36→30	57→50	44	226/294/297	71	316	3	17	28%	7%	70	-0.8	238/309/325	87	324	6	16	26%	8%	82	+0.0	245/322/314	69	336	4	16	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	43	35→30	50	49	200/276/259	59	260	2	18	22%	8%	55	-1.9	241/305/313	72	306	4	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	273/335/326	53	340	2	14	19%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Ian Parmley 2018 · AAA	28	50	36→30	52→50	39	232/273/298	66	323	3	17	28%	5%	61	-1.5	228/268/314	86	318	6	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	233/252/294	61	333	0	8	29%	2%	49	-0.5
✕Eric Reed 2008 · MLB	27	50→52	38→40	63→60	38	236/270/320	85	312	3	33	25%	4%	65	-1.2	223/269/308	85	287	6	22	23%	5%	63	-1.4	198/242/217	19	251	0	19	20%	5%	28	-1.0