Eduardo Salazar — OGILVIE

Eduardo Salazar P St. Paul Saints

+0.0 WAR

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 177 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

ERA5.41

FIP4.92

xFIP5.01

SIERA4.74

K%18.1%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%7.8%

IP68

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2026

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4545

FB Velo

p6195.3

Whiff%

p1720.7%

p1015.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.369

SI (40%)

CH-0.7 (1%)

FB-7.8 (67%)

SL-8.5 (32%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL Rojos	12	12	60	239	47	10	1	13.4%	5.2%	0.6%	2.70	2.95	+1.4
2018	20	ROK	Greeneville Reds	11	6	29	129	26	12	5	13.7%	11.6%	5.4%	5.83	6.39	-0.5
2019	21	A	Dayton Dragons	35	11	106	457	81	36	9	13.1%	9.3%	2.7%	3.81	4.66	+0.8
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	20	20	101	421	109	32	6	20.3%	8.8%	1.9%	3.56	3.55	+2.0
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	126	565	111	64	11	15.9%	12.5%	2.4%	5.16	4.63	+1.0
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	44	0	58	283	54	26	5	16.5%	9.6%	1.9%	6.94	3.95	+0.7
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	47	7	78	350	66	32	5	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	3.79	3.61	+1.3
2025	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	64	0	65	317	55	35	11	16.1%	11.3%	3.9%	6.54	5.29	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	6	0	8	37	6	7	1	—	—	—	3.38	—	—
ROS	28	MLB	MIN	12	12	68	285	52	33	9	18.3%	11.7%	3.0%	5.76	5.05	-0.0
2026 Total	28	MLB	MIN	—	—	76	322	58	40	10	18.1%	12.5%	3.0%	5.51	4.51	+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	29	MLB	MIN	12	12	66	279	51	32	8	18.4%	11.5%	3.0%	5.30	5.05	-0.0
2028	30	MLB	MIN	12	12	64	270	49	31	8	18.2%	11.4%	3.1%	5.15	5.09	-0.1
2029	31	MLB	MIN	11	11	62	261	47	30	8	17.9%	11.4%	3.2%	5.13	5.15	-0.1
2030	32	MLB	MIN	59	—	59	250	44	29	8	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	5.19	5.25	-0.2
2031	33	MLB	MIN	57	—	57	239	40	28	8	16.7%	11.7%	3.3%	5.30	5.37	-0.3
2032	34	MLB	MIN	54	—	54	227	36	27	8	16.0%	11.9%	3.4%	5.43	5.51	-0.3
2033	35	MLB	MIN	51	—	51	214	33	26	8	15.3%	12.1%	3.5%	5.57	5.66	-0.4
2034	36	MLB	MIN	47	—	47	200	29	25	7	14.5%	12.4%	3.6%	5.72	5.83	-0.5
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			266	83	632	2798	450	280	66	16.1%	10.0%	2.4%	4.59	4.30	+7.1
/ 200 IP	—			84	26	200	886	142	89	21	16.1%	10.0%	2.4%	4.59	4.30	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Salazar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	18.3%	11.7%	3.0%	—	5.10	18.2%	6.7%	192	+0.05	—	—	—
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	88
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.5%	9.9%	3.3%	.297	3.85	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.93	3.85	102	87
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	17.6%	11.2%	2.8%	.309	5.45	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.87	3.47	160	84
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.87	18.2%	10.2%	272	-0.98	3.45	315	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	83
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	28	SW	4.01	17.2%	8.8%	2.3%	.309	4.10	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.09	3.18	253	81
Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.89 FIP	28	SW	4.89	19.7%	13.0%	3.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	234	81
Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	28	SW	4.45	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.38 FIP	28	SW	5.38	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	80
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.13 FIP	28	SW	4.13	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.06	4.13	265	80
David Goforth R 2026 · 5.10 FIP	28	SW	5.10	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.03	4.06	256	80
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 3.94 FIP	28	SW	3.94	19.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.292	3.68	15.5%	6.9%	16	-0.26	3.68	146	79
Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	79
Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.39 FIP	27	SW	5.39	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	79
Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	17.9%	12.5%	3.1%	.450	3.38	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.47	3.01	115	78
Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.00 FIP	28	SW	4.00	13.8%	10.1%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	78
Eder Llamas R 2027 · 4.85 FIP	29	SW	4.85	12.3%	8.8%	3.1%	.261	3.65	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	77
Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.08	3.70	187	77

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.