Eduardo Salazar
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 177 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141131vR 122
ERA5.30
FIP5.18
K%16.9%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%4.9%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6195.3
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1015.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.369
SI (40%)
CH-0.7 (1%)
FB-7.8 (67%)
SL-8.5 (32%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 12 | 12 | 60 | 239 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 13.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 0.6% | 2.70 | 2.95 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 12 | 12 | 60 | 239 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.7% | 4.2% | 15.5% | 0.4% | 2.70 | 2.25 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Greeneville Reds | 11 | 6 | 29 | 129 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 55% | 2.7 | 13.7% | 11.6% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 5.83 | 6.39 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Greeneville Reds | 11 | 6 | 29 | 129 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 55% | 2.7 | 20.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 5.83 | 4.77 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | 35 | 11 | 106 | 457 | 81 | 36 | 9 | 31% | 3.0 | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.81 | 4.73 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | 35 | 11 | 106 | 457 | 81 | 36 | 9 | 31% | 3.0 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 3.81 | 3.69 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 101 | 421 | 109 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.0 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.60 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 101 | 421 | 109 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.0 | 25.9% | 7.6% | 18.3% | 1.4% | 3.56 | 2.66 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 27 | 27 | 126 | 565 | 111 | 64 | 11 | 100% | 4.7 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.16 | 4.64 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 27 | 27 | 126 | 565 | 111 | 64 | 11 | 100% | 4.7 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 5.16 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 58 | 283 | 54 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 6.94 | 3.89 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 58 | 283 | 54 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | 6.94 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 7 | 78 | 350 | 66 | 32 | 5 | 15% | 1.7 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 1.5% | 3.79 | 3.66 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 7 | 78 | 350 | 66 | 32 | 5 | 15% | 1.7 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 3.79 | 3.47 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 65 | 317 | 55 | 35 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.54 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 65 | 317 | 55 | 35 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 6.54 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 14 | 2 | 19 | 86 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 14% | 1.3 | 13.8% | 16.4% | -2.7% | 1.7% | 5.30 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 50 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 88 | 379 | 62 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 5.30 | 5.13 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.24 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 44 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.24 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 126 | 0 | 136 | 621 | 102 | 68 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.65 | 4.68 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 911 | 150 | 100 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.65 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 274 | 85 | 642 | 2847 | 456 | 288 | 67 | 31% | 2.3 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 4.62 | 4.32 | +8.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 26 | 200 | 886 | 142 | 90 | 21 | 31% | 2.3 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 4.62 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eduardo Salazar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.32 | 16.9% | 4.9% | 128 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 79 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 78 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 77 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 76 |
| Alex Caldera R 2027 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 76 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 76 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 75 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 75 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 75 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 73 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2023 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 73 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 73 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 73 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 73 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 72 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 72 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 72 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 1.20 | 5.28 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |