Eduardo Salazar — OGILVIE

Eduardo Salazar P St. Paul Saints

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 177 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.26

FIP5.11

K%16.6%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6195.3

Whiff%

p1720.7%

p1015.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.369

SI (40%)

CH-0.7 (1%)

FB-7.8 (67%)

SL-8.5 (32%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	12	12	60	239	47	10	1	100%	5.0	13.4%	5.2%	8.1%	0.6%	2.70	2.95	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	12	12	60	239	47	10	1	100%	5.0	19.7%	4.2%	15.5%	0.4%	2.70	2.25	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Greeneville Reds	11	6	29	129	26	12	5	55%	2.7	13.7%	11.6%	2.1%	5.4%	5.83	6.39	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Greeneville Reds	11	6	29	129	26	12	5	55%	2.7	20.2%	9.3%	10.9%	3.9%	5.83	4.77	—
2019	21	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	35	11	106	457	81	36	9	31%	3.0	13.1%	9.3%	3.8%	2.7%	3.81	4.65	—
2019	21	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	35	11	106	457	81	36	9	31%	3.0	17.7%	7.9%	9.8%	2.0%	3.81	3.69	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	101	421	109	32	6	100%	5.0	20.3%	8.8%	11.5%	1.9%	3.56	3.56	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	101	421	109	32	6	100%	5.0	25.9%	7.6%	18.3%	1.4%	3.56	2.66	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	126	565	111	64	11	100%	4.7	15.9%	12.5%	3.5%	2.4%	5.16	4.63	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	126	565	111	64	11	100%	4.7	19.6%	11.3%	8.3%	1.9%	5.16	4.00	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	58	283	54	26	5	0%	1.3	16.0%	8.6%	7.4%	1.8%	6.94	3.85	+0.5
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	58	283	54	26	5	0%	1.3	16.0%	8.6%	7.4%	1.8%	6.94	3.85	+0.5
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	58	283	54	26	5	0%	1.3	19.1%	9.2%	9.9%	1.8%	6.94	3.70	+0.6
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	7	78	350	66	32	5	15%	1.7	17.0%	8.6%	8.3%	1.5%	3.79	3.60	+0.9
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	7	78	350	66	32	5	15%	1.7	17.0%	8.6%	8.3%	1.5%	3.79	3.60	+0.9
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	7	78	350	66	32	5	15%	1.7	18.9%	9.1%	9.7%	1.4%	3.79	3.47	+1.0
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	65	317	55	35	11	0%	1.0	15.6%	10.4%	5.2%	3.7%	6.54	5.11	-0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	65	317	55	35	11	0%	1.0	15.6%	10.4%	5.2%	3.7%	6.54	5.11	-0.4
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	65	317	55	35	11	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.0%	6.3%	3.5%	6.54	5.23	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			64	0	71	344	55	35	9	0%	1.1	16.0%	10.2%	5.8%	2.6%	5.99	4.68	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	19	2	26	111	20	10	2	11%	1.4	16.8%	10.1%	6.7%	2.5%	4.10	4.32	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	19	2	26	111	20	10	2	11%	1.4	16.8%	10.1%	6.7%	2.5%	4.10	4.32	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	MIN	2	2	2	10	1	0	0	100%	0.8	10.0%	0.0%	10.0%	0.0%	27.00	2.26	—
2026	28	A RAW	MIN	2	0	3	12	1	0	0	0%	1.4	8.3%	0.0%	8.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.40	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	MIN	15	0	22	89	18	10	2	0%	1.5	20.2%	11.2%	9.0%	2.2%	2.05	4.05	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.3%	5.3%	2.9%	5.26	5.11	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	33	138	24	13	3	—	—	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	2.0%	4.32	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	63	0	66	280	47	32	9	0%	1.1	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.1%	5.19	5.19	-0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	59	0	62	263	43	30	9	0%	1.1	16.5%	11.4%	5.0%	3.3%	5.25	5.34	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	23	0	24	101	17	11	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.1%	5.19	5.19	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	32	0	34	144	24	16	5	0%	1.1	16.5%	11.4%	5.0%	3.3%	5.25	5.34	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		120	0	130	594	96	63	17	0%	1.1	16.2%	10.7%	5.6%	2.9%	5.64	4.65	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	0	200	915	148	97	26	0%	1.1	16.2%	10.7%	5.6%	2.9%	5.64	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		279	85	650	2872	458	276	67	30%	2.3	15.9%	9.6%	6.3%	2.3%	4.58	4.25	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	26	200	884	141	85	21	30%	2.3	15.9%	9.6%	6.3%	2.3%	4.58	4.25	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Salazar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	16.6%	11.3%	2.9%	—	5.26	16.6%	5.2%	128	+0.15	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	80
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	78
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	76
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	76
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	76
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	75
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	75
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	74
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	74
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	74
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.54	15.4%	4.1%	79	+0.34	4.46	215	73
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	73
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	73
Casey Coleman R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	12.6%	11.4%	1.5%	.349	4.14	18.3%	8.9%	146	-0.18	2.95	306	73
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	16.6%	11.3%	1.20	5.23
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74