Osiris German prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Osiris German P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%21.4%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	15	3	32	131	30	11	0	20%	2.1	15.6%	10.5%	5.1%	0.0%	3.13	3.11	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	15	3	32	131	30	11	0	20%	2.1	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	0.0%	3.13	2.25	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	20	2	32	129	39	9	3	10%	1.6	20.6%	8.7%	11.8%	3.3%	2.56	4.26	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	20	2	32	129	39	9	3	10%	1.6	30.2%	7.0%	23.3%	2.3%	2.56	2.72	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	59	258	90	24	3	0%	1.6	26.3%	10.8%	15.4%	1.6%	3.34	3.15	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	59	258	90	24	3	0%	1.6	34.9%	9.3%	25.6%	1.2%	3.34	1.94	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	54	229	59	17	5	2%	1.2	19.8%	9.4%	10.5%	3.0%	3.02	4.28	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	54	229	59	17	5	2%	1.2	25.8%	7.4%	18.3%	2.2%	3.02	3.06	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	15	0	18	88	15	9	1	0%	1.2	13.8%	11.3%	2.6%	1.1%	5.40	3.97	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	15	0	18	88	15	9	1	0%	1.2	13.8%	11.3%	2.6%	1.1%	5.40	3.97	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	15	0	18	88	15	9	1	0%	1.2	17.0%	10.2%	6.8%	1.1%	5.40	3.65	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.8%	11.7%	3.1%	4.56	4.59	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.8%	11.7%	3.1%	4.56	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	3	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.8%	11.7%	3.1%	4.56	4.21	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	80	27	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.8%	11.7%	3.1%	4.56	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		131	6	195	835	172	84	16	5%	1.5	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	2.0%	3.28	3.71	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	6	200	858	177	87	17	5%	1.5	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	2.0%	3.28	3.71	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Osiris German (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	21.4%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.59	21.5%	11.7%	20	+0.06	—	—	—
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	85
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	84
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	82
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	82
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	82
Greg Aquino R 2005 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	21.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.357	4.34	22.5%	13.3%	62	-0.69	4.10	154	81
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	81
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	81
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	80
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	80
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	80
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	80