Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 9 | 30 | 137 | 36 | 16 | 1 | 75% | 2.5 | 17.9% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 4.85 | 4.00 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 9 | 30 | 137 | 36 | 16 | 1 | 75% | 2.5 | 26.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 0.7% | 4.85 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 12 | 4 | 39 | 181 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 33% | 3.3 | 15.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 3.43 | 4.17 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 12 | 4 | 39 | 181 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 33% | 3.3 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 1.1% | 3.43 | 3.02 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 11 | 66 | 283 | 75 | 35 | 8 | 61% | 3.7 | 20.4% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.69 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 11 | 66 | 283 | 75 | 35 | 8 | 61% | 3.7 | 26.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 6 | 5 | 25 | 117 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 83% | 4.1 | 15.9% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 8.76 | 4.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 6 | 5 | 25 | 117 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 83% | 4.1 | 19.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 8.76 | 4.52 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 16 | 80 | 365 | 78 | 28 | 14 | 73% | 3.7 | 16.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 16 | 80 | 365 | 78 | 28 | 14 | 73% | 3.7 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 3.8% | 5.38 | 4.47 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 3 | 71 | 298 | 69 | 27 | 7 | 8% | 1.9 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 3 | 71 | 298 | 69 | 27 | 7 | 8% | 1.9 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 13 | 0 | 22 | 96 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.82 | 5.87 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 13 | 0 | 22 | 96 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 5.82 | 5.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 87 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 48 | 332 | 1477 | 261 | 166 | 44 | 40% | 2.7 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 4.66 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 29 | 200 | 889 | 157 | 100 | 26 | 40% | 2.7 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Macuare (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 3.4% | — | 4.78 | 20.7% | 11.3% | 24 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 76 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 76 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 75 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 75 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 74 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 74 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 74 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 74 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 74 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 73 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 73 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 73 |
| Ben Sears R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 240 | 73 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 72 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 72 |