Roy Garcia — OGILVIE

Roy Garcia P Peoria Chiefs

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 36 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 104

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%22.2%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	20	0	33	163	28	21	0	0%	1.6	11.7%	16.1%	-4.4%	0.0%	7.44	4.15	—
2017	16	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	20	0	33	163	28	21	0	0%	1.6	17.2%	12.9%	4.3%	0.0%	7.44	3.31	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	33	176	38	42	1	0%	1.8	14.7%	29.8%	-15.1%	0.8%	8.37	6.08	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	33	176	38	42	1	0%	1.8	21.6%	23.9%	-2.3%	0.6%	8.37	4.99	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	14	2	26	133	28	23	2	14%	1.9	14.3%	21.6%	-7.3%	2.1%	8.65	5.78	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	14	2	26	133	28	23	2	14%	1.9	21.1%	17.3%	3.8%	1.5%	8.65	4.60	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	26	111	29	7	1	0%	1.6	20.6%	4.9%	15.6%	1.8%	3.12	3.00	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	26	111	29	7	1	0%	1.6	26.1%	6.3%	19.8%	0.9%	3.12	2.18	—
2022	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	29	1	56	245	71	32	6	3%	1.9	21.4%	15.4%	6.0%	3.6%	5.66	5.23	—
2022	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	29	1	56	245	71	32	6	3%	1.9	29.0%	13.1%	15.9%	2.4%	5.66	3.67	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	64	282	79	35	3	0%	1.5	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	1.2%	4.22	3.74	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	64	282	79	35	3	0%	1.5	28.0%	12.4%	15.6%	1.1%	4.22	2.88	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	31	0	51	230	59	25	6	0%	1.6	19.8%	12.5%	7.3%	3.3%	4.41	4.82	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	31	0	51	230	59	25	6	0%	1.6	19.8%	12.5%	7.3%	3.3%	4.41	4.82	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	31	0	51	230	59	25	6	0%	1.6	25.7%	10.9%	14.8%	2.6%	4.41	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	STL	34	0	36	152	34	16	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.7%	11.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	34	0	35	149	33	16	5	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.61	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	12	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	93	31	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.23	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		172	3	289	1340	246	219	26	2%	1.7	18.4%	16.4%	2.0%	2.0%	5.67	4.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	2	200	928	170	152	18	2%	1.7	18.4%	16.4%	2.0%	2.0%	5.67	4.69	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roy Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	22.2%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.61	22.4%	11.8%	35	+0.01	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	90
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	89
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	89
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	88
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	87
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	86
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	86
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	85
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	85
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	85
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	85
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	85
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	85
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	84
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	84
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	84
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	84
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	84
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	22.3%	10.6%	1.17	4.60
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16