Leonardo Taveras

P Springfield Cardinals

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	A+STL	11	0	20	3.10	2.46	45.2%	9.5%	—	K 34.8% · BB 11.0% · FIP 3.79
2024	25	AASTL	47	0	65	4.27	4.34	23.1%	14.3%	—	K 18.7% · BB 15.7% · FIP 4.59
2025	26	MIX2 levels	28	4	46	6.02	4.39	22.6%	16.3%	—	K 18.8% · BB 16.0% · FIP 4.71
2027PROJ	28	MLBSTL	29	0	30	5.20	5.20	19.6%	14.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSTL	9	0	9	5.19	5.25	19.7%	14.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Thad Weber (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%19.6%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%5.2%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	14	0	19	98	14	20	2	0%	1.3	9.7%	25.5%	-15.8%	2.9%	10.12	7.08	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	14	0	19	98	14	20	2	0%	1.3	14.3%	20.4%	-6.1%	2.0%	10.12	6.21	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	23	0	37	156	44	22	2	0%	1.6	19.2%	17.6%	1.6%	1.8%	2.89	4.70	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	23	0	37	156	44	22	2	0%	1.6	28.2%	14.1%	14.1%	1.3%	2.89	3.21	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	15	85	26	20	0	0%	1.2	30.6%	23.5%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	3.50	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	15	85	26	20	0	0%	1.2	30.6%	23.5%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	3.63	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	46	227	64	54	5	0%	1.1	21.7%	27.4%	-5.6%	2.6%	6.22	6.15	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	46	227	64	54	5	0%	1.1	28.2%	23.8%	4.4%	2.2%	6.22	5.24	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	50	231	77	38	5	0%	1.4	27.3%	17.0%	10.3%	2.4%	5.72	4.26	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	50	231	77	38	5	0%	1.4	33.3%	16.5%	16.9%	2.2%	5.72	3.60	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	11	0	20	84	38	8	3	0%	1.8	34.8%	11.0%	23.9%	4.1%	3.10	3.79	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	11	0	20	84	38	8	3	0%	1.8	45.2%	9.5%	35.7%	3.6%	3.10	2.46	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	47	0	65	308	71	44	7	0%	1.4	18.7%	15.7%	3.0%	2.0%	4.27	4.59	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	47	0	65	308	71	44	7	0%	1.4	18.7%	15.7%	3.0%	2.0%	4.27	4.59	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	47	0	65	308	71	44	7	0%	1.4	23.1%	14.3%	8.8%	2.3%	4.27	4.34	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	4	46	221	50	36	4	14%	1.7	18.8%	16.0%	2.8%	2.1%	6.02	4.71	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	4	46	221	50	36	4	14%	1.7	18.8%	16.0%	2.8%	2.1%	6.02	4.71	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	4	46	221	50	36	4	14%	1.7	22.6%	16.3%	6.3%	1.8%	6.02	4.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	STL	29	0	30	127	25	18	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.4%	5.2%	2.8%	5.20	5.20	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	27	0	29	121	24	17	4	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.19	5.25	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	9	0	9	38	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.19	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.19	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	111	22	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.19	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		211	4	300	1410	306	267	31	2%	1.4	21.7%	18.9%	2.8%	2.2%	5.29	4.88	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	3	200	941	204	178	21	2%	1.4	21.7%	18.9%	2.8%	2.2%	5.29	4.88	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leonardo Taveras (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	19.6%	14.4%	2.8%	—	5.25	19.7%	5.6%	29	+0.05	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	91
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	87
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	86
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	82
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	81
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	80
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	79
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	79
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.6%	14.2%	1.13	5.20
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*