Ronald Bolaños prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Ronald Bolaños P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA5.05

FIP4.89

K%21.0%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP69

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3693.5

Whiff%

p3923.7%

p1013.8%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

CH-0.9

FB-1.1

SL-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	16	11	69	296	51	34	3	69%	4.3	12.8%	13.6%	-0.8%	1.3%	4.41	4.43	—
2017	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	16	11	69	296	51	34	3	69%	4.3	17.2%	11.5%	5.7%	1.0%	4.41	3.66	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	25	23	125	558	118	50	13	92%	5.0	16.3%	10.3%	6.0%	3.5%	5.11	4.94	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	25	23	125	558	118	50	13	92%	5.0	21.1%	9.0%	12.2%	2.3%	5.11	3.76	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	26	150	633	161	65	14	87%	5.0	20.8%	11.3%	9.5%	2.3%	3.96	4.05	+1.5
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	26	150	633	161	65	14	87%	5.0	25.4%	10.3%	15.2%	2.2%	3.96	3.47	+2.6
2020	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	2	2	4	21	2	3	2	100%	1.8	9.5%	14.3%	-4.8%	9.5%	12.27	9.33	-0.2
2020	23	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	2	2	4	21	2	3	2	100%	1.8	9.5%	14.3%	-4.8%	9.5%	12.27	11.55	-0.3
2021	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	15	53	248	54	39	13	83%	3.0	16.9%	16.0%	0.9%	6.1%	6.58	7.02	-1.3
2021	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	15	53	248	54	39	13	83%	3.0	21.8%	15.7%	6.0%	5.2%	6.58	6.44	-0.9
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	4	60	281	46	29	8	11%	1.7	14.9%	10.6%	4.3%	3.2%	5.70	4.92	-0.3
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	4	60	281	46	29	8	11%	1.7	16.4%	10.3%	6.0%	2.8%	5.70	4.75	-0.1
2023	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	16	15	66	331	48	48	8	94%	4.1	12.5%	13.1%	-0.6%	2.6%	8.63	5.12	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	16	15	66	331	48	48	8	94%	4.1	12.5%	13.1%	-0.6%	2.6%	8.63	5.12	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	16	15	66	331	48	48	8	94%	4.1	14.5%	14.5%	0.0%	2.4%	8.63	5.41	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	5	48	221	43	28	7	28%	2.7	19.5%	12.7%	6.8%	3.2%	5.25	4.95	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.0%	12.4%	8.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.89	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	64	272	56	34	9	100%	5.9	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.1%	5.02	5.04	-0.1
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIA	10	10	60	254	51	32	9	100%	6.0	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.22	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIA	4	4	24	101	21	13	3	100%	6.0	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.1%	5.02	5.04	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIA	6	6	33	139	28	17	5	100%	5.5	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.22	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		27	14	105	461	92	58	15	52%	3.9	19.8%	12.6%	7.3%	3.2%	5.15	4.78	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		52	28	200	879	175	111	29	53%	3.8	19.8%	12.6%	7.3%	3.2%	5.15	4.78	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		143	96	527	2368	388	285	72	67%	3.7	16.4%	12.0%	4.3%	3.1%	5.40	4.92	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	36	200	899	147	108	27	67%	3.7	16.4%	12.0%	4.3%	3.1%	5.40	4.92	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronald Bolaños (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	21.0%	12.4%	2.9%	—	5.13	20.3%	7.8%	125	+0.24	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	79
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	70
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	69
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	69
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	68
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	68
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	68
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	67
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	67
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	67
Daniel Gossett R 2022 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.8%	12.4%	2.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	727	66
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	66
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	66
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	66
José A. Váldez R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	29	SP-	4.21	16.8%	10.6%	2.2%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	328	65
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	65
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	65
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	64
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	80	20.3%	12.6%	1.21	5.10
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Justin Grimm ('22)	1.9	75	23.0%	10.1%	1.17	5.10
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88