Seth Corry

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	A+SF	2	2	2	3.86	6.10	7.1%	21.4%	—	K 7.1% · BB 21.4% · FIP 5.21
2023	24	MIX3 levels	16	16	34	5.03	2.78	33.3%	11.5%	—	K 23.7% · BB 15.2% · FIP 4.90
2024	25	MIX2 levels	38	0	62	4.91	3.58	21.1%	13.0%	—	K 16.6% · BB 14.5% · FIP 4.24
2027PROJ	28	MLBSF	7	7	43	4.86	4.86	20.2%	11.8%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSF	2	2	13	4.89	4.94	20.3%	11.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHouston Harding (age 26) · Carlos Teller (age 28) · Tyler Alexander (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%20.2%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	13	10	24	110	21	22	1	77%	1.9	13.0%	25.0%	-12.0%	1.3%	5.55	5.87	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	13	10	24	110	21	22	1	77%	1.9	19.1%	20.0%	-0.9%	0.9%	5.55	4.62	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	38	169	42	17	1	100%	4.2	16.9%	12.6%	4.3%	0.8%	2.61	3.72	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	38	169	42	17	1	100%	4.2	24.9%	10.1%	14.8%	0.6%	2.61	2.57	—
2019	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	27	26	123	508	172	58	4	96%	4.5	25.1%	13.5%	11.6%	0.9%	1.76	3.21	—
2019	20	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	27	26	123	508	172	58	4	96%	4.5	33.9%	11.4%	22.4%	0.8%	1.76	2.14	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	19	19	68	317	100	63	4	100%	3.6	24.3%	22.9%	1.4%	1.5%	5.99	4.77	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	19	19	68	317	100	63	4	100%	3.6	31.5%	19.9%	11.7%	1.3%	5.99	3.71	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	2	2	2	14	1	3	0	100%	1.2	7.1%	21.4%	-14.3%	0.0%	3.86	5.21	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	2	2	2	14	1	3	0	100%	1.2	7.1%	21.4%	-14.3%	0.0%	3.86	6.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	16	34	156	52	18	3	100%	2.1	23.7%	15.2%	8.5%	3.4%	5.03	4.90	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	16	34	156	52	18	3	100%	2.1	33.3%	11.5%	21.8%	1.9%	5.03	2.78	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	16.6%	14.5%	2.1%	1.3%	4.91	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	16.6%	14.5%	2.1%	1.3%	4.91	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	21.1%	13.0%	8.1%	1.1%	4.91	3.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SF	7	7	43	182	37	21	5	100%	6.1	20.2%	11.8%	8.5%	2.9%	4.86	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	7	7	41	174	35	20	5	100%	5.9	20.3%	11.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	2	2	13	55	11	6	2	100%	6.5	20.3%	11.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	55	11	6	2	100%	6.5	20.3%	11.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.56	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	170	93	31	100%	6.0	20.3%	11.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.56	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		124	82	351	1544	330	255	21	66%	2.8	21.4%	16.5%	4.8%	1.4%	3.82	4.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	47	200	879	188	145	12	66%	2.8	21.4%	16.5%	4.8%	1.4%	3.82	4.15	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Corry (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	20.2%	11.8%	2.9%	—	4.94	20.3%	8.6%	41	+0.08	—	—	—
Houston Harding L 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	16.5%	11.2%	2.6%	.268	5.19	12.0%	0.5%	61	+0.65	3.41	239	69
Carlos Teller L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	28	SP-	3.75	13.8%	10.9%	0.8%	.329	4.75	13.3%	3.1%	187	+1.00	3.75	333	68
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	68
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	67
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	66
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	66
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	65
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	64
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	64
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	64
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	64
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	63
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	62
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	62
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	62
Manny Banuelos L 2019 · 5.89 FIP	28	SP-	5.89	18.7%	12.8%	5.0%	.322	2.95	22.9%	12.0%	72	-2.94	2.95	486	62
Rio Gomez L 2023 · 5.24 FIP	28	SP-	5.24	21.6%	11.9%	4.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.54	246	62
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	62
Andy Oliver L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	28	SP-	3.93	19.9%	9.9%	2.3%	.321	7.12	16.6%	2.7%	21	+3.19	3.93	187	62
John Parke L 2023 · 4.35 FIP	28	SP-	4.35	15.5%	10.1%	2.3%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	655	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	20.3%	11.8%	1.16	4.87
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12