Rio Gomez — OGILVIE

Rio Gomez P Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 123

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%21.8%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	13	1	27	115	25	5	0	8%	2.1	14.8%	5.4%	9.3%	0.0%	1.98	2.54	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	13	1	27	115	25	5	0	8%	2.1	21.7%	4.3%	17.4%	0.0%	1.98	1.82	—
2018	23	A MLE	Greenville Drive	7	0	8	36	10	2	2	0%	1.2	27.8%	5.6%	22.2%	5.6%	3.24	4.51	—
2018	23	A RAW	Greenville Drive	7	0	8	36	10	2	2	0%	1.2	27.8%	5.6%	22.2%	5.6%	3.24	4.54	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	70	282	75	23	8	0%	1.8	20.1%	9.4%	10.7%	3.3%	2.20	4.41	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	70	282	75	23	8	0%	1.8	26.6%	8.2%	18.4%	2.8%	2.20	3.43	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	47	195	60	13	4	0%	1.6	25.2%	8.2%	17.0%	2.5%	3.64	3.38	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	47	195	60	13	4	0%	1.6	30.8%	6.7%	24.1%	2.1%	3.64	2.48	—
2022	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	24	2	33	153	41	16	8	8%	1.4	21.7%	11.5%	10.2%	6.2%	6.55	6.15	—
2022	27	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	24	2	33	153	41	16	8	8%	1.4	26.8%	10.5%	16.3%	5.2%	6.55	5.22	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	13	76	345	88	43	14	50%	2.9	21.0%	11.9%	9.2%	4.5%	4.95	5.28	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	13	76	345	88	43	14	50%	2.9	21.0%	11.9%	9.2%	4.5%	4.95	5.28	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	13	76	345	88	43	14	50%	2.9	25.5%	12.5%	13.0%	4.1%	4.95	4.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	BOS	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.7%	11.2%	3.1%	4.71	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	BOS	44	0	46	194	42	21	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.9%	10.6%	3.4%	4.81	4.90	-0.2
2028	33	MLB MLE	BOS	40	0	42	178	38	20	6	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	3.6%	4.97	5.10	-0.3
2027	32	MLB CTX	BOS	16	0	17	72	15	8	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.9%	10.6%	3.4%	4.81	4.90	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	BOS	22	0	23	97	21	11	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	3.6%	4.97	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	0	40	170	36	19	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.1%	10.2%	3.5%	4.90	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	95	30	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.1%	10.2%	3.5%	4.90	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		138	16	262	1126	238	109	41	12%	1.9	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.7%	3.82	4.55	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	12	200	861	182	84	31	12%	1.9	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	3.7%	3.82	4.55	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rio Gomez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	21.8%	10.7%	3.1%	—	5.00	21.4%	10.3%	88	+0.29	—	—	—
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	84
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	80
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	77
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	77
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	76
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	74
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	73
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	72
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	72
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	71
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	71
Mike Dunn L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.6%	6.2%	3.0%	.311	4.63	22.4%	8.9%	85	+0.92	3.71	181	71
Tony Watson L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	21.3%	7.0%	4.0%	.227	3.43	21.4%	16.9%	187	-0.94	2.21	405	70
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	69
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	69
Marc Rzepczynski L 2017 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	18.2%	10.9%	1.5%	.284	5.47	15.5%	1.4%	67	+1.70	2.73	181	69
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	68
Colt Hynes L 2016 · 3.55 FIP	31	SU	3.55	22.3%	4.8%	3.1%	.353	3.75	14.1%	9.5%	56	+0.20	3.42	152	68
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	21.5%	10.9%	1.30	4.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43