Jose Bravo
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 213 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 7 | 6 | 31 | 130 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 86% | 4.4 | 13.1% | 1.9% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 2.90 | 3.42 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 7 | 6 | 31 | 130 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 86% | 4.4 | 19.2% | 1.5% | 17.7% | 1.5% | 2.90 | 2.52 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Astros | 10 | 6 | 35 | 136 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 60% | 3.5 | 13.0% | 0.9% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 2.12 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Astros | 10 | 6 | 35 | 136 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 60% | 3.5 | 19.1% | 0.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 1.71 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 15 | 107 | 428 | 101 | 22 | 12 | 60% | 4.3 | 16.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 3.71 | 4.36 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 15 | 107 | 428 | 101 | 22 | 12 | 60% | 4.3 | 23.6% | 5.1% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.29 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 7 | 68 | 298 | 82 | 19 | 17 | 37% | 3.6 | 21.3% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 5.27 | 5.35 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 7 | 68 | 298 | 82 | 19 | 17 | 37% | 3.6 | 27.5% | 6.4% | 21.1% | 5.7% | 5.27 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 24 | 16 | 108 | 473 | 99 | 34 | 16 | 67% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.49 | 4.73 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 24 | 16 | 108 | 473 | 99 | 34 | 16 | 67% | 4.5 | 20.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 4.49 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 2 | 35 | 167 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 14% | 2.5 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.01 | 5.57 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 2 | 35 | 167 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 14% | 2.5 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.01 | 6.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 2 | 2 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 8.3 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.17 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 27 | 27 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 64 | 32 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 99 | 52 | 384 | 1632 | 274 | 104 | 60 | 53% | 3.9 | 16.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.38 | 4.51 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 27 | 200 | 849 | 143 | 54 | 31 | 53% | 3.9 | 16.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.38 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Bravo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.55 | 22.6% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.31 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | .356 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 141 | +0.16 | 2.93 | 432 | 72 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 70 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 67 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 66 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 65 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 65 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 64 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 64 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 63 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 63 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 63 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 63 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 63 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 62 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 61 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 61 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 61 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 61 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 60 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 60 |