Jose Bravo — OGILVIE

Jose Bravo P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 213 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%21.1%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	7	6	31	130	25	2	2	86%	4.4	13.1%	1.9%	11.2%	2.2%	2.90	3.42	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	7	6	31	130	25	2	2	86%	4.4	19.2%	1.5%	17.7%	1.5%	2.90	2.52	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	10	6	35	136	26	1	0	60%	3.5	13.0%	0.9%	12.1%	0.0%	3.06	2.12	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	10	6	35	136	26	1	0	60%	3.5	19.1%	0.7%	18.4%	0.0%	3.06	1.71	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	15	107	428	101	22	12	60%	4.3	16.4%	6.3%	10.1%	3.2%	3.71	4.29	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	15	107	428	101	22	12	60%	4.3	23.6%	5.1%	18.5%	2.8%	3.71	3.29	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	7	68	298	82	19	17	37%	3.6	21.3%	7.2%	14.1%	6.3%	5.27	5.69	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	7	68	298	82	19	17	37%	3.6	27.5%	6.4%	21.1%	5.7%	5.27	4.77	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	24	16	108	473	99	34	16	67%	4.5	17.0%	7.9%	9.0%	3.9%	4.49	4.81	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	24	16	108	473	99	34	16	67%	4.5	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	3.4%	4.49	4.13	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	35	167	31	16	11	14%	2.5	15.2%	8.3%	7.0%	5.9%	7.01	6.08	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	35	167	31	16	11	14%	2.5	15.2%	8.3%	7.0%	5.9%	7.01	6.08	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	2	35	167	31	16	11	14%	2.5	18.6%	9.6%	9.0%	6.6%	7.01	6.82	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	MIN	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.1%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	3	3	20	84	18	8	3	100%	6.7	20.9%	9.2%	11.7%	3.3%	4.60	4.68	+0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	20.9%	9.2%	11.7%	3.3%	4.60	4.68	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	6	2	1	100%	6.3	21.0%	9.2%	11.7%	3.3%	4.60	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		27	27	200	844	192	64	32	100%	7.4	21.0%	9.2%	11.7%	3.3%	4.60	4.30	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		99	52	384	1632	274	104	64	53%	3.9	16.8%	6.3%	10.5%	3.9%	4.38	4.63	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	27	200	849	143	54	33	53%	3.9	16.8%	6.3%	10.5%	3.9%	4.38	4.63	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Bravo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	21.1%	8.9%	3.1%	—	4.68	20.9%	11.7%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	71
Anthony Bass R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SP-	3.42	23.6%	9.1%	2.1%	.356	3.43	20.7%	14.2%	141	+0.01	2.93	432	71
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	71
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	68
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	67
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	67
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	66
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	66
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	66
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	65
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	65
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	64
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	64
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	63
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	63
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	63
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	63
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	62
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	62