Lisandro Santos prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Lisandro Santos P Somerset Patriots

Age 28 LHP 6'1" / 227 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%22.2%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	4	0	7	29	4	2	0	0%	1.7	13.8%	6.9%	6.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.81	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	4	0	7	29	4	2	0	0%	1.7	13.8%	6.9%	6.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.80	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	20	0	30	148	35	18	0	0%	1.5	16.1%	15.2%	0.9%	0.0%	3.00	3.67	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	20	0	30	148	35	18	0	0%	1.5	23.6%	12.2%	11.5%	0.0%	3.00	2.57	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	15	8	49	229	49	32	0	53%	3.3	14.6%	17.5%	-2.9%	0.0%	4.20	4.08	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	15	8	49	229	49	32	0	53%	3.3	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	0.0%	4.20	3.06	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	7	5	30	123	29	12	1	71%	4.3	16.0%	12.2%	3.8%	1.1%	2.70	3.92	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	7	5	30	123	29	12	1	71%	4.3	23.6%	9.8%	13.8%	0.8%	2.70	2.80	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	50	217	59	37	4	0%	1.4	20.4%	17.6%	2.8%	1.3%	3.75	4.30	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	50	217	59	37	4	0%	1.4	27.2%	17.1%	10.1%	1.8%	3.75	3.99	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	4	66	286	102	36	7	11%	1.8	27.8%	14.3%	13.5%	3.2%	4.09	4.34	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	4	66	286	102	36	7	11%	1.8	35.7%	12.6%	23.1%	2.4%	4.09	3.02	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	33	0	51	218	55	34	3	0%	1.5	20.4%	17.2%	3.3%	1.6%	2.65	4.42	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	33	0	51	218	55	34	3	0%	1.5	20.4%	17.2%	3.3%	1.6%	2.65	4.42	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	33	0	51	218	55	34	3	0%	1.5	25.2%	15.6%	9.6%	1.4%	2.65	3.71	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.2%	12.6%	9.6%	2.9%	4.82	4.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	32	0	34	142	31	18	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.90	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	10	6	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	114	19	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		151	17	283	1250	249	196	17	11%	1.9	19.9%	15.7%	4.2%	1.4%	3.43	4.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	12	200	882	176	138	12	11%	1.9	19.9%	15.7%	4.2%	1.4%	3.43	4.14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lisandro Santos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	22.2%	12.6%	2.9%	—	4.90	22.1%	9.6%	34	+0.08	—	—	—
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	79
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	79
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	78
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	78
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	78
Kelly Wunsch L 2000 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	19.7%	10.8%	1.5%	.261	4.17	17.6%	5.9%	90	+0.52	3.36	175	75
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	75
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	75
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	74
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	74
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	74
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	74
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	74
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	74
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	73
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	73
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	73
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	22.2%	12.6%	1.17	4.83
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76