Lisandro Santos
P
Somerset Patriots
+0.3
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'1" / 227 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.1%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.1%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Braves | 4 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Braves | 20 | 0 | 30 | 148 | 35 | 18 | 0 | 16.1% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.67 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Braves | 15 | 8 | 49 | 229 | 49 | 32 | 0 | 14.6% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 4.20 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | DSL Braves | 7 | 5 | 30 | 123 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 16.0% | 12.2% | 1.1% | 2.70 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 35 | 0 | 50 | 217 | 59 | 37 | 4 | 20.4% | 17.6% | 1.2% | 3.75 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 37 | 4 | 66 | 286 | 102 | 36 | 7 | 27.8% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 4.09 | 4.32 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 33 | 0 | 51 | 218 | 55 | 34 | 3 | 20.4% | 17.2% | 1.6% | 2.65 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 49 | 21 | 6 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 48 | 21 | 6 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 39 | 19 | 6 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 4.90 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 151 | 17 | 283 | 1250 | 249 | 196 | 17 | 19.9% | 15.7% | 1.3% | 3.43 | 4.14 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 12 | 200 | 882 | 176 | 138 | 12 | 19.9% | 15.7% | 1.3% | 3.43 | 4.14 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Lisandro Santos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.50 | 22.8% | 12.8% | 144 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 87 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.07 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.73 | 3.02 | 153 | 86 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.25 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 85 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 83 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 83 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 82 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 81 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.33 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% | .329 | 4.33 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.00 | 2.70 | 230 | 81 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 81 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .242 | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 63 | +0.92 | 3.52 | 126 | 81 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 80 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 78 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.67 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% | .336 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.20 | 3.47 | 160 | 78 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 77 |
| Jordan Mills L 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 210 | 77 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 77 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.58 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 77 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 77 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.58 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.36 | 2.22 | 286 | 77 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.