Colin Holderman
P
Columbus Clippers
+0.2
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.50
FIP4.65
xFIP4.52
SIERA4.20
K%21.3%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%11.0%
IP33
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†6060
FB Velo
p8597.0
Whiff%
p5325.8%
K%
p1014.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.364
FB (54%)
SL (38%)
SI (49%)
CU (8%)
CT-1.5 (1%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 13 | 0 | 19 | 83 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 10.7% | 16.6% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 8 | 7 | 32 | 138 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 4.78 | 4.23 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | 14 | 13 | 61 | 263 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 12.7% | 11.9% | 1.7% | 3.67 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 15 | 2 | 24 | 95 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38 | 0 | 46 | 187 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 3.35 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 24.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.99 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 63 | 1 | 59 | 254 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 25.1% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 3.51 | 3.88 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42 | 1 | 45 | 211 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 6.40 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 6 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 10.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CLE | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 38 | 171 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 23.9% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 5.88 | 3.48 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 24.0% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 22.8% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 257 | 24 | 350 | 1517 | 293 | 158 | 35 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 4.24 | 4.05 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 14 | 200 | 866 | 167 | 90 | 20 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 4.24 | 4.05 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Colin Holderman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.72 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 90 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .301 | 3.94 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | -0.12 | 1.69 | 468 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 70 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .228 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 16.7% | 99 | -0.47 | 2.11 | 300 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 68 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 67 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.33 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .310 | 3.89 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.56 | 2.39 | 332 | 66 |
| Aaron Barrett R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 23.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .246 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 6.4% | 38 | +0.71 | 1.82 | 119 | 66 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.96 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .288 | 5.08 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.12 | 2.55 | 266 | 66 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 66 |
| Gerardo Reyes R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.84 | 26.4% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .320 | 5.92 | 28.1% | 12.5% | 44 | +1.08 | 3.15 | 371 | 65 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 65 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.44 | 2.91 | 210 | 65 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 65 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 64 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 21.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% | .365 | 4.41 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 149 | -0.06 | 2.86 | 596 | 64 |
| Derek Law R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 1.7% | .319 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 12.5% | 212 | -0.29 | 2.51 | 520 | 64 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 64 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 64 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 64 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.