Kenny Rosenberg

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 32 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX3 levels	20	16	79	3.63	4.27	22.4%	10.0%	0.6	K 20.6% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.81
2023	28	MIX2 levels	27	23	133	4.67	3.85	25.2%	10.0%	1.7	K 22.4% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.08
2024	29	MIX2 levels	28	22	139	4.52	5.10	20.6%	7.4%	-0.3	K 18.1% · BB 6.8% · FIP 5.76
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAA	14	14	89	4.81	5.02	17.8%	8.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBLAA	5	5	30	5.02	5.22	17.4%	9.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBLAA	4	4	24	5.09	5.18	18.9%	8.7%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

Whiff%28

FB Velo10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsJorge Castillo (age 33) · Santiago Gutierrez (age 31) · Tomas Solis (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA4.81

FIP5.02

K%17.8%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP89

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†4045

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.2

Whiff%

p2822.2%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.371

CH+2.2 (33%)

CU (5%)

SL-1.6 (14%)

FB-3.1 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	12	1	28	108	33	6	2	8%	2.4	20.8%	6.9%	13.8%	2.6%	2.54	3.65	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	12	1	28	108	33	6	2	8%	2.4	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	1.9%	2.54	2.32	—
2017	22	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	20	114	487	133	39	15	83%	4.7	20.2%	9.4%	10.8%	4.1%	4.28	4.82	—
2017	22	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	20	114	487	133	39	15	83%	4.7	27.3%	8.0%	19.3%	3.1%	4.28	3.50	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	25	17	113	508	106	48	10	68%	4.5	16.1%	10.9%	5.2%	2.9%	4.86	4.70	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Charlotte Stone Crabs	25	17	113	508	106	48	10	68%	4.5	20.9%	9.4%	11.4%	2.0%	4.86	3.65	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	139	578	114	59	11	65%	5.3	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	2.4%	3.43	4.44	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	139	578	114	59	11	65%	5.3	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	1.9%	3.43	3.76	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	4	42	169	59	15	6	22%	2.3	30.8%	8.5%	22.2%	3.4%	2.81	3.44	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	4	42	169	59	15	6	22%	2.3	34.9%	8.9%	26.0%	3.6%	2.81	3.22	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	16	79	339	76	34	11	80%	4.0	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	3.8%	3.63	4.81	+0.1
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	16	79	339	76	34	11	80%	4.0	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.2%	3.63	4.27	+0.6
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	23	133	591	149	59	17	85%	4.9	22.4%	9.2%	13.2%	3.1%	4.67	4.08	+1.3
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	23	133	591	149	59	17	85%	4.9	25.2%	10.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.67	3.85	+1.7
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	18.1%	6.8%	11.3%	6.1%	4.52	5.76	-1.3
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	18.1%	6.8%	11.3%	6.1%	4.52	5.76	-1.3
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	5.1%	4.52	5.10	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			17	5	68	297	54	26	9	29%	4.0	18.2%	8.8%	9.4%	3.0%	4.66	4.39	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAA	14	14	89	376	67	33	13	100%	6.4	17.8%	8.8%	9.1%	3.5%	4.81	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	82	345	60	31	13	100%	6.8	17.4%	9.1%	8.3%	3.7%	5.02	5.22	-0.3
2029	34	MLB MLE	LAA	11	11	74	314	59	27	13	100%	6.8	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	4.0%	5.09	5.18	-0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAA	5	5	30	127	22	12	5	100%	6.0	17.4%	9.1%	8.3%	3.7%	5.02	5.22	-0.1
2029	34	MLB CTX	LAA	4	4	24	101	19	9	4	100%	6.0	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	4.0%	5.09	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		25	13	122	525	95	46	18	52%	4.9	18.1%	8.8%	9.3%	3.4%	4.83	4.55	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	22	200	863	156	76	30	52%	4.8	18.1%	8.8%	9.3%	3.4%	4.83	4.55	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		180	120	787	3372	655	317	124	67%	4.4	19.4%	9.4%	10.0%	3.7%	4.12	4.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	30	200	857	166	81	31	67%	4.4	19.4%	9.4%	10.0%	3.7%	4.12	4.66	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenny Rosenberg (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	17.8%	8.8%	3.5%	—	5.20	18.1%	9.2%	156	+0.18	—	—	—
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	69
Santiago Gutierrez L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP-	3.95	15.0%	8.2%	2.0%	.366	6.54	17.1%	3.7%	46	+2.59	3.90	341	68
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	67
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	67
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	67
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	67
Sean Nolin L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	31	SP-	4.54	20.4%	8.9%	3.7%	.316	5.87	19.3%	12.9%	23	+1.33	3.79	309	65
Matt Dermody L 2022 · 4.22 FIP	32	SP-	4.22	17.9%	5.5%	3.5%	.302	3.87	20.7%	16.1%	49	-0.35	2.38	348	65
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	64
Alejandro Astorga L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	30	SP	4.01	14.4%	8.2%	2.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	311	62
Kelvin Marte L 2019 · 5.25 FIP	31	SP	5.25	12.0%	10.8%	3.3%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	360	61
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	59
Anthony Vasquez L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	32	SW	6.00	14.6%	7.3%	5.9%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	671	59
Roy Merritt L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP	3.95	16.2%	5.8%	2.7%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	129	58
Daniel Rodriguez L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	32	SP	3.87	13.1%	9.7%	1.2%	.335	4.77	20.8%	13.0%	112	+0.90	2.89	391	55
Paul Oseguera L 2016 · 5.62 FIP	32	SP	5.62	5.6%	12.5%	2.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	162	51
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	409	50
Randy Keisler L 2007 · 5.51 FIP	31	SP-	5.51	6.5%	6.5%	3.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	135	49
Mike Montgomery L 2021 · 4.49 FIP	32	SP	4.49	18.5%	12.4%	2.5%	.347	4.44	15.5%	3.4%	147	-0.05	3.43	764	48
Edgar Osuna L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	31	SW	5.09	10.0%	7.2%	3.5%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	5.05	175	48

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	63	18.0%	9.0%	1.39	4.90
Mike Willis ('77-'81, 0 WAR*)	1.5	59	18.4%*	9.6%*	1.45*	4.77*
Earl Caldwell ('28-'48, 2 WAR*)	2.9	73	16.9%*	8.7%*	1.35*	4.61*
Rich Folkers ('70-'77, -0 WAR*)	2.1	85	19.1%*	8.8%*	1.35*	4.91*
Roansy Contreras ('25)	1.2	82	19.3%	9.8%	1.38	4.77
Buddy Carlyle ('15)	1.5	58	18.5%	8.5%	1.32	5.14
JC Ramírez ('19)	1.4	72	16.4%	8.4%	1.44	4.71