Jose E. Hernandez

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 29 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX2 levels	55	2	56	4.82	4.17	27.9%	9.0%	0.3	K 27.8% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.23
2024	26	MIX3 levels	40	2	42	4.97	3.53	23.7%	12.1%	0.5	K 19.5% · BB 10.5% · FIP 3.66
2025	27	AAALAD	21	0	27	4.94	4.01	27.9%	14.8%	—	K 24.0% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.31
2027PROJ	29	MLBLAD	55	0	58	4.26	4.32	24.9%	9.9%	0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBLAD	19	0	20	4.42	4.53	24.0%	10.2%	0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBLAD	27	0	28	4.61	4.74	23.2%	10.4%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Control43Command58FB velo52

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Yuki Matsui (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.26

FIP4.32

K%24.9%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%14.9%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4545

CMD6060

K†6060

SL (66%)

FB-0.5 (34%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	7	0	9	51	8	11	0	0%	1.3	10.7%	27.0%	-16.3%	0.0%	6.75	5.61	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 2	7	0	9	51	8	11	0	0%	1.3	15.7%	21.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	6.75	4.92	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	15	14	64	263	55	23	1	93%	4.3	14.2%	10.9%	3.3%	0.5%	2.52	3.58	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 1	15	14	64	263	55	23	1	93%	4.3	20.9%	8.7%	12.2%	0.4%	2.52	2.66	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	15	0	27	115	38	14	2	0%	1.8	22.5%	15.2%	7.3%	2.4%	2.96	4.47	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	15	0	27	115	38	14	2	0%	1.8	33.0%	12.2%	20.9%	1.7%	2.96	2.81	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	5	45	200	61	21	3	16%	1.4	22.9%	12.3%	10.6%	2.0%	4.37	3.83	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	5	45	200	61	21	3	16%	1.4	30.5%	10.5%	20.0%	1.5%	4.37	2.66	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	2	60	248	69	25	8	4%	1.2	22.2%	11.2%	11.0%	3.9%	3.32	4.79	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	2	60	248	69	25	8	4%	1.2	27.8%	10.1%	17.7%	3.2%	3.32	3.79	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	2	56	244	68	22	10	4%	1.0	27.8%	8.5%	19.3%	4.4%	4.82	4.23	+0.2
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	2	56	244	68	22	10	4%	1.0	27.9%	9.0%	18.9%	4.1%	4.82	4.17	+0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	2	42	190	45	23	3	5%	1.0	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	1.6%	4.97	3.66	+0.4
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	2	42	190	45	23	3	5%	1.0	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	1.6%	4.97	3.66	+0.4
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	2	42	190	45	23	3	5%	1.0	23.7%	12.1%	11.6%	1.6%	4.97	3.53	+0.5
2025	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	21	0	27	122	34	18	3	0%	1.3	24.0%	13.3%	10.7%	2.8%	4.94	4.31	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	21	0	27	122	34	18	3	0%	1.3	24.0%	13.3%	10.7%	2.8%	4.94	4.31	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	21	0	27	122	34	18	3	0%	1.3	27.9%	14.8%	13.1%	2.5%	4.94	4.01	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			57	0	56	248	66	22	10	0%	1.0	26.6%	8.9%	17.7%	4.0%	4.82	4.24	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	LAD	55	0	58	245	61	24	8	0%	1.1	24.9%	9.9%	14.9%	3.1%	4.26	4.32	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	LAD	52	0	55	231	56	24	8	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.2%	13.9%	3.3%	4.42	4.53	+0.0
2029	31	MLB MLE	LAD	49	0	51	216	50	23	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	10.4%	12.8%	3.5%	4.61	4.74	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	LAD	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.2%	13.9%	3.3%	4.42	4.53	+0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	LAD	27	0	28	118	27	12	4	0%	1.0	23.2%	10.4%	12.8%	3.5%	4.61	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		103	0	104	452	114	43	17	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.5%	15.7%	3.7%	4.69	4.23	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		198	0	200	867	219	82	33	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.5%	15.7%	3.7%	4.69	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		236	25	331	1433	304	169	35	11%	1.4	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	2.4%	3.97	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	15	200	866	183	102	21	11%	1.4	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	2.4%	3.97	4.15	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose E. Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	24.9%	9.9%	3.1%	—	4.63	23.6%	13.3%	106	+0.31	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	86
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	81
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	81
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	80
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	78
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	78
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	78
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	78
Matt Thornton L 2006 · 3.43 FIP	29	SU	3.43	21.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.263	2.61	27.2%	20.5%	196	-0.82	1.71	663	78
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	77
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	77
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	76
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	74
Armando Almanza L 2002 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	30.0%	11.6%	4.2%	.272	5.01	21.8%	12.0%	62	+0.67	2.90	211	73
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	73
Damaso Marte L 2004 · 4.27 FIP	29	SU	4.27	22.4%	9.9%	3.3%	.236	3.28	25.9%	15.1%	149	-0.99	2.41	495	73
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	72
Vic Darensbourg L 2000 · 3.93 FIP	29	SU	3.93	21.5%	9.9%	2.5%	.298	4.26	15.3%	9.6%	97	+0.33	2.94	287	72
Scott Alexander L 2018 · 3.30 FIP	29	SU	3.30	20.9%	9.3%	1.4%	.290	4.64	13.3%	5.0%	45	+1.34	2.90	427	72
Doug Creek L 2000 · 4.57 FIP	31	SU	4.57	27.5%	13.6%	3.8%	.267	4.75	21.9%	7.8%	132	+0.18	4.48	277	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	55	24.7%	10.3%	1.34	4.52
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.5	59	24.8%	9.4%	1.42	4.21
Colin Poche ('25)	1.1	54	26.7%	10.2%	1.32	4.01
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*