Mitchell Kilkenny

Mitchell Kilkenny P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 206 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%20.8%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	113	461	107	22	11	100%	5.4	17.6%	5.5%	12.1%	2.5%	3.27	3.67	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	113	461	107	22	11	100%	5.4	23.2%	4.8%	18.4%	2.4%	3.27	3.06	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	24	24	102	454	76	34	23	100%	4.2	13.6%	8.2%	5.3%	6.1%	5.56	6.36	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	24	24	102	454	76	34	23	100%	4.2	16.7%	7.5%	9.3%	5.1%	5.56	5.54	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	13	0	22	109	17	9	0	0%	1.7	12.6%	9.1%	3.6%	0.0%	6.04	3.18	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	13	0	22	109	17	9	0	0%	1.7	12.6%	9.1%	3.6%	0.0%	6.04	3.18	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	13	0	22	109	17	9	0	0%	1.7	15.6%	8.3%	7.3%	0.0%	6.04	2.79	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	COL	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.8%	9.2%	11.6%	2.9%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	COL	3	3	20	84	17	8	3	100%	6.7	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.59	4.66	+0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	COL	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.59	4.66	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	3	1	100%	6.3	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.59	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	96	32	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.59	4.28	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		58	45	237	1024	157	73	39	78%	4.1	15.3%	7.1%	8.2%	3.8%	4.51	4.81	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	38	200	863	132	61	33	78%	4.1	15.3%	7.1%	8.2%	3.8%	4.51	4.81	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mitchell Kilkenny (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	20.8%	9.2%	2.9%	—	4.66	20.7%	11.2%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	76
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	72
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	72
Anthony Bass R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SP-	3.42	23.6%	9.1%	2.1%	.356	3.43	20.7%	14.2%	141	+0.01	2.93	432	71
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	70
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	68
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	68
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	68
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	66
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	66
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	66
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	65
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	64
Cody Anderson R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	28	SP	4.33	18.9%	7.5%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	279	64
Cole Johnson R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	27	SP	3.61	14.0%	4.8%	2.0%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	101	63
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	63
Jorge Reyes R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	29	SP	3.61	13.4%	9.4%	0.8%	.326	8.46	6.8%	-0.1%	19	+4.85	3.39	227	62
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	62
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	62
Kenneth Sigman R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP-	4.05	13.9%	7.7%	2.1%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	267	62