Tanner Burns

P Columbus Clippers

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	26	AAACLE	24	35	5.86	4.60	17.7%	12.0%	—	K 15.2% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.58
2026	27	AAACLE	24	27	7.09	4.86	22.5%	17.1%	—	K 19.3% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.82
2027PROJ	28	MLBCLE	19	20	5.14	5.14	18.8%	12.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBCLE	7	7	5.13	5.18	19.0%	12.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLuis Mateo (age 27) · Thad Weber (age 28) · Spencer Bivens (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%18.8%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	18	18	76	315	91	29	10	100%	4.2	22.2%	10.6%	11.7%	3.2%	3.57	4.34	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	18	18	76	315	91	29	10	100%	4.2	28.9%	9.2%	19.7%	3.2%	3.57	3.56	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	21	21	89	388	92	45	14	100%	4.2	19.2%	12.8%	6.4%	4.3%	3.55	5.44	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	21	21	89	388	92	45	14	100%	4.2	23.7%	11.6%	12.1%	3.6%	3.55	4.60	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	29	14	87	360	86	41	11	48%	3.0	19.4%	12.5%	6.8%	4.0%	3.01	5.27	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	29	14	87	360	86	41	11	48%	3.0	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	3.1%	3.01	4.18	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	51	0	69	308	70	46	11	0%	1.3	19.5%	13.4%	6.1%	3.7%	4.59	5.19	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	51	0	69	308	70	46	11	0%	1.3	19.5%	13.4%	6.1%	3.7%	4.59	5.19	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	51	0	69	308	70	46	11	0%	1.3	22.7%	14.9%	7.8%	3.6%	4.59	5.15	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	35	158	28	19	4	0%	1.5	15.2%	10.8%	4.4%	2.5%	5.86	4.58	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	35	158	28	19	4	0%	1.5	15.2%	10.8%	4.4%	2.5%	5.86	4.58	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	24	0	35	158	28	19	4	0%	1.5	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	2.5%	5.86	4.60	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	27	129	29	22	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.3%	4.0%	2.6%	7.09	4.82	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	27	129	29	22	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.3%	4.0%	2.6%	7.09	4.82	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	24	0	27	129	29	22	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	17.1%	5.4%	2.3%	7.09	4.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CLE	19	0	20	84	16	11	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.9%	5.9%	2.9%	5.14	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	16	11	3	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.13	5.18	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.13	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.13	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	3.1%	5.13	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		167	53	382	1658	323	206	60	32%	2.3	19.5%	12.4%	7.1%	3.6%	4.08	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	28	200	869	170	108	31	32%	2.3	19.5%	12.4%	7.1%	3.6%	4.08	5.02	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Burns (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	18.8%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.18	19.0%	6.2%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	76
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	75
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	74
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	73
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	73
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	72
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	72
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	72
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	72
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	72
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	72
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	72
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	72
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	71
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	71