Armando Alvarez

3B St. Paul Saints

Age 33 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	29	AAASF	298	.308/.386/.581	18	8	109	—	.259/.317/.448
2024	30	MLBOakland Athle…	39	.243/.282/.270	0	1	58	-0.2
2025	31	AAAMIN	153	.226/.307/.365	4	0	37	—	.183/.242/.268
2025	31	INTLTigres del Li…	91	.241/.300/.410	3	1	98	—
2027PROJ10% MLB	33	MLBMIN	28	.229/.294/.358	1	0	83	0.0
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBMIN	13	.221/.285/.340	0	0	76	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Whiff%76

Max EV75

Z-Con%51

BB%40

Chase%30

K%24

CompsMario Lisson (age 33) · Dustin Garneau (age 33) · Adam Rosales (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .294 / .358

PA28

HR1

K%25

BB%7

BABIP291

ISO154

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

807.9%

xAVG

670.265

POWER45

Avg EV

1080.8

Bat Spd

2268.4

EYE45

Chase%

3235.3%

SPEED45

Sprint

5527.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	218	208	57	12	0	5	6	23	0	0	2	274	294	404	698	130	283	11	3	304	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	154	149	34	5	1	0	3	18	1	3	1	228	248	275	524	47	260	12	2	235	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	129	119	31	8	0	0	8	19	1	0	0	261	312	328	640	67	307	15	6	290	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	390	359	94	25	3	11	25	48	3	2	1	262	314	440	755	178	275	12	6	331	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	32	27	5	0	0	2	5	6	0	0	0	185	312	407	720	222	158	19	16	324	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	260	238	66	18	0	6	18	39	1	1	2	277	331	429	759	151	306	15	7	334	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	230	210	55	13	1	5	17	35	2	3	2	262	323	405	728	143	292	15	7	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	360	85	25	0	10	37	70	0	2	1	236	307	389	695	153	263	17	9	308	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	323	299	83	20	0	18	20	71	0	4	2	278	323	525	848	247	304	22	6	365	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	298	260	80	15	1	18	32	47	1	8	1	308	386	581	966	273	310	16	11	413	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	31	28	10	3	0	0	2	4	1	1	0	357	419	464	884	107	417	13	6	397	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	39	37	9	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	243	282	270	552	27	310	21	5	254	58	-2	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	30	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	317	273	86	20	1	15	41	61	2	5	2	315	408	560	969	245	359	19	13	422	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	153	137	31	7	0	4	14	44	2	0	0	226	307	365	672	139	303	29	9	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	91	83	20	5	0	3	6	17	1	1	1	241	300	410	710	169	266	19	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	39	37	9	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	243	282	270	552	27	310	21	5	254	58	-2	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	218	210	49	8	0	5	4	30	0	0	2	233	248	343	591	110	242	14	2	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	154	150	29	5	1	0	2	27	1	3	1	193	209	240	449	47	231	18	1	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	129	122	26	6	0	0	5	27	1	0	0	213	250	262	512	49	272	21	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	390	367	85	20	3	8	18	58	3	2	1	232	273	368	641	136	254	15	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	A+ MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	32	28	4	0	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	143	250	250	500	107	139	25	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	260	244	58	15	0	5	12	47	1	1	2	238	276	361	637	123	264	18	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	230	215	48	10	1	4	12	45	2	3	2	223	271	335	606	112	261	20	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	372	77	23	0	6	26	85	0	2	1	207	259	317	576	110	241	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	323	306	66	16	0	12	13	85	0	4	2	216	248	386	633	170	248	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	298	270	70	13	1	12	22	52	1	8	1	259	317	448	766	189	266	17	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	—	31	29	7	2	0	0	1	6	1	1	0	241	290	310	601	69	300	19	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	39	37	9	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	243	282	270	552	27	310	21	5	254	58	-2	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	30	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	317	286	72	15	1	10	28	72	2	5	2	252	323	416	739	164	301	23	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	153	142	26	6	0	2	9	53	2	0	0	183	242	268	509	85	268	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	218	210	49	8	0	5	4	30	0	0	2	233	248	343	591	110	246	14	2	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	218	208	57	12	0	5	6	23	0	0	2	274	294	404	698	130	283	11	3	304	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	283	272	56	11	1	0	7	54	2	3	1	206	231	254	485	48	256	19	2	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	283	268	65	13	1	0	11	37	2	3	1	243	278	299	576	56	280	13	4	260	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	422	395	90	20	3	10	22	67	3	2	1	228	274	370	643	142	250	16	5	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	422	386	99	25	3	13	30	54	3	2	1	256	314	438	752	181	268	13	7	331	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	490	459	106	25	1	9	24	91	3	4	4	231	274	349	622	118	267	19	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	490	448	121	31	1	11	35	74	3	4	4	270	327	417	745	147	300	15	7	330	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	372	77	23	0	6	26	85	0	2	1	207	259	317	576	110	248	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	360	85	25	0	10	37	70	0	2	1	236	307	389	695	153	263	17	9	308	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	323	306	66	16	0	12	13	85	0	4	2	216	248	386	633	170	254	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	323	299	83	20	0	18	20	71	0	4	2	278	323	525	848	247	304	22	6	365	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	299	76	14	1	12	23	57	2	9	1	254	312	428	740	174	272	17	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	329	288	90	18	1	18	34	51	2	9	1	312	389	569	958	257	321	16	10	411	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	323	81	16	1	10	30	80	2	6	2	251	318	399	718	149	303	22	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	356	310	95	21	1	15	43	69	2	6	2	306	394	526	920	219	352	19	12	404	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	244	226	40	9	0	3	14	85	3	1	1	177	235	257	491	80	266	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	244	220	51	12	0	7	20	61	3	1	1	232	305	382	686	150	288	25	8	308	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	218	212	49	8	0	5	4	30	0	0	2	231	248	340	587	108	242	14	2	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	283	272	56	11	1	0	7	54	2	3	1	206	231	254	485	48	250	19	2	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	422	394	90	20	3	10	22	67	3	2	1	228	274	371	644	142	245	16	5	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	490	460	106	25	1	9	24	91	3	4	4	230	274	348	621	117	263	19	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	374	77	23	0	6	26	85	0	2	1	206	259	316	574	110	241	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	323	307	66	16	0	12	13	85	0	4	2	215	248	384	632	169	248	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	301	76	14	1	12	23	57	2	9	1	252	312	425	737	173	269	17	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	321	81	16	1	10	30	80	2	6	2	252	318	402	720	150	302	22	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	244	225	40	9	0	3	14	85	3	1	1	178	235	258	492	80	268	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	321	81	16	1	10	30	80	2	6	2	252	318	402	720	150	302	22	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	244	225	40	9	0	3	14	85	3	1	1	178	235	258	492	80	268	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	33	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	282	256	59	12	1	6	21	72	3	4	1	229	294	357	651	128	291	26	7	291	83	-6	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	33	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	28	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	229	294	358	651	128	291	25	7	292	83	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	MIN	6%	239	218	48	9	1	5	17	63	2	1	1	221	284	339	624	118	283	26	7	280	76	-7	-0	-5	+1	+5	-0.6
2028	34	MLB CTX	MIN	6%	13	12	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	221	285	340	624	119	283	23	8	281	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	49	12	2	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	245	288	286	574	41	316	21	6	261	70	-2	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	612	150	25	0	0	38	138	0	12	0	245	289	286	575	41	316	21	6	261	70	-29	+2	-31	+16	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3589	3336	748	163	9	78	201	769	20	36	17	224	272	349	621	124	266	21	6	272	70	-14	+0	-8	+3	+12	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	136	30	2	14	36	139	4	7	3	225	273	351	624	126	268	21	6	272	70	-17	+0	-9	+4	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Armando Alvarez (OGILVIE)	33	40	45	45	45	227/291/354	127	291	6	4	26%	7%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mario Lisson 2017 · AAA	33	45→49	45→50	43→55	45	224/294/347	123	297	14	8	28%	8%	82	+0.0	210/274/337	127	276	14	9	28%	8%	72	-0.7	162/219/280	119	197	14	6	26%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	40→38	49→50	45	46	208/290/361	153	270	17	5	29%	8%	85	+0.2	192/269/357	165	248	20	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	145/226/306	160	173	21	1	31%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Adam Rosales 2016 · MLB	33	45→50	45→55	45	45	226/287/343	118	280	13	11	24%	7%	79	-0.2	221/281/385	164	292	19	8	30%	7%	86	+0.3	204/260/367	164	262	20	4	30%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Russ Johnson 2006 · MLB	33	47→45	47→50	42→45	49	234/296/375	141	272	13	9	19%	8%	89	+0.5	225/289/354	129	245	14	6	14%	8%	82	-0.0	217/284/338	121	230	13	4	12%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	43	43→45	46→40	41	215/264/322	107	277	12	6	27%	6%	65	-1.2	208/256/297	89	296	8	5	31%	5%	55	-1.9	191/237/262	72	277	6	1	32%	5%	38	-1.0
✕Edwin Diaz 2007 · AAA	32	44	47→45	44→40	43	226/279/361	135	267	15	9	22%	5%	80	-0.2	241/278/366	125	275	13	8	17%	4%	80	-0.1	254/278/370	115	283	11	2	14%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Mike DiFelice 2002 · MLB	33	43	45→50	45→30	43	217/268/339	122	262	12	5	22%	6%	70	-0.8	228/284/358	130	270	12	5	19%	6%	81	-0.1	214/272/350	136	253	14	1	21%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Bryan Holaday 2021 · MLB	33	46	44→45	43→40	49	228/293/346	118	262	12	6	18%	7%	82	-0.0	224/284/381	157	275	18	8	25%	7%	86	+0.3	186/238/360	174	219	21	4	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Mark Little 2005 · MLB	33	48	43→55	49→55	47	230/317/345	115	295	10	10	24%	8%	91	+0.7	223/303/364	141	298	15	16	29%	6%	91	+0.6	212/297/344	132	290	13	18	30%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Said Gutierrez 2013 · AAA	33	45	48→50	43→40	45	231/284/367	136	269	16	6	22%	6%	83	+0.1	222/268/332	110	254	12	6	18%	5%	68	-1.0	217/252/285	67	260	9	0	20%	3%	50	-0.8
✕Iker Franco 2014 · AAA	33	45→47	44→50	44→40	48	225/284/334	110	269	13	3	22%	8%	76	-0.4	230/284/316	86	280	9	4	20%	7%	71	-0.8	234/287/315	81	287	9	1	21%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jantzen Witte 2024 · AAA	34	42→52	47→45	44→45	42	217/269/353	136	280	15	8	28%	6%	74	-0.5	214/273/354	140	279	16	8	28%	7%	76	-0.4	187/251/323	136	227	18	0	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2014 · MLB	32	43	46→45	47→50	43	217/275/348	131	274	14	4	26%	6%	76	-0.4	211/252/309	98	275	9	4	26%	4%	57	-1.8	199/229/296	97	264	10	0	29%	3%	42	-1.3
✕Miguel Ojeda 2008 · MLB	33	45	43→45	43→45	48	222/281/329	107	264	10	5	20%	7%	73	-0.6	237/300/364	127	273	13	8	18%	8%	88	+0.4	237/302/363	127	268	13	7	17%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	32	43→53	46→50	48→50	47	217/285/343	126	281	13	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	210/265/329	119	286	14	6	30%	7%	67	-1.1	210/260/330	120	277	15	3	29%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Jonathan Aceves 2010 · AAA	32	44	47→50	43→30	42	224/270/360	136	270	15	5	24%	5%	76	-0.4	214/260/338	124	269	14	5	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/295/332	104	273	11	1	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Roberto Lopez 2019 · AAA	33	46→47	47→50	45	44	235/283/362	127	278	16	9	22%	6%	81	-0.1	221/272/328	107	264	13	8	21%	6%	70	-0.9	206/254/284	78	242	12	4	20%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Issmael Salas 2014 · AAA	32	48	47→45	48→50	45	239/289/377	137	276	14	7	19%	6%	87	+0.4	235/277/334	99	271	9	6	16%	5%	72	-0.7	237/282/342	105	262	10	5	14%	5%	76	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	41	46→45	49→50	42	209/273/332	123	275	14	10	29%	6%	72	-0.7	219/299/343	124	297	12	9	28%	9%	84	+0.1	200/298/309	110	273	11	5	28%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Dusty Wathan 2007 · AAA	33	44	46→45	45→40	44	222/285/344	123	259	15	5	21%	5%	79	-0.2	229/290/320	91	278	7	8	19%	5%	74	-0.5	237/297/291	53	290	0	6	17%	4%	68	-0.5