Jace Vines
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.8%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 13 | 11 | 57 | 271 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 85% | 4.4 | 9.3% | 8.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 6.59 | 5.07 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 13 | 11 | 57 | 271 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 85% | 4.4 | 13.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 6.59 | 4.11 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 22 | 146 | 605 | 86 | 38 | 8 | 81% | 5.4 | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.45 | 4.20 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 22 | 146 | 605 | 86 | 38 | 8 | 81% | 5.4 | 14.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 3.45 | 3.42 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 136 | 617 | 87 | 43 | 10 | 89% | 5.0 | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 4.71 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 136 | 617 | 87 | 43 | 10 | 89% | 5.0 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 5.48 | 3.72 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 11 | 9 | 51 | 239 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 82% | 4.6 | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.47 | 4.90 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 11 | 9 | 51 | 239 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 82% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 5.47 | 4.04 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 44 | 1 | 68 | 294 | 67 | 34 | 2 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 0.7% | 4.10 | 3.33 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 44 | 1 | 68 | 294 | 67 | 34 | 2 | 2% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 4.10 | 3.01 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 14 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 7.24 | 4.78 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 14 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 7.24 | 4.27 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.0% | 14.3% | -2.3% | 1.6% | 5.82 | 4.77 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 5.82 | 4.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 153 | 67 | 489 | 2176 | 277 | 199 | 50 | 44% | 3.2 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.87 | 4.45 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 27 | 200 | 889 | 113 | 81 | 21 | 44% | 3.2 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.87 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jace Vines (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.60 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.10 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .301 | 7.89 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.79 | 0.76 | 348 | 72 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 66 |
| Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 65 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.98 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 78 | +0.02 | 2.86 | 306 | 65 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 64 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 64 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 64 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 63 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.26 | 16.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% | .307 | 4.29 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 44 | +1.03 | 3.26 | 493 | 63 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 62 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 61 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 60 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 60 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 60 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 60 |
| Paolo Espino R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.33 | 18.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .348 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 14.7% | 202 | +0.14 | 3.45 | 933 | 60 |
| Paul Clemens R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 59 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 59 |
| Phil Hughes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 15.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | .328 | 6.34 | 21.1% | 15.2% | 33 | +1.31 | 4.61 | 301 | 59 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.57 | 20.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .341 | 3.72 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 59 | -0.85 | 2.71 | 598 | 58 |