Matt Cronin — OGILVIE

Matt Cronin P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98106vR 114

ERA4.27

FIP4.27

K%20.5%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	17	0	22	85	41	11	1	0%	1.3	35.7%	15.3%	20.4%	1.6%	0.82	2.88	—
2019	21	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	17	0	22	85	41	11	1	0%	1.3	48.2%	12.9%	35.3%	1.2%	0.82	1.46	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	0	30	121	50	16	2	0%	1.3	34.1%	15.8%	18.3%	2.2%	3.00	3.42	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	0	30	121	50	16	2	0%	1.3	41.3%	13.2%	28.1%	1.7%	3.00	2.23	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	52	208	56	21	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	1.5%	2.42	3.33	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	52	208	56	21	3	0%	1.1	26.9%	10.1%	16.8%	1.4%	2.42	2.91	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	14	0	14	67	13	14	2	0%	1.0	16.1%	18.8%	-2.7%	3.1%	5.02	5.83	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	14	0	14	67	13	14	2	0%	1.0	16.1%	18.8%	-2.7%	3.1%	5.02	5.83	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	14	0	14	67	13	14	2	0%	1.0	19.4%	20.9%	-1.5%	3.0%	5.02	6.03	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.5%	18.3%	0.0%	1.42	1.83	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.5%	18.3%	0.0%	1.42	1.83	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	31.6%	5.8%	25.7%	0.0%	1.42	1.34	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	0.0%	0.86	3.07	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	0.0%	0.86	3.07	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	24.4%	12.8%	11.6%	1.2%	0.86	3.29	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SEA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	20.5%	8.9%	11.6%	2.5%	4.27	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	17	8	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.2%	11.4%	2.7%	4.35	4.40	+0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.2%	11.4%	2.7%	4.35	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.2%	11.4%	2.7%	4.35	4.02	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.2%	11.4%	2.7%	4.35	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		157	0	184	738	186	87	9	0%	1.2	25.3%	11.8%	13.4%	1.2%	2.11	3.14	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	804	203	95	10	0%	1.2	25.3%	11.8%	13.4%	1.2%	2.11	3.14	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Cronin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.27	20.5%	8.9%	2.5%	—	4.40	20.5%	11.4%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	86
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	84
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	83
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	81
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	153	80
Dan Jennings L 2015 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	18.9%	7.4%	1.2%	.294	3.80	17.8%	8.5%	188	+0.69	3.11	244	79
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	79
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	78
Jose Meraz L 2016 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	14.2%	6.8%	1.8%	.286	4.03	13.0%	1.5%	52	+0.25	3.78	110	77
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	77
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	76
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	76
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	76
Adrian Gusman L 2019 · 4.31 FIP	27	SU	4.31	17.9%	9.7%	2.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	141	76
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	75
Rodolfo Aguilar L 2017 · 3.20 FIP	28	SU	3.20	15.1%	7.9%	0.7%	.339	5.46	8.1%	-5.7%	15	+2.26	2.93	115	75
Jeremy Bleich L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	14.3%	6.3%	1.2%	.291	3.67	16.5%	10.2%	155	+0.35	3.20	241	75
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	75
Jake Diekman L 2015 · 3.38 FIP	28	SU	3.38	26.5%	11.9%	1.8%	.310	3.25	27.0%	15.3%	106	-0.13	2.36	455	75
Franklin Morales L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	29	SU	3.37	15.9%	5.4%	1.7%	.271	4.02	15.0%	7.0%	39	+0.65	3.37	101	75