Matt Cronin
P Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AAAWSH | 14 | 0 | 14 | 5.02 | 6.03 | 19.4% | 20.9% | — | K 16.7% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.78 | |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 1.42 | 1.34 | 31.6% | 5.8% | — | K 24.8% · BB 6.5% · FIP 1.83 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 0.86 | 3.29 | 24.4% | 12.8% | — | K 16.9% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.02 | |
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBSEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.31 | 4.31 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 30 | MLBSEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4.42 | 4.49 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | 17 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.7% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 1.6% | 0.82 | 2.88 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | 17 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 48.2% | 12.9% | 35.3% | 1.2% | 0.82 | 1.46 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 30 | 121 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.1% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 2.2% | 3.00 | 3.42 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 30 | 121 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 41.3% | 13.2% | 28.1% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.23 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 52 | 208 | 56 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 2.42 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 52 | 208 | 56 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 1.4% | 2.42 | 2.91 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | 14 | 0 | 14 | 67 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 18.8% | -2.1% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.78 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | 14 | 0 | 14 | 67 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 20.9% | -1.5% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 6.03 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 171 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 6.5% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 1.83 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 171 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 6.5% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 1.83 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 171 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.6% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 1.34 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 86 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.86 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 86 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.86 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 86 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 0.86 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.11 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.11 | +1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 157 | 0 | 184 | 738 | 187 | 87 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.11 | 3.13 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 171 | 0 | 200 | 804 | 204 | 95 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.11 | 3.13 | +0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 13 IPFIP 2.93 → 3.02 (+0.08)K% 19.6% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.61% | — | ×0.860 | 16.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.76% | — | ×0.900 | 10.59% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.204 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 141).
Result: FIP 2.93 → 3.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 8 IPFIP 3.82 → 5.29 (+1.47)K% 31.4% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 31.43% | — | ×0.810 | 25.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.29% | — | ×1.100 | 15.71% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.86% | ÷0.800 | ×1.200 | 4.28% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 60).
Result: FIP 3.82 → 5.29, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 28 IPFIP 0.34 → 1.08 (+0.73)K% 35.7% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 35.71% | — | ×0.770 | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 2.04% | — | ×1.150 | 2.35% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 0.34 → 1.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHarrisburg Senators · 17 IPFIP 2.29 → 2.85 (+0.56)K% 26.0% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.03% | — | ×0.810 | 21.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.96% | — | ×1.100 | 12.05% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 98).
Result: FIP 2.29 → 2.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 14 IPFIP 5.75 → 5.78 (+0.03)K% 19.4% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.40% | — | ×0.860 | 16.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 20.90% | — | ×0.900 | 18.81% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.99% | ÷1.058 | ×1.100 | 3.11% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).
Result: FIP 5.75 → 5.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARochester Red Wings · 36 IPFIP 3.47 → 3.78 (+0.31)K% 22.8% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.82% | — | ×0.880 | 20.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.40% | — | ×1.050 | 9.87% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.01% | ÷1.084 | ×1.100 | 2.04% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 117).
Result: FIP 3.47 → 3.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 16 IPFIP 1.45 → 2.20 (+0.75)K% 37.3% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 37.29% | — | ×0.810 | 30.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.86% | — | ×1.100 | 13.05% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 96).
Result: FIP 1.45 → 2.20, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 15 IPFIP -0.05 → 1.11 (+1.16)K% 50.9% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 50.91% | — | ×0.770 | 39.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.09% | — | ×1.150 | 10.45% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.906 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 81).
Result: FIP -0.05 → 1.11, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).