Bryse Wilson
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION68 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.84
FIP5.12
xFIP5.53
SIERA5.36
K%16.1%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%8.6%
IP69
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p1016.7%
K%
p1012.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.422
SI (24%)
CU (17%)
FB-2.2 (41%)
CH-4.9 (18%)
CT-8.5 (24%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 9 | 6 | 27 | 101 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.67 | 2.71 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 26 | 26 | 137 | 546 | 139 | 37 | 8 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.50 | 4.58 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 20 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 24 | 133 | 559 | 149 | 38 | 9 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 3.60 | 3.34 | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 27 | 25 | 141 | 597 | 134 | 34 | 17 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.13 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 6 | 2 | 16 | 73 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.02 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 26 | 25 | 129 | 557 | 88 | 35 | 23 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.87 | 5.02 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 26 | 152 | 656 | 113 | 37 | 26 | 16.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.91 | 4.65 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 53 | 0 | 77 | 314 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.58 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 34 | 9 | 105 | 442 | 82 | 31 | 20 | 18.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.04 | 5.01 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 38 | 13 | 96 | 424 | 69 | 30 | 17 | 15.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 5.44 | 4.63 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 11 | 10 | 51 | 235 | 54 | 19 | 5 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 6.66 | 3.75 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 47 | 22 | 11 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 120 | 525 | 101 | 41 | 16 | 19.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.62 | 4.54 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 43 | 22 | 11 | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.10 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 39 | 21 | 11 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 5.33 | 5.49 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 58 | — | 58 | 243 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 5.56 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 5.81 | 5.97 | -0.9 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 6.08 | 6.25 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 6.37 | 6.56 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 6.68 | 6.89 | -1.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 7.01 | 7.22 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 289 | 166 | 1063 | 4504 | 828 | 314 | 157 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.06 | 4.35 | +13.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 31 | 200 | 847 | 156 | 59 | 30 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.06 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryse Wilson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | — | 5.49 | 14.8% | 6.8% | 185 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 69 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.36 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .302 | 3.71 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.65 | 3.59 | 331 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 68 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .250 | 4.75 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.81 | 3.72 | 231 | 67 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 67 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 66 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 66 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 66 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 66 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 66 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 66 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 66 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 66 |
| Norge Ruiz R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.37 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .318 | 5.17 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 45 | +0.80 | 3.57 | 367 | 66 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 66 |
| Daulton Jefferies R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.23 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 265 | 65 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 65 |
| Luke Bard R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | .295 | 5.02 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 51 | +0.47 | 2.90 | 388 | 65 |
| Tyler Herron R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .389 | 4.17 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 60 | -0.12 | 4.17 | 117 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.