Bryse Wilson
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
AAA
ERA4.67
FIP5.00
xFIP5.53
SIERA5.36
K%17.3%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%9.8%
IP69
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p1016.7%
K%
p1012.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.422
SI (24%)
CU (17%)
FB-2.2 (41%)
CH-4.9 (18%)
CT-8.5 (24%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 9 | 6 | 27 | 101 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.67 | 2.71 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 26 | 26 | 137 | 546 | 139 | 37 | 8 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.50 | 3.98 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 20 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 24 | 133 | 559 | 149 | 38 | 9 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.26 | +3.1 |
| 2019 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 27 | 25 | 141 | 597 | 134 | 34 | 17 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.96 | 4.00 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 6 | 2 | 16 | 73 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.02 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 26 | 25 | 129 | 557 | 88 | 35 | 23 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.87 | 5.02 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 26 | 152 | 656 | 113 | 37 | 26 | 16.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.91 | 4.76 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 53 | 0 | 77 | 314 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.58 | 3.87 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 34 | 9 | 105 | 442 | 82 | 31 | 20 | 18.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.04 | 4.57 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 38 | 13 | 96 | 424 | 69 | 30 | 17 | 15.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.44 | 4.88 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 3 | 2 | 11 | 59 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 12.71 | 6.14 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 49 | 22 | 11 | 16.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.77 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 80 | 349 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 5.89 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 47 | 22 | 11 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.97 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 44 | 21 | 10 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 41 | 21 | 10 | 15.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 37 | 20 | 10 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 5.47 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 31 | 19 | 10 | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.60 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 5.74 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 5.90 | 6.00 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 281 | 158 | 1023 | 4328 | 790 | 301 | 146 | 18.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.03 | 4.29 | +11.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 31 | 200 | 846 | 154 | 59 | 29 | 18.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.03 | 4.29 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryse Wilson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 16.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | — | 5.20 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 195 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.20 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | .302 | 3.84 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.36 | 3.68 | 331 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 69 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.17 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.74 | 2.72 | 844 | 69 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 68 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 68 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% | .307 | 6.39 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.43 | 2.85 | 299 | 66 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 66 |
| Luke Bard R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | .295 | 5.03 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 51 | +0.48 | 2.87 | 388 | 66 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.29 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | .244 | 5.54 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.25 | 4.51 | 224 | 66 |
| Norge Ruiz R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.46 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .318 | 5.16 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 45 | +0.70 | 3.73 | 367 | 66 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.09 | 3.18 | 253 | 66 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 66 |
| Daulton Jefferies R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.09 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 265 | 65 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 14.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 104 | 65 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 65 |
| John Church R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.85 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | .278 | 2.78 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 30 | -1.07 | 2.78 | 101 | 65 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 65 |
| Paul Sewald R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.30 | 30.7% | 24.2% | 135 | -0.71 | 2.72 | 558 | 65 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 65 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.