JoJo Romero
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.7
WAR
Age 29
LHP
5'11" / 215 lbs
MLB
Svc 5.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.7 · 2026
ERA3.49
FIP3.87
xFIP4.89
SIERA4.73
K%22.4%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%13.8%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
K†5555
FB+2.6 (45%)
SI (42%)
SL (36%)
CH-0.5 (19%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 23 | 23 | 129 | 510 | 128 | 36 | 4 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 1.0% | 2.16 | 3.12 | +3.2 |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 18 | 18 | 107 | 453 | 100 | 41 | 13 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 3.80 | 4.54 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 24 | 111 | 498 | 92 | 46 | 12 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 5.82 | 4.55 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 12 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 7.59 | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 7.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 3 | 31 | 127 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 25.4% | 14.9% | 4.2% | 3.16 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 44 | 0 | 58 | 235 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 30.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 3.43 | 2.64 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 65 | 0 | 59 | 243 | 51 | 16 | 8 | 21.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.36 | 3.97 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 65 | 0 | 61 | 255 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 2.07 | 2.93 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 9 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 46 | 17 | 5 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.45 | 3.88 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 57 | 235 | 52 | 20 | 5 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 2.82 | 3.17 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 3.77 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 47 | 20 | 5 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.10 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 4.23 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 4.37 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 303 | 68 | 586 | 2451 | 488 | 222 | 58 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 3.58 | 3.87 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 23 | 200 | 837 | 167 | 76 | 20 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 3.58 | 3.87 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JoJo Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.88 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 2.3% | — | 4.08 | 20.8% | 12.1% | 159 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 79 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 79 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 76 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 76 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 75 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 75 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 75 |
| Franklin Morales L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 75 |
| Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 75 |
| Marlon Arias L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 74 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2027 · 2.89 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.89 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.6% | .256 | 4.17 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 234 | +1.28 | 2.89 | 391 | 74 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.29 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .290 | 4.54 | 13.3% | 5.0% | 45 | +1.25 | 2.82 | 414 | 74 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 73 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 146 | 73 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .318 | 6.63 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +3.01 | 2.70 | 230 | 72 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.73 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% | .377 | 5.02 | 22.2% | 15.9% | 115 | +1.29 | 3.41 | 315 | 72 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.18 | 17.8% | 10.8% | 0.4% | .304 | 4.09 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 127 | +0.91 | 3.06 | 244 | 72 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 72 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 71 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2025 · 3.04 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.04 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 0.0% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 120 | 71 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2020
Service 5.262 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $4M | +0.7 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $3M | $3M | +$0.0M | ||