JoJo Romero
P
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 29
LHP
5'11" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION56 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA3.42
FIP3.54
xFIP4.89
SIERA4.73
K%23.3%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%15.0%
IP57
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
FB+2.6 (45%)
SI (43%)
SL (37%)
CH-0.5 (18%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 23 | 23 | 129 | 510 | 128 | 36 | 4 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 2.16 | 3.19 | +3.3 |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 18 | 18 | 107 | 453 | 100 | 41 | 13 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 4.27 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 24 | 111 | 498 | 92 | 46 | 12 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 5.82 | 4.75 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 12 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 21.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 7.59 | 3.01 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.00 | 7.42 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 3 | 31 | 127 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 25.4% | 14.9% | 4.5% | 3.16 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 44 | 0 | 58 | 235 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 30.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.43 | 2.68 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 65 | 0 | 59 | 243 | 51 | 16 | 8 | 21.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.36 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 65 | 0 | 61 | 255 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 2.07 | 2.90 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 0 | 31 | 130 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 23.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 3.48 | 3.75 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | STL | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 23.3% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 3.42 | 3.54 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | STL | — | — | 57 | 239 | 56 | 19 | 7 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 3.45 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 51 | 20 | 6 | 22.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.00 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | STL | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 21.8% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | STL | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 21.0% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | STL | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 20.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | STL | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | STL | 35 | — | 35 | 146 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 18.3% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 5.32 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | STL | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 5.67 | 5.90 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 325 | 68 | 607 | 2542 | 513 | 229 | 63 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.89 | +10.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 22 | 200 | 838 | 169 | 75 | 21 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JoJo Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.89 | 23.0% | 8.6% | 2.3% | — | 4.35 | 21.8% | 12.8% | 149 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.04 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .238 | 5.18 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.14 | 3.04 | 145 | 76 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 75 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 75 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 74 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 74 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 74 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 74 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.27 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 32 | -0.55 | 3.80 | 158 | 74 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 73 |
| Boone Logan L 2027 · 2.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.85 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .352 | 3.01 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 113 | 73 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 73 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.38 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 13.3% | 5.0% | 45 | +1.43 | 2.90 | 414 | 73 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.06 | 27.4% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .370 | 3.20 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 86 | +0.14 | 2.29 | 202 | 73 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 72 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 72 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 72 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 146 | 71 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 71 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2027 · 2.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.87 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.5% | .256 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 234 | +1.31 | 2.87 | 391 | 71 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.