Robbie Peto prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Robbie Peto P Great Lakes Loons

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%19.4%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP55

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	18	71	321	72	29	12	90%	3.5	16.6%	10.7%	5.9%	5.0%	5.22	5.81	—
2021	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	18	71	321	72	29	12	90%	3.5	22.4%	9.0%	13.4%	3.7%	5.22	4.50	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	4	81	352	72	59	6	15%	3.0	15.6%	19.4%	-3.8%	2.1%	3.87	5.39	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	4	81	352	72	59	6	15%	3.0	20.5%	16.8%	3.7%	1.7%	3.87	4.46	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	8	82	393	77	49	14	30%	3.0	15.3%	13.4%	1.9%	4.1%	6.94	5.75	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	8	82	393	77	49	14	30%	3.0	15.3%	13.4%	1.9%	4.1%	6.94	5.75	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	8	82	393	77	49	14	30%	3.0	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	3.6%	6.94	5.24	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	LAD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4%	11.6%	7.9%	3.1%	4.99	4.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	LAD	50	0	53	223	44	26	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.6%	8.0%	3.2%	5.01	5.06	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	LAD	47	0	50	209	41	24	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	3.4%	5.09	5.18	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	LAD	15	0	16	68	13	8	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.6%	8.0%	3.2%	5.01	5.06	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	LAD	24	0	25	106	21	12	4	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	3.4%	5.09	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	0	41	173	34	20	6	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.6%	7.9%	3.3%	5.06	4.75	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	97	29	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.6%	7.9%	3.3%	5.06	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		74	30	234	1066	168	155	40	41%	3.2	15.8%	14.5%	1.2%	3.7%	5.35	5.65	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	26	200	912	144	133	34	41%	3.2	15.8%	14.5%	1.2%	3.7%	5.35	5.65	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robbie Peto (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	19.4%	11.6%	3.1%	—	5.12	19.6%	7.9%	102	+0.13	—	—	—
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	76
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	75
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	75
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	75
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	242	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	74
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	73
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	73
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	72
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	72
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	71
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	71
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	71
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	19.5%	11.6%	1.25	5.03
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68