Dante Biasi prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Dante Biasi P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 28 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%21.8%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	24	6	72	301	84	33	9	25%	3.0	21.5%	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	3.77	4.91	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	24	6	72	301	84	33	9	25%	3.0	27.9%	11.0%	16.9%	3.0%	3.77	3.77	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	22	15	84	373	86	54	7	68%	3.8	18.7%	15.9%	2.8%	2.5%	4.09	4.91	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	22	15	84	373	86	54	7	68%	3.8	23.1%	14.5%	8.6%	1.9%	4.09	4.07	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	36	3	69	311	77	52	12	8%	1.9	20.1%	18.4%	1.7%	5.3%	4.43	6.65	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	36	3	69	311	77	52	12	8%	1.9	20.1%	18.4%	1.7%	5.3%	4.43	6.65	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	36	3	69	311	77	52	12	8%	1.9	24.8%	16.7%	8.0%	3.9%	4.43	5.39	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	KC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.8%	14.0%	7.8%	3.1%	5.14	5.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	KC	43	0	46	193	42	26	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	3.3%	5.13	5.19	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	KC	41	0	43	181	39	25	6	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.7%	7.8%	3.5%	5.20	5.30	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	KC	13	0	14	59	13	8	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	3.3%	5.13	5.19	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	KC	21	0	22	93	20	13	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.7%	7.8%	3.5%	5.20	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	0	36	153	33	21	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	13.7%	7.9%	3.4%	5.17	4.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	116	28	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.7%	7.9%	3.4%	5.17	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		82	24	224	985	197	155	37	29%	2.7	20.0%	15.7%	4.3%	3.7%	4.09	5.46	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	21	200	878	175	138	33	29%	2.7	20.0%	15.7%	4.3%	3.7%	4.09	5.46	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dante Biasi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	21.8%	14.0%	3.1%	—	5.24	21.6%	7.9%	88	+0.10	—	—	—
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	78
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	75
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	73
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	72
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	71
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	70
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	69
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	69
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	67
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	67
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	67
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	66
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	66
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	65
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	65
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	64
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	64
Ron Mahay L 2000 · 6.03 FIP	29	SU	6.03	16.1%	12.1%	5.0%	.353	4.58	22.4%	12.1%	81	-1.45	3.14	568	64
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	64
Colton Turner L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	28	SW	4.23	22.4%	9.2%	3.4%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	325	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	21.7%	13.8%	1.27	5.16
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57