Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | 6 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 67% | 3.9 | 9.7% | 10.2% | -0.5% | 1.4% | 3.09 | 4.36 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | 6 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 67% | 3.9 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 3.09 | 3.49 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 11 | 11 | 52 | 224 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 8.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.30 | 4.91 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 11 | 11 | 52 | 224 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.9% | 3.1% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 3.88 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 22 | 125 | 519 | 95 | 24 | 13 | 92% | 5.2 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 3.67 | 3.81 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 22 | 125 | 519 | 95 | 24 | 13 | 92% | 5.2 | 18.3% | 4.6% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 85 | 344 | 76 | 13 | 10 | 95% | 4.2 | 18.0% | 4.4% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 3.83 | 4.42 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 85 | 344 | 76 | 13 | 10 | 95% | 4.2 | 22.1% | 3.8% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 22 | 111 | 484 | 83 | 20 | 24 | 79% | 4.0 | 15.4% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 5.29 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 22 | 111 | 484 | 83 | 20 | 24 | 79% | 4.0 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 5.29 | 4.96 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 35 | 140 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 0.7% | 2.55 | 2.99 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 35 | 140 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 0.7% | 2.55 | 2.85 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 6 | 33 | 149 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 2.8% | 13.0% | 2.4% | 6.21 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 6 | 33 | 149 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2.1 | 21.5% | 2.7% | 18.8% | 1.3% | 6.21 | 2.32 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 62 | 263 | 66 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 1.4% | 4.04 | 3.12 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 62 | 263 | 66 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.5 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 1.5% | 4.04 | 2.92 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 27 | 4 | 44 | 197 | 44 | 18 | 5 | 15% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.36 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIL | 91 | 0 | 96 | 403 | 88 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 3.98 | 3.90 | +1.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIL | 91 | 0 | 96 | 405 | 89 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 3.98 | 3.90 | +1.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 139 | 600 | 132 | 49 | 15 | — | — | 22.0% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 4.41 | 3.99 | +2.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 98 | 412 | 132 | 49 | 15 | — | — | 32.1% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 3.5% | 6.30 | 3.83 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 132 | 0 | 138 | 585 | 125 | 46 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 4.10 | +2.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 124 | 0 | 130 | 550 | 114 | 45 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.32 | +1.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 126 | 0 | 132 | 557 | 119 | 44 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 4.10 | +2.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 108 | 43 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.32 | +1.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 347 | 1 | 377 | 1585 | 332 | 123 | 40 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 3.69 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 1 | 200 | 841 | 176 | 65 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 179 | 95 | 571 | 2418 | 383 | 141 | 75 | 53% | 3.2 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.20 | +8.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 33 | 200 | 847 | 134 | 50 | 26 | 53% | 3.2 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Easton McGee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.90 | 21.9% | 7.6% | 2.4% | — | 4.21 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 269 | +0.31 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 74 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 71 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 71 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 71 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 70 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 70 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 68 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 67 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 67 |
| Radhames Liz R 2029 · 2.77 FIP | 31 | SW | 2.77 | 24.8% | 9.2% | 1.1% | .283 | 4.31 | 21.8% | 7.9% | 23 | +1.54 | 2.77 | 110 | 67 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.01 | 17.9% | 8.1% | 0.7% | .257 | 3.19 | 21.6% | 14.6% | 78 | +0.18 | 2.22 | 187 | 66 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 66 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 66 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .371 | 4.86 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 37 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 133 | 66 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 66 |
| Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.22 | 19.1% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.24 | 3.13 | 825 | 65 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.36 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .302 | 3.71 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.65 | 3.59 | 331 | 65 |
| Phil Klein R 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.17 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 178 | 65 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 122 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 1.01 | 4.10 |
| Jaime García ('18) | 4 | 135 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 1.05 | 4.23 |
| Tyler Skaggs ('19) | 4 | 85 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 1.09 | 4.24 |
| Clay Buchholz ('19) | 4 | 102 | 18.8% | 6.8% | 1.08 | 3.95 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |
| Ervin Santana ('21) | 5 | 118 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 1.22 | 3.79 |