Yonny Chirinos
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.12
FIP4.76
xFIP5.52
SIERA5.01
K%18.6%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%10.0%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†4040
FB Velo
p2993.0
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p300.335
SL+1.8 (39%)
SI (30%)
FB-15.6 (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 12 | 10 | 64 | 259 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 14.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.10 | 3.09 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 29 | 17 | 129 | 532 | 83 | 16 | 10 | 12.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.36 | 3.76 | +2.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 27 | 26 | 168 | 650 | 141 | 26 | 15 | 18.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.73 | 3.43 | +3.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 27 | 16 | 122 | 509 | 108 | 32 | 14 | 20.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 3.88 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 18 | 133 | 530 | 114 | 27 | 23 | 21.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.85 | 4.39 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.38 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 13 | 8 | 33 | 140 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 3.51 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 25 | 13 | 104 | 453 | 70 | 35 | 16 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 4.68 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 27 | 27 | 141 | 617 | 117 | 50 | 18 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.50 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 5.28 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 16.4% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.13 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 189 | 138 | 907 | 3742 | 650 | 217 | 114 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.04 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 30 | 200 | 825 | 143 | 48 | 25 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.04 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yonny Chirinos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | — | 5.14 | 16.4% | 7.3% | 127 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 83 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 81 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 80 |
| Hector Navarro R 2029 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.82 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 101 | 78 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.31 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 131 | 78 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 77 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 77 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 77 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.49 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 149 | 77 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 76 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 76 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 76 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.99 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 117 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2029 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.63 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 5.47 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.84 | 4.63 | 172 | 74 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.22 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 147 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.