Yonny Chirinos
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 113
ERA5.03
FIP5.00
K%16.7%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%8.1%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2993.0
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p300.335
SL+1.8 (39%)
SI (30%)
FB-15.6 (46%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 64 | 259 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 83% | 5.4 | 14.0% | 3.3% | 10.7% | 1.2% | 2.10 | 3.02 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 64 | 259 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 83% | 5.4 | 19.3% | 2.7% | 16.6% | 1.2% | 2.10 | 2.48 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 17 | 129 | 532 | 83 | 16 | 10 | 59% | 4.4 | 12.1% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 3.36 | 3.65 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 17 | 129 | 532 | 83 | 16 | 10 | 59% | 4.4 | 15.6% | 3.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.36 | 3.19 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 168 | 650 | 141 | 26 | 15 | 96% | 6.2 | 18.9% | 4.2% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 2.73 | 3.39 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 168 | 650 | 141 | 26 | 15 | 96% | 6.2 | 21.7% | 4.0% | 17.7% | 2.3% | 2.73 | 3.05 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 122 | 509 | 108 | 32 | 14 | 59% | 4.5 | 20.4% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 3.85 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 122 | 509 | 108 | 32 | 14 | 59% | 4.5 | 21.2% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 3.61 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 18 | 133 | 530 | 114 | 27 | 23 | 69% | 5.1 | 21.5% | 5.1% | 16.4% | 4.6% | 3.85 | 4.45 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 18 | 133 | 530 | 114 | 27 | 23 | 69% | 5.1 | 21.5% | 5.1% | 16.4% | 4.3% | 3.85 | 4.24 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.38 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 2.38 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 13 | 8 | 33 | 140 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 62% | 2.6 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 3.51 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 13 | 8 | 33 | 140 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 62% | 2.6 | 20.0% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 3.51 | 3.40 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 13 | 104 | 453 | 70 | 35 | 16 | 52% | 4.2 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 4.75 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 13 | 104 | 453 | 70 | 35 | 16 | 52% | 4.2 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 141 | 617 | 117 | 50 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.22 | 4.64 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 141 | 617 | 117 | 50 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.17 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 55 | 234 | 39 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 5.03 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 214 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 7 | 46 | 195 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 6.6 | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.42 | 5.58 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 42 | 175 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.9 | 14.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.72 | 5.92 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 6.4 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.6 | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.42 | 5.58 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 42 | 177 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 7.0 | 14.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.72 | 5.92 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 96 | 65 | 495 | 2078 | 371 | 151 | 77 | 68% | 5.2 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 26 | 200 | 840 | 150 | 61 | 31 | 68% | 5.2 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 189 | 138 | 907 | 3742 | 650 | 217 | 115 | 73% | 4.8 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.05 | +14.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 30 | 200 | 825 | 143 | 48 | 25 | 73% | 4.8 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yonny Chirinos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% | — | 5.57 | 15.0% | 5.5% | 138 | +0.57 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 80 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 76 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 74 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.01 | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .244 | 4.83 | 9.9% | 2.0% | 107 | -0.18 | 4.71 | 160 | 72 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 71 |
| Yohan Pino R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 71 |
| Kameron Loe R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.90 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | .356 | 3.47 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 133 | -0.43 | 3.47 | 201 | 70 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 70 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 69 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 69 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.23 | 12.8% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .301 | 5.92 | 11.4% | 1.2% | 103 | +1.69 | 4.23 | 325 | 69 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.47 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 244 | 68 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.15 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | .312 | 5.23 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 369 | +0.08 | 3.69 | 521 | 68 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 68 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 67 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 66 |
| David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 66 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 66 |
| Jeremy Hellickson R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.93 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 646 | 66 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.96 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 5.91 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +0.95 | 4.20 | 166 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 15.5% | 9.2% | 1.46 | 5.31 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |