Jeremy Walker prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jeremy Walker P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 235 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%19.2%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP44

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	13	5	40	173	37	8	2	38%	3.1	14.5%	5.8%	8.8%	1.6%	3.18	3.49	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	13	5	40	173	37	8	2	38%	3.1	21.4%	4.6%	16.8%	1.2%	3.18	2.49	—
2017	22	A MLE	Rome Braves	27	27	138	601	100	30	7	100%	5.1	12.3%	5.9%	6.4%	2.0%	3.97	3.91	—
2017	22	A RAW	Rome Braves	27	27	138	601	100	30	7	100%	5.1	16.6%	5.0%	11.6%	1.2%	3.97	2.96	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	143	614	101	46	10	100%	5.5	12.5%	8.8%	3.7%	2.2%	3.84	4.37	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	143	614	101	46	10	100%	5.5	16.4%	7.5%	9.0%	1.6%	3.84	3.56	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	1	91	367	88	15	3	3%	2.4	20.7%	3.6%	17.1%	1.2%	2.78	2.45	+2.3
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	1	91	367	88	15	3	3%	2.4	24.0%	4.1%	19.9%	0.8%	2.78	2.09	+2.8
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	2	59	267	56	17	5	4%	1.3	17.9%	7.0%	10.9%	2.1%	6.60	3.61	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	2	59	267	56	17	5	4%	1.3	21.0%	6.4%	14.6%	1.9%	6.60	3.17	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	47	2	68	280	52	30	8	4%	1.5	16.0%	9.6%	6.3%	3.1%	2.90	4.65	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	47	2	68	280	52	30	8	4%	1.5	16.0%	9.6%	6.3%	3.1%	2.90	4.65	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	47	2	68	280	52	30	8	4%	1.5	18.6%	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	2.90	4.42	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	0	9	38	6	4	0	0%	1.6	15.8%	10.5%	5.3%	0.0%	1.93	3.10	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.0%	4.70	4.70	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PHI	39	0	41	174	33	17	6	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.89	-0.2
2027	32	MLB CTX	PHI	14	0	15	63	12	6	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	24	102	18	10	2	0%	1.2	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.0%	3.71	3.98	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		167	0	200	833	147	82	16	0%	1.2	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.0%	3.71	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		197	63	539	2302	344	158	47	32%	2.7	15.0%	6.9%	8.1%	2.0%	3.83	3.82	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	23	200	855	128	59	17	32%	2.7	15.0%	6.9%	8.1%	2.0%	3.83	3.82	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeremy Walker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	19.2%	9.4%	3.0%	—	4.89	19.2%	9.4%	41	+0.19	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	81
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	75
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	74
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	73
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	72
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	71
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	71
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	71
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	71
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	71
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	2.92	432	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	68
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	68
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	68
Clay Hensley R 2011 · 4.78 FIP	31	SW	4.78	15.5%	9.8%	3.2%	.249	4.37	17.9%	5.9%	51	-0.41	2.58	517	68
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	68
Jared Fernandez R 2003 · 3.57 FIP	31	SP-	3.57	11.8%	6.2%	1.2%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	101	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	48	18.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.47
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Brad Clontz ('00)	1.4	56	17.4%	9.9%	0.97	4.34
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Logan Ondrusek ('16)	1.4	55	18.1%	9.5%	1.14	4.03
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
John Johnstone ('00)	1.4	56	19.4%	9.5%	1.23	4.01