Jhony Brito — OGILVIE

Jhony Brito P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.21

FIP4.32

K%16.2%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4040

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7796.4

Whiff%

p1019.0%

p1015.7%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

CH+3.1 (34%)

CT+0.6 (1%)

SI (25%)

FB (51%)

SL-2.3 (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	13	13	55	243	48	9	4	100%	4.2	13.4%	4.6%	8.8%	2.3%	6.38	3.82	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	13	13	55	243	48	9	4	100%	4.2	19.8%	3.7%	16.0%	1.6%	6.38	2.79	—
2019	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	22	9	101	407	79	14	5	41%	4.6	14.4%	4.1%	10.3%	1.7%	3.58	3.36	—
2019	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	22	9	101	407	79	14	5	41%	4.6	19.4%	3.4%	16.0%	1.2%	3.58	2.59	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	117	490	118	21	10	100%	5.3	18.9%	4.8%	14.1%	2.4%	3.55	3.42	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	117	490	118	21	10	100%	5.3	24.1%	4.3%	19.8%	2.0%	3.55	2.73	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	113	454	91	35	9	88%	4.3	17.1%	8.2%	8.8%	2.2%	2.96	3.92	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	113	454	91	35	9	88%	4.3	20.0%	7.7%	12.3%	2.0%	2.96	3.46	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	20	127	537	105	44	22	62%	4.0	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	4.1%	4.62	4.76	+0.2
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	20	127	537	105	44	22	62%	4.0	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	4.1%	4.62	4.76	+0.2
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	20	127	537	105	44	22	62%	4.0	19.6%	8.2%	11.4%	4.1%	4.62	4.74	+0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	6	58	258	38	18	6	19%	1.8	14.1%	6.6%	7.5%	2.3%	5.31	4.01	+0.4
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	6	58	258	38	18	6	19%	1.8	14.1%	6.6%	7.5%	2.3%	5.31	4.01	+0.4
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	6	58	258	38	18	6	19%	1.8	14.7%	7.0%	7.8%	2.3%	5.31	4.07	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			56	13	143	592	107	38	20	23%	2.6	18.1%	6.4%	11.7%	3.4%	4.15	4.22	+0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	23	17	77	311	50	17	10	74%	3.3	11.6%	5.8%	5.8%	2.7%	3.05	4.33	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	23	17	77	311	50	17	10	74%	3.3	11.6%	5.8%	5.8%	2.7%	3.05	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	SD	2	2	6	26	9	1	2	100%	3.0	34.6%	3.8%	30.8%	7.7%	7.50	4.89	—
2026	28	AA RAW	SD	4	4	18	70	8	5	1	100%	4.6	11.4%	7.1%	4.3%	1.4%	1.96	3.82	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	SD	12	11	43	180	27	10	5	92%	3.6	15.0%	5.6%	9.4%	2.8%	2.91	4.06	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	SD	5	0	9	35	6	1	2	0%	1.8	17.1%	2.9%	14.3%	5.7%	3.00	5.15	—
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	SD	5	0	9	35	6	1	2	0%	1.8	17.1%	2.9%	14.3%	5.7%	3.00	5.15	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	SD	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.1	16.2%	7.1%	9.0%	3.1%	4.21	4.32	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	SD	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.0	16.2%	7.1%	9.0%	3.1%	4.21	4.32	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	82	332	53	19	11	—	—	16.1%	5.6%	10.5%	3.2%	3.12	4.33	+0.4
FULL	28	MLB A+C	SD	—	—	14	59	53	19	11	—	—	89.9%	31.2%	58.8%	17.9%	18.13	9.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	9	9	54	226	37	16	8	100%	5.9	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	3.4%	4.74	4.85	+0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	SD	8	8	50	212	34	16	8	100%	6.3	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	3.6%	4.93	5.05	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	8	8	51	215	36	15	7	100%	6.4	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	3.4%	4.74	4.85	+0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	SD	8	8	48	203	32	15	7	100%	6.0	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	3.6%	4.93	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	31	247	1030	178	70	35	42%	3.3	17.3%	6.8%	10.5%	3.4%	4.43	4.37	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		60	25	200	835	144	57	28	42%	3.4	17.3%	6.8%	10.5%	3.4%	4.43	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		170	110	646	2700	433	166	70	65%	3.8	16.0%	6.2%	9.9%	2.6%	4.00	3.96	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	34	200	836	134	51	22	65%	3.8	16.0%	6.2%	9.9%	2.6%	4.00	3.96	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhony Brito (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	17.1%	7.3%	3.1%	—	4.95	16.2%	8.9%	104	+0.31	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	71
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	70
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	69
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	69
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	69
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	68
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	68
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	68
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	67
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	66
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	66
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	65
Alex Cobb R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SP	5.26	14.0%	6.9%	4.5%	.366	4.37	16.3%	10.7%	344	-0.89	2.74	844	65
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	65
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	65
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	65
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	64
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	64
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	64
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	16.5%	7.3%	1.29	4.73
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79