Jhony Brito
P
San Diego Padres
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.39
FIP4.50
xFIP4.33
SIERA4.17
K%19.0%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%11.0%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF3535
CTRL6565
CMD4040
K†4545
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p1019.0%
K%
p1015.7%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
CH+3.1 (34%)
CT+0.6 (1%)
SI (25%)
FB (51%)
SL-2.3 (13%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 13 | 13 | 55 | 243 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 13.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 6.38 | 3.82 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 22 | 9 | 101 | 407 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 14.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 3.58 | 3.34 | +2.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 22 | 117 | 490 | 118 | 21 | 10 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.55 | 3.41 | +2.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 26 | 23 | 113 | 454 | 91 | 35 | 9 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 2.96 | 3.92 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 32 | 20 | 127 | 537 | 105 | 44 | 22 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 4.62 | 4.75 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 32 | 6 | 58 | 258 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 5.31 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SD | 14 | — | 14 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.54 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 35 | 15 | 6 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | SD | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | SD | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | SD | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | SD | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 16.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | SD | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 15.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | SD | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 14.4% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 147 | 93 | 569 | 2389 | 399 | 152 | 61 | 16.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 3.90 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 33 | 200 | 839 | 140 | 53 | 21 | 16.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 3.90 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhony Brito (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.68 | 18.5% | 10.3% | 132 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 76 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 74 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 74 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 74 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.17 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.74 | 2.72 | 844 | 73 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 73 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 73 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 72 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.45 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.62 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 70 | +1.17 | 2.30 | 511 | 72 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 71 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 71 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 71 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 71 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 71 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 70 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 70 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 70 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 70 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.09 | 3.18 | 253 | 70 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 15.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 140 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.