Jhony Brito
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.57
FIP4.69
K%17.2%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p1019.0%
K%
p1015.7%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
CH+3.1 (34%)
CT+0.6 (1%)
SI (25%)
FB (51%)
SL-2.3 (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 13 | 13 | 55 | 243 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 13.4% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 6.38 | 3.82 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 13 | 13 | 55 | 243 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.8% | 3.7% | 16.0% | 1.6% | 6.38 | 2.79 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 22 | 9 | 101 | 407 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 41% | 4.6 | 14.4% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 3.58 | 3.45 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 22 | 9 | 101 | 407 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 41% | 4.6 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 16.0% | 1.2% | 3.58 | 2.59 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 117 | 490 | 118 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 3.55 | 3.37 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 117 | 490 | 118 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.1% | 4.3% | 19.8% | 2.0% | 3.55 | 2.73 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 113 | 454 | 91 | 35 | 9 | 88% | 4.3 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 2.96 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 113 | 454 | 91 | 35 | 9 | 88% | 4.3 | 20.0% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 2.96 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 20 | 127 | 537 | 105 | 44 | 22 | 62% | 4.0 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 4.62 | 4.77 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 20 | 127 | 537 | 105 | 44 | 22 | 62% | 4.0 | 19.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 4.62 | 4.74 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 6 | 58 | 258 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 19% | 1.8 | 14.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 5.31 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 6 | 58 | 258 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 19% | 1.8 | 14.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 5.31 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 12 | 10 | 47 | 188 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 83% | 3.9 | 15.9% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.47 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 218 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 38 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | SD | — | — | 99 | 406 | 76 | 33 | 13 | — | — | 18.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 3.57 | 4.52 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | SD | — | — | 56 | 236 | 76 | 33 | 13 | — | — | 32.4% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 5.4% | 6.31 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 9 | 9 | 54 | 226 | 37 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 8 | 8 | 50 | 212 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 80 | 40 | 289 | 1208 | 209 | 88 | 40 | 50% | 3.6 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.36 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 28 | 200 | 837 | 145 | 61 | 28 | 50% | 3.6 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 159 | 103 | 617 | 2577 | 429 | 171 | 67 | 65% | 3.9 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.00 | 3.96 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 33 | 200 | 836 | 139 | 56 | 22 | 65% | 3.9 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.00 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhony Brito (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 17.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.95 | 16.3% | 8.3% | 104 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 72 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 71 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 70 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 70 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 69 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 68 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 67 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 67 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 66 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 66 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 66 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 66 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 65 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 65 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 65 |
| Max Beatty R 2024 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.69 | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 65 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 65 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 65 |
| Daulton Jefferies R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 265 | 65 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 53 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 1.26 | 4.74 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |