Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 14 | 13 | 59 | 246 | 52 | 26 | 1 | 93% | 4.2 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.30 | 3.87 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 14 | 13 | 59 | 246 | 52 | 26 | 1 | 93% | 4.2 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.4% | 2.30 | 2.88 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 12 | 11 | 59 | 255 | 56 | 29 | 6 | 92% | 4.9 | 14.9% | 14.2% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 3.34 | 5.45 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 12 | 11 | 59 | 255 | 56 | 29 | 6 | 92% | 4.9 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 3.34 | 3.99 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 109 | 457 | 106 | 53 | 5 | 95% | 5.2 | 17.2% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.63 | 4.00 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 109 | 457 | 106 | 53 | 5 | 95% | 5.2 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 3.21 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 14 | 97 | 402 | 102 | 32 | 4 | 74% | 5.1 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 0.6% | 2.96 | 2.83 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 14 | 97 | 402 | 102 | 32 | 4 | 74% | 5.1 | 25.4% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 1.0% | 2.96 | 2.52 | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 28.6% | -28.6% | 14.3% | 81.00 | 14.56 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 28.6% | -28.6% | 14.3% | 81.00 | 60.10 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 26 | 2 | 31 | 133 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 8% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 15.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 5.12 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 26 | 2 | 31 | 133 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 8% | 1.2 | 22.6% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 50% | 3.8 | 18.6% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.84 | 6.12 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 32 | 200 | 990 | 182 | 130 | 52 | 55% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.84 | 6.12 | -1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 60 | 356 | 1500 | 261 | 194 | 22 | 65% | 3.8 | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 4.06 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 34 | 200 | 843 | 146 | 109 | 12 | 65% | 3.8 | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edwar Colina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.60 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 70 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.31 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | .356 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 141 | +0.16 | 2.93 | 432 | 70 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 63 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 63 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 63 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 63 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 63 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 62 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 62 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 62 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 61 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 61 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 61 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 61 |
| Nathan Eovaldi R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.49 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 24.6% | 20.4% | 340 | -2.25 | 2.49 | 1,354 | 60 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 59 |
| Daulton Jefferies R 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 265 | 59 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 59 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 59 |