Indigo Diaz

P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 250 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	14	3	15	1.80	1.83	35.8%	3.8%	—	K 35.8% · BB 3.8% · FIP 1.59
2025	26	AANYY	42	0	52	2.58	3.10	21.4%	10.2%	—	K 17.3% · BB 11.3% · FIP 3.66
2026	27	AAARI	23	0	24	13.69	7.87	18.5%	14.6%	—	K 15.0% · BB 16.1% · FIP 7.93
2027PROJ	28	MLBARI	56	0	59	5.84	5.84	15.4%	14.4%	-0.8
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBARI	17	0	18	5.77	5.82	16.0%	14.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBARI	26	0	27	5.79	5.88	16.2%	14.0%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevin Gryboski (age 28) · Beck Wheeler (age 28) · Chris Jefferson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%15.4%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	6	0	10	42	15	2	0	0%	1.7	35.7%	4.8%	31.0%	0.0%	3.48	0.69	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	6	0	10	42	15	2	0	0%	1.7	35.7%	4.8%	31.0%	0.0%	3.48	0.78	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	45	175	83	16	1	0%	1.4	37.2%	10.3%	26.9%	0.8%	1.20	1.70	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	45	175	83	16	1	0%	1.4	47.4%	9.1%	38.3%	0.6%	1.20	0.77	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	49	0	50	213	63	30	4	0%	1.0	24.0%	15.5%	8.5%	2.4%	3.08	4.37	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	49	0	50	213	63	30	4	0%	1.0	29.6%	14.1%	15.5%	1.9%	3.08	3.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	0%	1.4	23.7%	16.2%	7.5%	3.5%	4.26	5.05	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	144	43	21	4	0%	1.4	29.9%	14.6%	15.3%	2.8%	4.26	4.02	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.59	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.59	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	3	15	53	19	2	1	21%	1.1	35.8%	3.8%	32.1%	1.9%	1.80	1.83	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	11.3%	6.1%	1.1%	2.58	3.66	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	11.3%	6.1%	1.1%	2.58	3.66	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	42	0	52	215	46	22	2	0%	1.2	21.4%	10.2%	11.2%	0.9%	2.58	3.10	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	15.0%	16.1%	-1.1%	7.4%	13.69	7.93	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	15.0%	16.1%	-1.1%	7.4%	13.69	7.93	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	23	0	24	130	24	19	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	14.6%	3.8%	6.2%	13.69	7.87	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	ARI	56	0	59	249	38	36	8	0%	1.1	15.4%	14.4%	1.1%	3.4%	5.84	5.84	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	ARI	54	0	56	237	38	33	8	0%	1.0	16.0%	14.1%	1.9%	3.5%	5.77	5.82	-0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	ARI	50	0	53	223	36	31	8	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.0%	2.2%	3.6%	5.79	5.88	-0.8
2028	29	MLB CTX	ARI	17	0	18	76	12	11	3	0%	1.1	16.0%	14.1%	1.9%	3.5%	5.77	5.82	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	ARI	26	0	27	114	18	16	4	0%	1.0	16.2%	14.0%	2.2%	3.6%	5.79	5.88	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	189	30	27	7	0%	1.0	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	3.6%	5.78	5.48	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	121	31	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	3.6%	5.78	5.48	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		189	3	228	972	241	123	24	2%	1.2	24.8%	12.7%	12.1%	2.5%	3.80	4.00	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		166	3	200	854	212	108	21	2%	1.2	24.8%	12.7%	12.1%	2.5%	3.80	4.00	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Indigo Diaz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	15.4%	14.4%	3.4%	—	5.85	16.1%	2.0%	109	+0.01	—	—	—
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	90
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	85
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	82
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	81
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	81
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	80
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	80
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	80
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	78
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	78
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.49	15.9%	4.6%	79	+0.29	4.46	215	78
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Cory Rasmus R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	14.9%	13.2%	3.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	138	77
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	15.9%	14.2%	1.35	5.80
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*