Forrest Whitley

P Durham Bulls

Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 208 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	AAAHOU	8	6	30	5.70	5.27	23.7%	12.6%	—	K 20.4% · BB 11.3% · FIP 5.81
2024	26	MIX3 levels	36	1	37	1.93	3.72	30.7%	12.0%	0.4	K 27.4% · BB 9.6% · FIP 3.89
2025	27	MIX2 levels	29	12	73	4.56	3.42	28.2%	10.1%	1.0	K 24.8% · BB 9.3% · FIP 3.41
2027PROJ	29	MLBTB	11	11	66	4.12	4.02	25.1%	8.6%	0.7
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBTB	4	4	23	4.22	4.26	24.3%	8.9%	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBTB	5	5	32	4.39	4.49	23.4%	9.3%	0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

FB Velo75

K%23

Whiff%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsJose Contreras (age 31) · Tiago Da Silva (age 30) · Fabio Castillo (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 93

ERA4.12

FIP4.02

K%25.1%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%16.5%

Proj IP66

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p1019.5%

p2318.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.412

CH (1%)

SI (20%)

CU (21%)

SL-0.9 (8%)

FB-3.9 (51%)

CT-4.1 (27%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	8	6	19	81	26	6	0	75%	2.3	21.8%	9.3%	12.6%	0.0%	4.82	2.43	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	8	6	19	81	26	6	0	75%	2.3	32.1%	7.4%	24.7%	0.0%	4.82	1.28	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	18	92	380	143	34	5	78%	4.0	28.7%	10.4%	18.3%	1.6%	2.83	2.84	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	18	92	380	143	34	5	78%	4.0	37.6%	8.9%	28.7%	1.3%	2.83	1.81	—
2018	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	8	8	26	108	34	11	2	100%	3.3	25.5%	11.2%	14.3%	2.1%	3.76	3.52	—
2018	20	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	8	8	26	108	34	11	2	100%	3.3	31.5%	10.2%	21.3%	1.9%	3.76	2.76	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	15	60	278	86	44	11	83%	3.3	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	5.7%	7.99	6.25	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	15	60	278	86	44	11	83%	3.3	30.9%	15.8%	15.1%	4.0%	7.99	4.83	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	11	40	186	45	27	2	85%	3.1	20.1%	16.6%	3.4%	1.5%	6.53	4.34	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	11	40	186	45	27	2	85%	3.1	24.2%	14.5%	9.7%	1.1%	6.53	3.52	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	8	6	30	135	32	17	6	75%	3.8	20.4%	11.3%	9.1%	5.5%	5.70	5.81	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	8	6	30	135	32	17	6	75%	3.8	23.7%	12.6%	11.1%	4.4%	5.70	5.27	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	27.4%	9.6%	17.9%	3.5%	1.93	3.89	+0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	27.4%	9.6%	17.9%	3.5%	1.93	3.89	+0.3
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	30.7%	12.0%	18.7%	3.0%	1.93	3.72	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	24.8%	9.3%	15.5%	2.2%	4.56	3.41	+1.0
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	24.8%	9.3%	15.5%	2.2%	4.56	3.41	+1.0
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	28.2%	10.1%	18.2%	2.6%	4.56	3.42	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			13	0	15	86	17	11	3	0%	1.2	19.8%	12.8%	7.0%	3.5%	10.57	5.58	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TB	11	11	66	279	70	24	8	100%	6.0	25.1%	8.6%	16.5%	2.9%	4.12	4.02	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	10	10	62	264	64	24	8	100%	6.2	24.3%	8.9%	15.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.26	+0.5
2029	31	MLB MLE	TB	10	10	58	246	58	23	8	100%	5.8	23.4%	9.3%	14.1%	3.3%	4.39	4.49	+0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	4	4	23	97	24	9	3	100%	5.8	24.3%	8.9%	15.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.26	+0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	TB	5	5	32	135	32	13	4	100%	6.4	23.4%	9.3%	14.1%	3.3%	4.39	4.49	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	9	70	319	72	32	10	41%	3.2	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	3.3%	5.68	4.27	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		63	26	200	905	204	91	28	41%	3.2	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	3.3%	5.68	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		143	77	377	1642	410	196	47	54%	2.6	25.0%	11.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.67	4.07	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	41	200	870	217	104	25	54%	2.6	25.0%	11.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.67	4.07	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Forrest Whitley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.02	25.1%	8.6%	2.9%	—	4.37	23.9%	14.7%	121	+0.35	—	—	—
Jose Contreras R 2003 · 3.03 FIP	31	SP-	3.03	24.6%	9.9%	1.4%	.255	4.30	17.9%	9.5%	571	+1.27	2.43	1,279	74
Tiago Da Silva R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	30	SW	3.10	19.6%	4.5%	2.0%	.278	2.38	21.4%	18.5%	98	-0.72	2.21	287	70
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	69
Junior Guerra R 2015 · 3.18 FIP	30	SW	3.18	26.8%	10.3%	1.9%	.269	4.15	20.8%	10.9%	390	+0.97	3.18	646	69
Phil Klein R 2016 · 3.10 FIP	27	SW	3.10	24.5%	6.6%	2.2%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	197	67
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	64
Dinelson Lamet R 2021 · 3.67 FIP	29	SW	3.67	27.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.339	4.61	20.7%	8.6%	176	+0.94	2.11	778	64
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	63
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	63
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	62
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	61
Anthony Bass R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SP-	3.42	23.6%	9.1%	2.1%	.356	3.43	20.7%	14.2%	141	+0.01	2.93	647	61
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	61
Mitch Neunborn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	27	SP-	4.25	19.0%	12.0%	2.2%	.285	5.80	16.4%	6.5%	114	+1.55	3.65	248	61
Wilmer Font R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	29	SW	4.43	26.7%	7.6%	4.8%	.281	4.24	17.6%	7.0%	16	-0.19	2.76	345	60
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	60
Seth Simmons R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	28	SW	4.27	18.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.262	6.20	13.3%	2.4%	54	+1.93	3.07	251	60
Elian Leyva R 2018 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	17.7%	7.3%	1.0%	.308	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	71	+1.20	3.10	158	60
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	60
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	60

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	23.9%	9.3%	1.21	4.72
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Oliver Drake ('20)	1.0	68	26.2%	9.5%	1.06	4.27
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.5	59	24.8%	9.4%	1.42	4.21
Mike Hartley ('89-'95, 2 WAR*)	1.6	80	24.3%*	9.9%*	1.09*	4.09*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*