Kyle Muller
P
Oakland Athletics
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'7" / 250 lbs
MLB
ERA5.44
FIP4.84
xFIP4.03
SIERA3.93
K%18.7%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%10.7%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4545
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p3222.7%
K%
p2017.8%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+1.9 (53%)
CH+1.5 (8%)
SL+0.5 (25%)
CU (14%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 10 | 9 | 28 | 110 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 23.5% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.65 | 2.84 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Danville Braves | 11 | 11 | 48 | 207 | 49 | 18 | 5 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.15 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 20 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 25 | 25 | 140 | 572 | 129 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.85 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 22 | 22 | 112 | 468 | 120 | 68 | 5 | 20.8% | 16.0% | 1.5% | 3.14 | 4.17 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 25 | 116 | 500 | 130 | 61 | 11 | 23.8% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 4.00 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 26 | 147 | 601 | 171 | 48 | 16 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 3.80 | 3.61 | +2.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 34 | 26 | 139 | 673 | 107 | 76 | 28 | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 7.45 | 5.70 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 5 | 78 | 322 | 58 | 17 | 12 | 17.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.29 | 4.57 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 37 | 16 | 7 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 5.59 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.13 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.15 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 42 | — | 42 | 175 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 15.5% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 5.47 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 5.61 | 5.70 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 5.76 | 5.87 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 149 | 807 | 3453 | 683 | 372 | 97 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.34 | +8.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 37 | 200 | 856 | 169 | 92 | 24 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.34 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Muller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.90 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | — | 5.07 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 134 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 76 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 74 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.88 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 200 | 73 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.50 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 188 | 73 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 73 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.92 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .293 | 3.92 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | +0.00 | 3.92 | 129 | 72 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.58 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.36 | 2.22 | 286 | 72 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 72 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.82 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 244 | 72 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 71 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.16 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.04 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.12 | 3.29 | 228 | 71 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 71 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 141 | 71 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.77 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .355 | 3.86 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 129 | +0.09 | 3.77 | 188 | 71 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 70 |
| Carlos Hernandez L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.52 | 11.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | .320 | 3.31 | 14.0% | 10.2% | 228 | -2.21 | 2.83 | 331 | 70 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 70 |
| Josh Outman L 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.54 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.68 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.14 | 4.54 | 106 | 70 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.95 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 5.8% | .250 | 4.30 | 25.4% | 16.0% | 62 | -1.65 | 2.50 | 190 | 70 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.