Kyle Muller
P
Oakland Athletics
Age 28
LHP
6'7" / 250 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION47 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA5.20
FIP5.06
xFIP4.03
SIERA3.93
K%16.7%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%8.6%
IP47
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p3222.7%
K%
p2017.8%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+1.9 (53%)
CH+1.5 (8%)
SL+0.5 (25%)
CU (14%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 10 | 9 | 28 | 110 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 23.5% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.65 | 2.84 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Danville Braves | 11 | 11 | 48 | 207 | 49 | 18 | 5 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.15 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2018 | 20 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 25 | 25 | 140 | 572 | 129 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.03 | 3.98 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 22 | 22 | 112 | 468 | 120 | 68 | 5 | 20.8% | 16.0% | 1.6% | 3.14 | 4.25 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 25 | 116 | 500 | 130 | 61 | 11 | 23.8% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 4.00 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 26 | 147 | 601 | 171 | 48 | 16 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 3.80 | 3.66 | +3.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 34 | 26 | 139 | 673 | 107 | 76 | 28 | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 7.45 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 5 | 78 | 322 | 58 | 17 | 12 | 17.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.29 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 5.20 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 31 | 16 | 7 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.43 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 5.53 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 13.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 5.76 | 5.91 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 6.02 | 6.19 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 6.31 | 6.50 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 6.62 | 6.83 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 149 | 807 | 3453 | 683 | 372 | 100 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.39 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 37 | 200 | 856 | 169 | 92 | 25 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Muller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.06 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | — | 5.43 | 15.4% | 6.8% | 127 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 78 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 78 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 76 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 74 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 72 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 72 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 72 |
| Carlos Hernandez L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.15 | 11.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | .320 | 3.29 | 14.0% | 10.2% | 228 | -1.86 | 2.82 | 331 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 72 |
| Wei-Chung Wang L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.76 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 387 | 71 |
| Michael Johnson L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.99 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 71 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 160 | 70 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 70 |
| Misael Siverio L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.52 | 17.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 185 | 70 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 69 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 4.73 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.31 | 3.33 | 228 | 69 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 69 |
| Ivan Pelaez L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 210 | 69 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 69 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.22 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 138 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.