Braxton Garrett
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 202 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA3.98
FIP3.97
xFIP3.49
SIERA3.45
K%22.8%
BB%5.9%
K-BB%16.9%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF4040
CTRL7575
CMD6060
K†5050
FB Velo
p1090.7
Whiff%
p2521.8%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
FB+2.0 (47%)
CT+1.1 (9%)
SI (33%)
CU (4%)
SL (27%)
CH-4.6 (12%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 4 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.93 | 5.83 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 21 | 21 | 107 | 451 | 119 | 40 | 13 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 3.54 | 5.03 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 2 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | 5.87 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 26 | 25 | 120 | 516 | 118 | 52 | 13 | 20.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.33 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 25 | 25 | 125 | 528 | 124 | 34 | 14 | 22.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 3.32 | +2.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 31 | 30 | 160 | 659 | 156 | 29 | 20 | 23.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.66 | 3.32 | +3.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 15 | 15 | 72 | 294 | 78 | 14 | 8 | 21.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.77 | 3.59 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 3 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 26.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 0.59 | 2.05 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 20.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.00 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 37 | 147 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 24.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 2.57 | 3.27 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 40 | 11 | 6 | 19.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.14 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 18.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.47 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 17.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 27 | — | 27 | 115 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 16.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.81 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 127 | 125 | 621 | 2604 | 574 | 190 | 84 | 22.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 3.94 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 40 | 200 | 839 | 185 | 61 | 27 | 22.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 3.94 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braxton Garrett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.16 | 20.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.32 | 19.2% | 13.6% | 130 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 70 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.63 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.23 | 3.76 | 686 | 68 |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 15.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | .241 | 3.36 | 23.2% | 18.4% | 392 | -0.59 | 2.77 | 725 | 67 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.04 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.13 | 26.6% | 13.5% | 55 | +0.09 | 3.04 | 194 | 67 |
| Josh Outman L 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.54 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.68 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.14 | 4.54 | 106 | 67 |
| Danny Coulombe L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.40 | 23.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .326 | 3.70 | 28.3% | 21.6% | 91 | -0.70 | 2.48 | 461 | 67 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.09 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.08 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 56 | +0.99 | 3.09 | 145 | 67 |
| James Russell L 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.20 | 14.1% | 8.7% | 111 | +0.61 | 2.65 | 233 | 67 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 67 |
| Tyler Webb L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.32 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .280 | 4.56 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 115 | +1.24 | 3.10 | 337 | 67 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.06 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 1.1% | .294 | 3.79 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 188 | +0.73 | 3.06 | 244 | 66 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.48 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | .271 | 4.07 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.59 | 3.48 | 158 | 65 |
| Franklin Morales L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 65 |
| Matt Dermody L 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.90 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | .294 | 4.18 | 19.8% | 16.7% | 23 | -0.72 | 2.38 | 348 | 65 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.58 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.36 | 2.22 | 286 | 65 |
| John Lamb L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.67 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 390 | 64 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .242 | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 63 | +0.92 | 3.52 | 126 | 64 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.58 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 64 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 64 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.02 | 15.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.89 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 65 | +0.87 | 2.81 | 166 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.