Oddanier Mosqueda

P Memphis Redbirds

Age 28 LHP 5'10" / 208 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	AAAScranton/Wilk…	55	68	4.39	3.63	29.7%	12.2%	—	K 25.6% · BB 10.9% · FIP 3.89
2025	26	AAASTL	55	66	4.52	3.79	24.3%	10.7%	—	K 20.9% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.30
2027PROJ	28	MLBSTL	66	69	4.54	4.54	22.2%	10.1%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBSTL	23	24	4.60	4.65	22.1%	10.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBSTL	32	34	4.71	4.80	21.8%	10.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control45Command50

CompsColton Johnson (age 26) · Ryan Verdugo (age 28) · Adam Liberatore (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%22.2%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%12.1%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 1	16	0	42	169	54	19	0	0%	2.6	21.7%	14.1%	7.7%	0.0%	2.36	3.05	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 1	16	0	42	169	54	19	0	0%	2.6	32.0%	11.2%	20.7%	0.0%	2.36	1.89	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	11	10	39	183	31	22	3	91%	3.5	11.5%	15.0%	-3.5%	2.3%	7.38	5.29	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	11	10	39	183	31	22	3	91%	3.5	16.9%	12.0%	4.9%	1.6%	7.38	4.20	—
2019	20	A MLE	Greenville Drive	27	0	52	224	69	21	4	0%	1.9	22.8%	11.1%	11.7%	2.1%	3.29	3.74	—
2019	20	A RAW	Greenville Drive	27	0	52	224	69	21	4	0%	1.9	30.8%	9.4%	21.4%	1.8%	3.29	2.66	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	32	0	47	195	66	25	2	0%	1.5	26.1%	14.7%	11.3%	1.4%	3.61	3.56	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	32	0	47	195	66	25	2	0%	1.5	33.8%	12.8%	21.0%	1.0%	3.61	2.45	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	45	0	59	242	76	20	9	0%	1.3	25.4%	9.1%	16.3%	4.4%	4.30	4.54	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	45	0	59	242	76	20	9	0%	1.3	31.4%	8.3%	23.1%	3.7%	4.30	3.53	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	48	3	61	282	74	39	10	6%	1.3	22.6%	12.4%	10.1%	3.9%	5.31	4.90	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	48	3	61	282	74	39	10	6%	1.3	26.2%	13.8%	12.4%	3.5%	5.31	4.72	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	55	0	68	296	88	36	8	0%	1.2	25.6%	10.9%	14.6%	2.8%	4.39	3.89	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	55	0	68	296	88	36	8	0%	1.2	25.6%	10.9%	14.6%	2.8%	4.39	3.89	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	55	0	68	296	88	36	8	0%	1.2	29.7%	12.2%	17.6%	2.7%	4.39	3.63	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	55	0	66	280	68	30	7	0%	1.2	20.9%	9.6%	11.2%	3.2%	4.52	4.30	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	55	0	66	280	68	30	7	0%	1.2	20.9%	9.6%	11.2%	3.2%	4.52	4.30	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	55	0	66	280	68	30	7	0%	1.2	24.3%	10.7%	13.6%	2.5%	4.52	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	STL	66	0	69	291	65	29	9	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	63	0	66	280	62	29	9	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.2%	11.9%	3.2%	4.60	4.65	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	STL	59	0	62	263	57	27	9	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	3.4%	4.71	4.80	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	23	0	24	101	22	10	3	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.2%	11.9%	3.2%	4.60	4.65	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	STL	32	0	34	144	31	15	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	3.4%	4.71	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	248	54	26	8	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.4%	11.6%	3.3%	4.66	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	89	27	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.4%	11.6%	3.3%	4.66	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		289	13	433	1871	419	221	51	4%	1.5	22.4%	11.8%	10.6%	2.7%	4.38	4.20	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	6	200	864	193	102	23	4%	1.5	22.4%	11.8%	10.6%	2.7%	4.38	4.20	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oddanier Mosqueda (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	22.2%	10.1%	3.0%	—	4.72	22.0%	11.6%	128	+0.18	—	—	—
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	87
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	85
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	83
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	83
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	81
Kelly Wunsch L 2000 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	19.7%	10.8%	1.5%	.261	4.17	17.6%	5.9%	90	+0.52	3.36	175	81
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	194	81
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	79
Josh Smoker L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	28	SU	4.20	25.5%	9.4%	3.8%	.329	4.35	20.2%	11.3%	59	+0.15	2.71	230	79
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	78
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	78
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	78
Jesse Carlson L 2009 · 3.72 FIP	28	SU	3.72	17.5%	6.2%	2.4%	.279	5.39	13.6%	8.5%	14	+1.67	3.28	141	77
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	77
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	77
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	76
Patrick Schuster L 2017 · 4.51 FIP	26	SU	4.51	19.8%	8.3%	3.7%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	160	76
David Purcey L 2010 · 3.60 FIP	28	SU	3.60	22.4%	9.8%	2.1%	.245	4.29	16.7%	2.7%	59	+0.69	3.60	206	76
Vic Darensbourg L 2000 · 3.93 FIP	29	SU	3.93	21.5%	9.9%	2.5%	.298	4.26	15.3%	9.6%	97	+0.33	2.94	287	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	22.1%	10.3%	1.23	4.61
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*