Danny Young
P
New York Mets
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.29
FIP4.12
xFIP1.64
SIERA1.99
K%25.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%15.1%
IP39
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF6060
CTRL4040
CMD5555
K†6060
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p8430.7%
K%
p8729.1%
xwOBA vs
p260.340
FB+1.1 (55%)
SL (42%)
SI (55%)
CT-0.6 (3%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 2.70 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 47 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 14.7% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 3.00 | 3.49 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 40 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 15.7% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 4.13 | 3.69 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 38 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 15.3% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 2.76 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 40 | 0 | 52 | 234 | 58 | 25 | 9 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 4.47 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 43 | 0 | 43 | 185 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 32.8% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 3.80 | 1.46 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 24 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 19.8% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 4.50 | 6.33 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 57 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 70 | 28 | 3 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 1.3% | 3.63 | 2.92 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 10 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 13 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.32 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 12 | — | 12 | 50 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 38 | — | 38 | 158 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 23.6% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 22.9% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 31 | — | 31 | 133 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 320 | 0 | 371 | 1635 | 339 | 171 | 32 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 3.76 | +6.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 0 | 200 | 881 | 183 | 92 | 17 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 3.76 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Young (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.52 | 22.9% | 12.2% | 107 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.67 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.3% | .286 | 5.02 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.35 | 2.37 | 296 | 79 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.28 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 3.2% | .276 | 5.11 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.83 | 3.70 | 181 | 78 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.70 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 223 | 78 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 113 | 76 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 76 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 75 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 202 | 73 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 72 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.09 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 2.83 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.26 | 2.41 | 215 | 71 |
| Grant Dayton L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 27.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .254 | 3.84 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 62 | +0.17 | 1.69 | 277 | 70 |
| Chris Narveson L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.81 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.63 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.18 | 4.62 | 249 | 70 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 70 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.42 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 241 | 70 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 70 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 137 | 70 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.68 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +0.89 | 2.42 | 129 | 69 |
| J.P. Howell L 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.07 | 20.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .326 | 3.70 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 62 | +0.63 | 3.07 | 106 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 69 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.14 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .325 | 4.83 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.69 | 3.78 | 127 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.