Danny Young
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95104vR 113
ERA4.17
FIP4.12
K%27.4%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%15.8%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+1.1 (55%)
SL (42%)
SI (55%)
CT-0.6 (3%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.70 | 4.78 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.83 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 3.00 | 3.40 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 1.1% | 3.00 | 3.04 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 40 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 4.13 | 3.74 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 40 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 1.2% | 4.13 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.3% | 13.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.76 | 4.54 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.7% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 2.76 | 3.77 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 40 | 0 | 52 | 234 | 58 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 4.47 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 40 | 0 | 52 | 234 | 58 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 4.47 | 4.55 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 185 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.8% | 8.9% | 23.9% | 0.0% | 3.80 | 1.46 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 185 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 8.1% | 25.9% | 0.5% | 3.80 | 1.51 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.50 | 6.37 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 3.5% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 70 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 1.3% | 3.63 | 2.92 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 70 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 3.63 | 2.77 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 10 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 35.1% | 8.1% | 27.0% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 1.16 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 10 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 35.1% | 8.1% | 27.0% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 1.06 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 10 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 20% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 62 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 62 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 63 | 268 | 74 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 27.7% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 3.51 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 58 | 245 | 74 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 30.4% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 3.87 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 51 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 44 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 56 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 245 | 1 | 250 | 1070 | 284 | 120 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.80 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 1 | 200 | 855 | 227 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.80 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 330 | 2 | 381 | 1675 | 351 | 178 | 33 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 3.78 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 1 | 200 | 880 | 184 | 94 | 18 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Young (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 27.4% | 11.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.70 | 25.1% | 13.0% | 145 | +0.58 | — | — | — |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 81 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 80 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 80 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 78 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 72 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.97 | 30.8% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .346 | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 11 | +2.58 | 2.44 | 113 | 71 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 71 |
| Grant Dayton L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.75 | 27.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.87 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 62 | +0.12 | 1.73 | 277 | 71 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 69 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 69 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 68 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 68 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 67 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.05 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .352 | 3.71 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.05 | 117 | 66 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 66 |
| Anthony Gose L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.72 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .234 | 4.93 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | +0.21 | 3.88 | 207 | 65 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.21 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .376 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 53 | +0.64 | 4.07 | 424 | 65 |
| J.P. Howell L 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.15 | 20.5% | 6.8% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 62 | +0.56 | 3.15 | 106 | 64 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 25.7% | 11.9% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |