Michael Boyle — OGILVIE

Michael Boyle P St. Paul Saints

Age 32 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%17.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	10	47	199	46	11	1	67%	3.1	16.2%	6.7%	9.4%	0.7%	1.91	2.97	—
2015	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	10	47	199	46	11	1	67%	3.1	23.1%	5.5%	17.6%	0.5%	1.91	2.12	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	135	568	109	38	10	92%	5.2	14.4%	7.9%	6.5%	2.3%	3.53	4.12	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	135	568	109	38	10	92%	5.2	19.2%	6.7%	12.5%	1.8%	3.53	3.29	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	19	7	53	229	37	16	4	37%	2.8	12.4%	8.0%	4.4%	2.0%	4.75	4.17	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	19	7	53	229	37	16	4	37%	2.8	16.2%	7.0%	9.2%	1.7%	4.75	3.59	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	44	187	44	19	6	0%	1.3	18.3%	11.4%	6.8%	3.5%	2.68	4.93	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	44	187	44	19	6	0%	1.3	23.5%	10.2%	13.4%	3.2%	2.68	4.18	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	40	1	54	235	57	26	8	2%	1.3	19.6%	12.2%	7.5%	4.5%	3.02	5.45	—
2019	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	40	1	54	235	57	26	8	2%	1.3	24.3%	11.1%	13.2%	3.4%	3.02	4.37	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	1	11	55	10	6	3	10%	1.1	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.5%	7.15	5.94	—
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	1	11	55	10	6	3	10%	1.1	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.5%	7.15	6.36	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	64	274	66	35	11	2%	1.3	19.8%	12.2%	7.6%	4.2%	4.08	5.26	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	64	274	66	35	11	2%	1.3	19.8%	12.2%	7.6%	4.2%	4.08	5.26	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	64	274	66	35	11	2%	1.3	24.1%	12.8%	11.3%	4.0%	4.08	4.91	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	10	0	9	50	4	7	2	0%	0.9	6.6%	12.6%	-6.0%	4.2%	7.71	6.46	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	10	0	9	50	4	7	2	0%	0.9	6.6%	12.6%	-6.0%	4.2%	7.71	6.46	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	10	0	9	50	4	7	2	0%	0.9	8.0%	14.0%	-6.0%	4.0%	7.71	7.28	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	MIN	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.1%	6.6%	3.1%	5.11	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	15	10	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.3%	6.4%	3.4%	5.18	5.28	-0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	11.3%	6.4%	3.4%	5.18	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.3%	6.4%	3.4%	5.18	4.90	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.3%	6.4%	3.4%	5.18	4.90	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		202	44	417	1797	290	172	52	22%	2.1	16.1%	9.6%	6.6%	2.9%	3.63	4.55	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	21	200	862	139	83	25	22%	2.1	16.1%	9.6%	6.6%	2.9%	3.63	4.55	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Boyle (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	17.7%	11.1%	3.1%	—	5.28	17.8%	6.4%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	3.78	127	72
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	71
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	70
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	67
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2021 · 4.98 FIP	32	SU	4.98	15.2%	7.0%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	159	66
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	66
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	66
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	63
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.59	21.7%	7.5%	95	-0.11	2.97	294	63
Edgar Osuna L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	31	SW	5.09	10.0%	7.2%	3.5%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	5.05	175	63
James Jones L 2021 · 5.35 FIP	32	SU	5.35	23.0%	11.4%	5.0%	.315	4.28	17.8%	2.8%	36	-1.07	3.58	127	62
Sam Freeman L 2019 · 5.60 FIP	32	SU	5.60	16.8%	11.3%	4.5%	.380	4.01	18.5%	5.4%	36	-1.59	3.03	299	62
David Huff L 2016 · 4.06 FIP	31	SW	4.06	19.5%	4.9%	3.6%	.384	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	62
Vidal Nuño L 2019 · 4.40 FIP	32	SU	4.40	20.2%	8.7%	3.5%	.376	4.88	16.0%	11.1%	53	+0.48	4.00	424	62
Andy Otero L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	30	SW	4.36	14.5%	8.9%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	200	62
Marc Rzepczynski L 2018 · 5.68 FIP	32	SU	5.68	17.0%	16.0%	3.6%	.403	5.36	14.8%	1.6%	45	-0.32	2.73	181	62
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	61
Tommy Layne L 2017 · 5.32 FIP	32	SU	5.32	13.3%	14.4%	2.8%	.253	3.83	21.8%	14.4%	64	-1.49	1.32	182	61
Mike Dunn L 2017 · 4.29 FIP	32	SU	4.29	25.9%	12.7%	3.2%	.276	5.11	17.3%	2.6%	35	+0.82	3.71	181	61
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	60