Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 67% | 3.1 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 0.7% | 1.91 | 2.97 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 67% | 3.1 | 23.1% | 5.5% | 17.6% | 0.5% | 1.91 | 2.12 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 135 | 568 | 109 | 38 | 10 | 92% | 5.2 | 14.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 3.53 | 4.13 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 135 | 568 | 109 | 38 | 10 | 92% | 5.2 | 19.2% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 3.53 | 3.29 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 19 | 7 | 53 | 229 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 37% | 2.8 | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 4.75 | 4.09 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 19 | 7 | 53 | 229 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 37% | 2.8 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 4.75 | 3.59 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.68 | 4.75 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 2.68 | 4.18 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 40 | 1 | 54 | 235 | 57 | 26 | 8 | 2% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.02 | 5.72 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 40 | 1 | 54 | 235 | 57 | 26 | 8 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 3.02 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.15 | 5.94 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.15 | 6.36 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 64 | 274 | 66 | 35 | 11 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.08 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 64 | 274 | 66 | 35 | 11 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 4.08 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 10 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 7.0% | 14.7% | -7.7% | 4.1% | 7.71 | 6.61 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 10 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 8.0% | 14.0% | -6.0% | 4.0% | 7.71 | 7.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.53 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 202 | 44 | 417 | 1797 | 292 | 177 | 52 | 22% | 2.1 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.56 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 21 | 200 | 862 | 140 | 85 | 25 | 22% | 2.1 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Boyle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.91 | 21.2% | 10.4% | 20 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.51 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 241 | 75 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 74 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 71 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 70 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 70 |
| Chris Narveson L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 69 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 69 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 68 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 68 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 66 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 66 |
| David Huff L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 66 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 66 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.21 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .376 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 53 | +0.64 | 4.07 | 424 | 65 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 65 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 65 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .443 | 5.09 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 74 | +1.20 | 3.89 | 154 | 65 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.47 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 5.2% | .315 | 4.38 | 18.3% | 2.1% | 36 | -1.09 | 3.58 | 127 | 64 |