Michael Boyle
P
St. Paul Saints
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%11.0%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 15 | 10 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 0.7% | 1.91 | 2.97 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 26 | 24 | 135 | 568 | 109 | 38 | 10 | 14.4% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 3.53 | 4.11 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 19 | 7 | 53 | 229 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 4.20 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 33 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 2.68 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 40 | 1 | 54 | 235 | 57 | 26 | 8 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 3.02 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 10 | 1 | 11 | 55 | 10 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | 7.15 | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 49 | 1 | 64 | 274 | 66 | 35 | 11 | 20.5% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 4.08 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 10 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 7.0% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 7.71 | 6.68 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 18 | — | 18 | 76 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 202 | 44 | 417 | 1797 | 292 | 177 | 52 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.57 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 21 | 200 | 862 | 140 | 85 | 25 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.57 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Boyle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 84 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 82 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 81 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 202 | 80 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 78 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.14 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .325 | 4.83 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.69 | 3.78 | 127 | 78 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 78 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.28 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 3.2% | .276 | 5.11 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.83 | 3.70 | 181 | 77 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.67 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.3% | .286 | 5.02 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.35 | 2.37 | 296 | 77 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2028 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 76 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.70 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 223 | 76 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.42 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 241 | 76 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.13 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 130 | 73 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.38 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 5.1% | .315 | 4.39 | 18.3% | 2.1% | 36 | -0.99 | 3.58 | 127 | 73 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.68 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +0.89 | 2.42 | 129 | 72 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 244 | 71 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.03 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 101 | 71 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 71 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 70 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 113 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.