Dakota Chalmers — OGILVIE

Dakota Chalmers P Reno Aces

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%25.4%

BB%16.9%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	11	11	20	92	18	17	0	100%	1.8	13.3%	23.1%	-9.8%	0.0%	2.66	4.90	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	11	11	20	92	18	17	0	100%	1.8	19.6%	18.5%	1.1%	0.0%	2.66	3.84	—
2017	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	10	5	29	131	47	29	1	50%	2.9	26.5%	26.1%	0.4%	0.9%	4.34	4.68	—
2017	20	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	10	5	29	131	47	29	1	50%	2.9	35.9%	22.1%	13.7%	0.8%	4.34	3.31	—
2018	21	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	2	1	5	28	10	8	0	50%	2.5	35.7%	28.6%	7.1%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2018	21	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	2	1	5	28	10	8	0	50%	2.5	35.7%	28.6%	7.1%	0.0%	0.00	3.90	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	9	35	142	48	23	0	100%	3.9	24.8%	19.2%	5.6%	0.0%	3.63	3.43	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	9	35	142	48	23	0	100%	3.9	33.8%	16.2%	17.6%	0.0%	3.63	2.32	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	71	325	78	51	14	81%	3.4	19.5%	17.4%	2.1%	5.1%	6.06	6.44	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	71	325	78	51	14	81%	3.4	24.0%	15.7%	8.3%	4.3%	6.06	5.61	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	13	0	13	74	15	19	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	27.0%	-9.1%	1.5%	8.31	5.83	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	13	0	13	74	15	19	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	25.7%	-5.4%	1.4%	8.31	6.18	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	26.5%	22.2%	4.3%	1.4%	9.57	4.45	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	26.5%	22.2%	4.3%	1.4%	9.57	4.45	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	31.9%	24.6%	7.2%	1.4%	9.57	4.62	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.4%	16.9%	8.5%	2.8%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	21	14	3	0%	1.1	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	3.0%	5.05	5.12	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	ARI	7	0	7	30	7	5	1	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	3.0%	5.05	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	8	5	1	0%	1.1	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	3.0%	5.05	4.74	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	218	136	27	0%	1.1	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	3.0%	5.05	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		91	43	200	930	205	198	21	47%	2.2	22.1%	21.3%	0.8%	2.2%	5.50	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	43	200	932	206	198	21	47%	2.2	22.1%	21.3%	0.8%	2.2%	5.50	5.15	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dakota Chalmers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	25.4%	16.9%	2.8%	—	5.12	24.9%	8.5%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	68
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	63
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	60
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	59
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	59
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2019 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	15.8%	12.6%	2.5%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	221	59
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	58
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	58
David Lebron R 2021 · 5.56 FIP	27	SU	5.56	26.7%	14.7%	5.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	144	58
Jared Mortensen R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	28	SU	4.99	20.9%	18.8%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	200	57
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	57
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	57
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	57
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	56
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	56
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	56
Bubby Rossman R 2022 · 4.07 FIP	30	SW	4.07	22.8%	15.0%	1.8%	.306	6.38	15.4%	1.2%	22	+2.31	3.62	182	55
Alex Powers R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	25.0%	10.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	264	54
Adam Quintana R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	27	SW	4.17	18.6%	11.7%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	201	54
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	54