Dakota Chalmers
P
Reno Aces
+0.1
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 175 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.5%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%11.1%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 11 | 11 | 20 | 92 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 13.3% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Beloit Snappers | 10 | 5 | 29 | 131 | 47 | 29 | 1 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 0.9% | 4.34 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 2 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 9 | 9 | 35 | 142 | 48 | 23 | 0 | 24.8% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 3.63 | 3.43 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 17 | 71 | 325 | 78 | 51 | 14 | 19.5% | 17.4% | 4.9% | 6.06 | 6.33 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 13 | 0 | 13 | 74 | 15 | 19 | 1 | 17.8% | 27.0% | 1.5% | 8.31 | 5.83 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | 25 | 0 | 26 | 138 | 44 | 34 | 2 | 28.1% | 25.9% | 1.4% | 9.57 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 22 | — | 22 | 92 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 24.5% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 24.2% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 43 | 200 | 930 | 208 | 203 | 20 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 2.2% | 5.50 | 5.17 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 43 | 200 | 932 | 208 | 203 | 20 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 2.2% | 5.50 | 5.17 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dakota Chalmers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 24.5% | 13.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.68 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 21 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 80 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.40 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 78 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 78 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 77 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 77 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 76 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 76 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 76 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 75 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .304 | 6.07 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 74 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 74 |
| Art Warren R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.62 | 24.2% | 12.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 7.07 | 18.6% | 1.7% | 27 | +2.45 | 1.40 | 322 | 74 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 264 | 74 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.