Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 29 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 54 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 2.26 | 3.67 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 29 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 54 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 24.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 0.4% | 2.26 | 2.71 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 39 | 167 | 34 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.43 | 4.28 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 39 | 167 | 34 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 3.43 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 14 | 71 | 308 | 84 | 43 | 6 | 31% | 1.6 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 4.31 | 4.03 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 14 | 71 | 308 | 84 | 43 | 6 | 31% | 1.6 | 27.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 4.31 | 3.65 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 18 | 0 | 22 | 108 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.3% | 16.5% | -0.2% | 5.1% | 8.18 | 6.60 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 18 | 0 | 22 | 108 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.18 | 6.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 11.01 | 9.85 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 0 | 200 | 919 | 190 | 95 | 95 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 11.01 | 9.85 | -10.4 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 14 | 184 | 807 | 155 | 116 | 15 | 12% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 4.32 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 15 | 200 | 877 | 168 | 126 | 16 | 12% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bubby Rossman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.77 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 20 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 1.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 252 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 72 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 72 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 72 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 71 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 71 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .242 | 3.84 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 70 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.05 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .224 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.66 | 3.02 | 358 | 70 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.74 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .258 | 4.22 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.52 | 2.61 | 339 | 69 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 69 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 69 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 68 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 260 | 68 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 68 |