Bryan Hoeing
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29
RHP
6'6" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.33
K%19.6%
BB%7.0%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB (51%)
SI (50%)
SL (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | 22 | 22 | 121 | 522 | 96 | 24 | 13 | 100% | 5.5 | 14.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.04 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | 22 | 22 | 121 | 522 | 96 | 24 | 13 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.4% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 4.83 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 22 | 132 | 569 | 81 | 44 | 19 | 73% | 4.4 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 4.99 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 22 | 132 | 569 | 81 | 44 | 19 | 73% | 4.4 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.74 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 11 | 101 | 424 | 90 | 27 | 16 | 28% | 2.5 | 20.2% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 4.0% | 4.53 | 4.39 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 11 | 101 | 424 | 90 | 27 | 16 | 28% | 2.5 | 21.2% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 3.8% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 3 | 65 | 261 | 55 | 18 | 4 | 8% | 1.6 | 20.5% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 2.49 | 3.28 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 3 | 65 | 261 | 55 | 18 | 4 | 8% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 1.5% | 2.49 | 3.04 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 2 | 27 | 128 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 8% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 5.40 | 3.42 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 2 | 27 | 128 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 8% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 1.6% | 5.40 | 3.14 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SD | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 51 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SD | 56 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 45 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.77 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 159 | 10 | 226 | 952 | 170 | 69 | 33 | 6% | 1.4 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.43 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 9 | 200 | 843 | 151 | 61 | 29 | 6% | 1.4 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 60 | 446 | 1904 | 307 | 128 | 58 | 38% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.26 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 138 | 57 | 26 | 38% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Hoeing (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.65 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 122 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 68 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 68 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 68 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 67 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 65 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 65 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 64 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 63 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 63 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 63 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 62 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 62 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 61 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 61 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.47 | 13.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.07 | 3.14 | 300 | 61 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.04 | 17.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .281 | 5.00 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 139 | +0.96 | 3.93 | 337 | 60 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2028 · 5.28 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.28 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.78 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.50 | 4.78 | 115 | 60 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 60 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 60 |
| Nick Merkel R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 1.23 | 4.48 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |