Bryan Hoeing — OGILVIE

Bryan Hoeing P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'6" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.29

FIP4.30

K%19.3%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

FB (51%)

SI (50%)

SL (10%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Snappers	22	22	121	522	96	24	13	100%	5.5	14.2%	5.3%	8.9%	2.9%	4.83	4.15	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Beloit Snappers	22	22	121	522	96	24	13	100%	5.5	18.4%	4.6%	13.8%	2.5%	4.83	3.50	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	22	132	569	81	44	19	73%	4.4	12.3%	8.1%	4.2%	3.5%	4.83	5.03	-0.2
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	22	132	569	81	44	19	73%	4.4	14.2%	7.7%	6.5%	3.3%	4.83	4.74	+0.2
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	11	101	424	90	27	16	28%	2.5	19.7%	6.3%	13.5%	4.0%	4.53	4.41	+0.2
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	11	101	424	90	27	16	28%	2.5	19.7%	6.3%	13.5%	4.0%	4.53	4.41	+0.2
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	11	101	424	90	27	16	28%	2.5	21.2%	6.4%	14.9%	3.8%	4.53	4.18	+0.4
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	3	65	261	55	18	4	8%	1.6	20.5%	6.2%	14.3%	1.9%	2.49	3.18	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	3	65	261	55	18	4	8%	1.6	20.5%	6.2%	14.3%	1.9%	2.49	3.18	+1.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	3	65	261	55	18	4	8%	1.6	21.1%	6.9%	14.2%	1.5%	2.49	3.04	+1.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	2	27	128	26	9	2	8%	1.1	17.9%	7.3%	10.6%	1.5%	5.40	3.34	+0.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	2	27	128	26	9	2	8%	1.1	17.9%	7.3%	10.6%	1.5%	5.40	3.34	+0.4
2025	28	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	2	27	128	26	9	2	8%	1.1	20.3%	7.0%	13.3%	1.6%	5.40	3.14	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			82	10	145	611	107	44	22	12%	1.8	17.5%	7.2%	10.3%	3.6%	4.72	4.51	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SD	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.3%	6.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.29	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	60	0	63	268	50	19	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	7.0%	11.6%	3.1%	4.42	4.51	+0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	250	45	18	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	7.3%	10.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.74	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	37	0	39	165	31	12	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	7.0%	11.6%	3.1%	4.42	4.51	+0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	SD	40	0	42	177	32	13	6	0%	1.1	17.9%	7.3%	10.5%	3.3%	4.61	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		159	10	226	952	169	69	33	6%	1.4	17.8%	7.2%	10.6%	3.5%	4.65	4.42	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		141	9	200	843	150	61	29	6%	1.4	17.8%	7.2%	10.6%	3.5%	4.65	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		157	60	446	1904	304	126	59	38%	2.8	16.0%	6.6%	9.4%	3.1%	4.46	4.29	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	27	200	853	136	56	26	38%	2.8	16.0%	6.6%	9.4%	3.1%	4.46	4.29	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryan Hoeing (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	19.3%	6.7%	2.9%	—	4.62	18.3%	11.1%	122	+0.32	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	69
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	68
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	68
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	67
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	66
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	65
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	64
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	64
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	63
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	63
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	63
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	63
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	62
Elian Leyva R 2018 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	17.7%	7.3%	1.0%	.308	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	71	+1.20	3.10	158	61
Murphy Smith R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SW	4.32	13.6%	4.9%	3.2%	.267	4.57	13.6%	4.3%	63	+0.25	3.16	300	61
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	61
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	61
Junior Guerra R 2015 · 3.18 FIP	30	SW	3.18	26.8%	10.3%	1.9%	.269	4.15	20.8%	10.9%	390	+0.97	3.18	646	61
Felipe Arredondo R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	29	SW	3.92	17.2%	6.6%	2.6%	.281	4.71	15.4%	8.2%	139	+0.79	3.92	337	60
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	62	18.6%	7.0%	1.21	4.44
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97