Bryan Hoeing
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 29
RHP
6'6" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA4.15
FIP4.16
xFIP4.74
SIERA4.39
K%21.1%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%13.4%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p4894.4
Whiff%
p3022.5%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
FB (51%)
SI (50%)
SL (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | 22 | 22 | 121 | 522 | 96 | 24 | 13 | 14.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.13 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 30 | 22 | 132 | 569 | 81 | 44 | 19 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 5.03 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 40 | 11 | 101 | 424 | 90 | 27 | 16 | 20.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.53 | 4.30 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 40 | 3 | 65 | 261 | 55 | 18 | 4 | 20.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 2.49 | 3.10 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 25 | 2 | 27 | 128 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 5.40 | 3.40 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SD | 17 | — | 17 | 72 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 46 | 18 | 7 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SD | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 43 | 17 | 7 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SD | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 40 | 17 | 7 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | SD | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 17.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | SD | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | SD | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | SD | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 5.12 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 157 | 60 | 446 | 1904 | 307 | 128 | 58 | 16.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.25 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 138 | 57 | 26 | 16.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.25 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Hoeing (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.53 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 159 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 76 |
| Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.18 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | .319 | 2.97 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.21 | 1.72 | 402 | 75 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 75 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 74 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 73 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .353 | 4.68 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +0.87 | 2.67 | 279 | 73 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.60 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .328 | 4.66 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.06 | 2.39 | 676 | 73 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 72 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .351 | 5.10 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 229 | 72 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 72 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 72 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 71 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 71 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 70 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.32 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.11 | 3.21 | 425 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 70 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 70 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.68 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.38 | 3.02 | 258 | 69 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.