Nick Madrigal

3B Durham Bulls

Age 30 R/R 5'7" / 175 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAA40M40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	26	MLBCHC	294	.263/.311/.352	2	10	85	1.2
2024	27	MLBCHC	94	.221/.280/.256	0	1	53	-0.6
2026	29	MLBTB	63	.278/.371/.315	0	1	99	0.3
2027PROJ45% MLB	30	MLBTB	143	.259/.331/.335	1	3	90	0.3
2028PROJ53% MLB	31	MLBTB	194	.254/.326/.323	1	3	86	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service7.000First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%59

Speed37

xwOBA36

Avg EV13

Barrel%10

CompsNorris Hopper (age 30) · Michael Spidale (age 30) · Ryan Theriot (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9390vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .331 / .335

PA143

HR1

K%12

BB%8

BABIP288

ISO78

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 76 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT76

Whiff%

903.4%

xAVG

650.264

POWER32

Barrel%

100.5

Avg EV

1386.2

Bat Spd

1065.4

EYE55

Chase%

5930.0%

SPEED49

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024 · 94 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

284

228

◀◀L

ISO

069

018

◀◀L

BABIP

280

235

◀◀L

12.1%

9.8%

▶▶R

BB%

6.1%

3.3%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+0.3	$1M	-$4M
Totals		$6M		$1M	-$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	107	98	30	4	0	0	5	5	3	6	3	306	358	347	705	41	319	5	5	321	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	49	44	15	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	341	370	409	779	68	319	0	2	329	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	154	353	154	507		154	0	6	277	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	134	118	39	6	1	1	13	5	1	4	3	331	402	424	825	93	336	4	10	368	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	180	164	56	11	2	1	14	5	2	14	6	341	400	451	851	110	348	3	8	382	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	218	191	52	10	2	2	17	6	6	17	4	272	350	377	727	105	269	3	8	325	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	116	+2	+0	+2	+0	+2	0.7
2021	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	344	119	+5	-1	+1	+1	+5	1.1
2022	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	228	209	52	7	0	0	14	27	3	3	1	249	305	282	588	33	286	12	6	271	68	-9	+0	+2	+1	+5	-0.1
2022	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	43	39	12	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	308	372	333	705	26	353	12	7	327	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	294	270	71	16	1	2	10	24	9	10	2	263	311	352	663	89	283	8	3	296	85	-5	+1	+8	+1	+6	1.2
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	70	59	25	6	3	1	8	7	3	0	0	424	514	678	1.192	254	471	10	11	514	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	248	53	-5	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.6
2026	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	63	54	15	2	0	0	7	3	1	1	1	278	371	315	686	37	288	5	11	317	99	-0	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.3
2026	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	379	321	96	13	2	4	40	32	9	11	3	299	392	389	781	90	315	8	11	349	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1003	922	253	41	5	4	50	88	21	18	7	274	326	343	669	68	299	9	5	302	91	-11	+1	+9	+5	+22	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	107	100	31	4	0	0	3	8	3	6	3	310	349	350	699	40	325	7	3	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	49	44	15	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	341	370	409	779	68	293	0	2	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	154	353	154	507		124	0	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	134	122	36	6	1	1	9	6	1	4	3	295	348	385	734	90	297	4	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	180	167	52	10	2	1	11	6	2	14	6	311	361	413	774	102	314	3	6	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	218	198	47	8	1	2	10	9	6	17	4	237	294	318	613	81	234	4	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	116	+2	+0	+2	+0	+2	0.7
2021	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	343	119	+5	-1	+1	+1	+5	1.1
2022	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	228	209	52	7	0	0	14	27	3	3	1	249	305	282	588	33	286	12	6	269	68	-9	+0	+2	+1	+5	-0.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	43	40	12	1	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	300	349	325	674	25	342	14	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	294	270	71	16	1	2	10	24	9	10	2	263	311	352	663	89	283	8	3	293	85	-5	+1	+8	+1	+6	1.2
2023	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	70	61	23	5	3	1	6	8	3	0	0	377	457	607	1.064	230	428	11	9	447	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	247	53	-5	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.6
2026	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	63	54	15	2	0	0	7	3	1	1	1	278	371	315	686	37	288	5	11	314	99	-0	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.3
2026	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	379	334	92	11	2	3	27	38	9	11	3	275	346	347	693	72	289	10	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	173	158	48	7	0	0	4	8	7	8	6	304	349	348	697	44	312	5	2	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	173	155	47	7	0	0	7	5	7	8	6	303	361	348	709	45	305	3	4	319	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	532	488	135	24	4	3	29	21	9	35	13	277	329	361	690	84	282	4	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	532	473	147	27	5	4	44	16	9	35	13	311	380	414	795	104	313	3	8	355	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	116	+2	+0	+2	+0	+2	0.7
2020	23	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	116	+2	+0	+2	+0	+2	0.7
2021	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	343	119	+5	-1	+1	+1	+5	1.1
2021	24	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	344	119	+5	-1	+1	+1	+5	1.1
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	271	249	64	8	0	0	16	33	4	3	1	257	312	289	601	32	296	12	6	273	71	-9	+0	+2	+1	+6	-0.1
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	271	248	64	8	0	0	17	32	4	3	1	258	316	290	606	32	296	12	6	280	71	-9	+0	+2	+1	+6	-0.1
2023	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	331	94	21	4	3	16	32	12	10	2	284	340	399	739	115	307	9	4	323	105	+2	+1	+8	+1	+8	2.1
2023	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	364	329	96	22	4	3	18	31	12	10	2	292	351	410	761	119	315	9	5	338	105	+2	+1	+8	+1	+8	2.1
2024	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	247	53	-5	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.6
2024	27	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	248	53	-5	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.6
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	388	107	13	2	3	34	41	10	12	4	276	350	343	692	67	295	9	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	442	375	111	15	2	4	47	35	10	12	4	296	389	379	768	83	311	8	11	345	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	173	160	48	7	0	0	4	8	7	8	6	300	349	344	693	44	296	5	2	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	532	489	135	24	4	3	29	21	9	35	13	276	329	360	689	84	277	4	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	109	102	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	343	376	373	749	29	365	6	4	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	215	199	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	307	350	427	778	121	324	8	5	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	271	249	64	8	0	0	16	33	4	3	1	257	312	289	601	32	295	12	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	333	94	21	4	3	16	32	12	10	2	282	340	396	736	114	311	9	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	94	87	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	218	280	253	532	34	250	11	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	395	107	13	2	3	34	41	10	12	4	271	350	337	686	66	289	9	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	94	87	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	218	280	253	532	34	250	11	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	442	395	107	13	2	3	34	41	10	12	4	271	350	337	686	66	289	9	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TB	45%	380	340	87	13	2	3	29	45	8	8	2	255	328	333	661	77	284	12	8	302	90	-4	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	TB	45%	143	128	33	5	1	1	11	17	3	3	1	259	331	335	666	76	288	12	8	304	90	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	TB	53%	365	327	83	12	2	3	28	45	7	5	2	250	323	321	644	71	280	12	8	295	86	-6	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	TB	53%	194	173	44	6	1	1	15	24	4	3	1	254	326	323	649	70	284	12	8	297	86	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1197	1095	297	47	6	5	65	112	25	21	8	271	327	339	665	68	298	9	5	301	92	-14	+1	+8	+6	+26	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	162	26	3	3	35	61	14	11	4	272	328	341	669	69	298	9	5	301	92	-8	+1	+4	+3	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2883	2614	720	112	18	17	171	252	63	84	33	275	335	352	687	76	297	9	6	305	92	-21	+2	+8	+8	+37	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	162	25	4	4	39	57	14	19	7	275	335	351	686	76	296	9	6	305	92	-8	+1	+3	+3	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brock Holtlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,661 PA	4.0	2,661	25	41	262	332	362	+5	+3	7.4	7.8
/162	664	6	10	+1.2	+0.6	1.9	pk7: 8
#2Jeff Frye'92-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,451 PA	3.7	2,451	16	56	277*	341*	375*	+6	+13	7.4	7.6
/162	664	4	15	+1.5	+3.5	2.0	pk7: 8
#3Craig Grebeck'90-'01 * career totals — 11 seasons, 2,298 PA	3.5	2,298	19	4	252*	330*	358*	+13	+14	6.5	7.4
/162	664	5	1	+3.8	+4.2	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Eric Sogardlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA	3.7	2,484	26	46	246	312	337	+10	+22	6.0	6.6
/162	664	7	12	+2.7	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#6Bobby Valentine'71-'79 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,909 PA	2.9	1,909	12	27	258*	316*	358*	+2	+1	3.1	3.8
/162	664	4	9	+0.6	+0.2	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	2.0	1,340	7	24	270	323	340	+5	+14	2.5	2.6
/162	664	3	12	+2.4	+7.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Madrigal (OGILVIE)	30	76	32	49	55	253/326/330	76	284	3	7	12%	8%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Norris Hopper 2009 · MLB	30	60→69	35→30	53→55	50	284/326/345	62	314	3	21	11%	6%	92	+0.7	250/291/300	50	277	2	21	10%	5%	68	-1.0	254/292/286	32	280	0	24	9%	5%	62	-1.1
✕Michael Spidale 2012 · AAA	30	61→66	36→40	51→55	45	288/324/356	68	327	4	19	13%	4%	94	+0.9	260/291/331	71	293	5	14	13%	3%	76	-0.4	265/278/302	37	290	1	13	9%	1%	59	-0.8
✕Ryan Theriot 2011 · MLB	31	59→65	36→40	49→55	53	276/332/342	65	310	4	18	12%	7%	94	+0.9	264/313/333	69	296	3	13	11%	6%	84	+0.2	266/314/325	59	297	1	12	10%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Heber Gomez 2008 · AAA	30	56→61	38→40	44→50	52	263/315/339	76	280	5	10	9%	6%	87	+0.4	250/301/327	77	274	5	12	10%	6%	79	-0.2	248/297/315	67	270	4	13	10%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Roman Gonzalez 2007 · AAA	30	59→63	36→30	40→50	48	277/325/343	66	310	2	9	11%	5%	91	+0.7	246/284/307	61	284	2	12	13%	4%	68	-1.0	234/268/280	46	274	0	11	14%	3%	52	-1.1
●David Eckstein 2005 · MLB	30	57→64	37→40	49→55	53	265/331/338	73	282	4	16	8%	7%	93	+0.8	284/346/364	80	301	5	11	7%	7%	105	+1.7	291/353/368	76	306	4	10	6%	6%	109	+1.9
✕Kevin Newman 2024 · MLB	30	52→62	40→45	52→50	49	246/296/342	96	276	6	13	13%	6%	81	-0.1	238/281/331	93	287	7	11	19%	5%	72	-0.7	228/265/303	75	282	5	9	20%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Jason Tyner 2007 · MLB	30	60→66	35→30	52→55	48	283/322/342	59	318	2	13	12%	5%	90	+0.6	255/302/318	63	284	3	13	11%	6%	77	-0.3	253/306/307	54	276	2	15	8%	6%	75	-0.3
●Oswaldo Morejon 2010 · AAA	31	55→65	39→40	48→50	51	262/321/351	88	286	6	14	11%	6%	93	+0.8	256/317/341	85	278	6	11	10%	6%	89	+0.5	284/328/376	92	304	6	7	8%	4%	98	+0.8
✕Ramon Rios 2017 · AAA	29	63→68	38→40	47→50	45	300/324/377	77	321	5	7	9%	3%	99	+1.2	267/297/350	83	289	7	4	10%	3%	82	+0.0	263/291/335	72	282	6	1	9%	2%	74	-0.4
●Carlos Alberto Gastelum 2011 · AAA	31	55→65	38→40	48→55	49	262/307/341	79	285	5	16	11%	5%	84	+0.2	273/318/361	88	310	7	11	14%	5%	93	+0.8	286/328/368	83	326	6	8	14%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Alejandro Ahumada 2008 · AAA	29	58→68	39→40	50→55	46	279/320/370	91	323	6	19	16%	5%	96	+1.0	250/292/326	76	307	5	18	19%	4%	75	-0.5	255/303/316	61	320	4	10	20%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Manny Mayorson 2012 · AAA	29	57→63	36→40	51→55	49	267/305/335	68	288	3	20	9%	5%	82	-0.0	242/280/320	78	268	6	12	12%	5%	70	-0.9	226/238/257	32	244	0	0	7%	2%	34	-1.0
✕Abel Martinez 2007 · AAA	30	62	40→45	46→50	47	297/337/389	92	319	7	14	10%	4%	107	+1.8	262/303/348	86	285	7	15	10%	4%	84	+0.2	272/314/373	101	284	9	17	8%	4%	90	+0.4
✕Alcides Escobar 2017 · MLB	30	54→64	39→45	54→55	45	259/292/344	85	290	6	17	13%	4%	79	-0.2	241/275/340	99	278	7	9	16%	4%	72	-0.7	237/281/345	108	288	8	6	20%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Sergio Gastelum 2009 · AAA	30	58→63	39→40	46→50	50	276/342/365	89	307	6	8	12%	6%	103	+1.6	261/324/339	78	289	4	10	11%	6%	91	+0.7	259/322/327	68	287	3	9	10%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Niuman Romero 2015 · AAA	30	58→65	39→40	47→50	52	276/335/363	87	321	5	8	15%	8%	100	+1.3	245/304/314	69	299	3	6	18%	8%	78	-0.3	238/291/297	59	287	2	4	17%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Will Rhymes 2013 · MLB	30	54→61	39→40	48→55	52	253/308/341	88	279	6	11	12%	7%	85	+0.2	231/286/317	86	255	6	8	12%	7%	72	-0.7	228/283/306	78	251	4	6	11%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2017 · AAA	31	56→61	37→40	49→50	45	263/296/339	76	292	5	14	12%	4%	79	-0.2	266/297/365	99	292	8	11	12%	4%	86	+0.3	271/302/371	100	293	8	8	10%	3%	87	+0.3
●Jamey Carroll 2005 · MLB	31	56→63	38→40	51→50	58	261/336/353	92	293	4	11	12%	10%	99	+1.2	259/337/339	80	298	4	10	13%	10%	96	+1.0	283/359/342	59	336	1	12	14%	10%	106	+1.3

Nick Madrigal

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps