Jovani Morán
P
Boston Red Sox
+0.4
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'1" / 167 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.42
FIP3.83
xFIP4.14
SIERA3.89
K%25.8%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%17.6%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF7575
CTRL3030
CMD5555
K†6565
FB Velo
p1191.7
Whiff%
p9034.6%
K%
p8027.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.246
CT+1.6 (18%)
FB+1.2 (41%)
SL+0.7 (6%)
CH+0.6 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | 6 | 6 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 13.8% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 4.12 | 3.63 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 11 | 0 | 25 | 90 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 34.0% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.36 | 2.14 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 37 | 1 | 76 | 300 | 107 | 35 | 2 | 26.8% | 13.7% | 0.8% | 2.25 | 3.00 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 23 | 0 | 38 | 166 | 55 | 24 | 3 | 26.6% | 15.9% | 2.4% | 4.54 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 40 | 0 | 75 | 299 | 119 | 37 | 6 | 35.0% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 2.99 | 2.99 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 51 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 97 | 32 | 2 | 33.3% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 3.62 | 2.27 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 49 | 0 | 51 | 223 | 56 | 35 | 3 | 26.1% | 14.1% | 1.8% | 4.62 | 3.66 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 28 | 5 | 39 | 173 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 29.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 2.18 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 12 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.74 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 14 | — | 14 | 61 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 28.5% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 3.67 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 25 | 101 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 29.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 3.14 | 2.14 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 24 | — | 24 | 102 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 28.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 3.75 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 250 | 12 | 398 | 1651 | 485 | 199 | 25 | 29.4% | 12.1% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 2.99 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 6 | 200 | 829 | 244 | 100 | 13 | 29.4% | 12.1% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 2.99 | +5.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jovani Morán (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.67 | 28.5% | 8.7% | 2.7% | — | 3.75 | 28.2% | 19.2% | 24 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 79 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 76 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 75 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .318 | 6.63 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +3.01 | 2.70 | 230 | 75 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 2.71 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.71 | 25.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% | .356 | 3.70 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 101 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 181 | 74 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 2.65 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.65 | 25.9% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .320 | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 32 | +1.75 | 2.65 | 256 | 74 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 73 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 73 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 2.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.82 | 29.5% | 7.8% | 2.2% | .275 | 4.39 | 26.4% | 5.9% | 35 | +1.57 | 2.58 | 160 | 72 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 72 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 72 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2027 · 2.89 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.89 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.6% | .256 | 4.17 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 234 | +1.28 | 2.89 | 391 | 72 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 2.98 FIP | 29 | SW | 2.98 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .238 | 5.33 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.35 | 2.98 | 145 | 72 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 146 | 72 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 72 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 176 | 71 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 71 |
| Adam Morgan L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 24.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .205 | 4.18 | 27.1% | 18.4% | 55 | +0.62 | 3.44 | 522 | 71 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.