Sean Hjelle — OGILVIE

Sean Hjelle P Sacramento River Cats

Age 29 RHP 6'11" / 247 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA4.16

FIP3.96

K%19.2%

BB%5.6%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3793.6

Whiff%

p3723.4%

p1015.1%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

SI (50%)

FB (50%)

CT-1.6 (15%)

SL-2.9 (35%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	144	616	139	36	6	100%	5.1	17.3%	6.7%	10.6%	1.2%	3.32	3.16	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	144	616	139	36	6	100%	5.1	22.6%	5.8%	16.7%	1.0%	3.32	2.46	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	119	522	104	47	14	100%	5.0	16.6%	9.6%	7.0%	3.3%	4.31	4.71	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	119	522	104	47	14	100%	5.0	19.9%	9.0%	10.9%	2.7%	4.31	4.07	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	22	122	558	108	46	14	73%	4.1	17.6%	8.6%	9.1%	2.8%	5.09	4.22	+1.0
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	22	122	558	108	46	14	73%	4.1	19.4%	8.2%	11.1%	2.5%	5.09	3.95	+1.4
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	19	122	559	101	51	17	51%	3.3	15.9%	8.4%	7.5%	3.2%	6.12	4.57	+0.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	19	122	559	101	51	17	51%	3.3	15.9%	8.4%	7.5%	3.2%	6.12	4.57	+0.5
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	19	122	559	101	51	17	51%	3.3	18.1%	9.1%	8.9%	3.0%	6.12	4.51	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	63	0	86	359	82	13	10	0%	1.4	22.3%	3.6%	18.7%	3.2%	3.87	3.43	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	63	0	86	359	82	13	10	0%	1.4	22.3%	3.6%	18.7%	3.2%	3.87	3.43	+1.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	63	0	86	359	82	13	10	0%	1.4	22.8%	3.6%	19.2%	2.8%	3.87	3.16	+1.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	83	358	81	23	4	2%	1.7	19.3%	6.0%	13.3%	1.3%	3.92	2.92	+1.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	83	358	81	23	4	2%	1.7	19.3%	6.0%	13.3%	1.3%	3.92	2.92	+1.6
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	83	358	81	23	4	2%	1.7	22.6%	6.4%	16.2%	1.1%	3.92	2.60	+1.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			93	1	150	664	145	39	18	1%	1.6	21.8%	5.9%	16.0%	2.7%	5.11	3.51	+1.9
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SF	5	0	5	21	4	1	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	5.6%	13.6%	2.6%	4.16	3.96	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SF	51	0	54	228	42	13	6	0%	1.1	18.5%	5.9%	12.6%	2.8%	4.17	4.17	+0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	SF	48	0	50	212	38	13	6	0%	1.0	17.7%	6.2%	11.5%	3.0%	4.31	4.40	+0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	SF	19	0	20	84	16	5	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	5.9%	12.6%	2.8%	4.17	4.17	+0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	SF	27	0	28	118	21	7	4	0%	1.0	17.7%	6.2%	11.5%	3.0%	4.31	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		138	1	197	865	181	51	24	1%	1.4	21.0%	5.9%	15.0%	2.8%	4.90	3.59	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		140	1	200	877	184	52	24	1%	1.4	21.0%	5.9%	15.0%	2.8%	4.90	3.59	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		232	94	675	2972	530	221	74	41%	2.9	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	2.5%	4.46	3.90	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	28	200	880	157	65	22	41%	2.9	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	2.5%	4.46	3.90	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Hjelle (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	19.2%	5.6%	2.6%	—	4.28	18.1%	12.1%	104	+0.32	—	—	—
Josh Lindblom R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	30	SW	3.91	18.7%	5.5%	3.1%	.333	3.50	27.2%	18.8%	45	-0.41	3.50	348	71
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	68
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	67
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	67
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	66
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	64
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	63
Tiago Da Silva R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	30	SW	3.10	19.6%	4.5%	2.0%	.278	2.38	21.4%	18.5%	98	-0.72	2.21	287	63
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	63
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	62
Elian Leyva R 2018 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	17.7%	7.3%	1.0%	.308	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	71	+1.20	3.10	158	62
Vinny Nittoli R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	19.0%	6.9%	3.3%	.302	3.86	26.9%	20.4%	93	-0.32	3.66	331	62
Murphy Smith R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SW	4.32	13.6%	4.9%	3.2%	.267	4.57	13.6%	4.3%	63	+0.25	3.16	300	62
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	62
Radhames Liz R 2015 · 2.81 FIP	31	SW	2.81	24.8%	9.2%	1.2%	.283	4.45	21.8%	7.9%	23	+1.64	2.81	110	61
Austin Pruitt R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	29	SW	4.21	20.5%	5.5%	3.9%	.327	4.13	18.3%	14.4%	95	-0.08	2.94	819	61
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	61
Mitch Lively R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	29	SU	3.07	18.2%	9.0%	0.7%	.204	3.04	19.6%	14.0%	123	-0.03	2.39	158	61
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	18.5%	5.9%	1.06	4.21
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79