Sean Hjelle
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 29
RHP
6'11" / 247 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA4.17
FIP3.99
K%19.6%
BB%6.0%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p1015.1%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
SI (50%)
FB (50%)
CT-1.6 (15%)
SL-2.9 (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 144 | 616 | 139 | 36 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 3.32 | 3.17 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 144 | 616 | 139 | 36 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.6% | 5.8% | 16.7% | 1.0% | 3.32 | 2.46 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 119 | 522 | 104 | 47 | 14 | 100% | 5.0 | 16.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.31 | 4.81 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 119 | 522 | 104 | 47 | 14 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.07 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 22 | 122 | 558 | 108 | 46 | 14 | 73% | 4.1 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.24 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 22 | 122 | 558 | 108 | 46 | 14 | 73% | 4.1 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 5.09 | 3.95 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 19 | 122 | 559 | 101 | 51 | 17 | 51% | 3.3 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 6.12 | 4.58 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 19 | 122 | 559 | 101 | 51 | 17 | 51% | 3.3 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 6.12 | 4.51 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 63 | 0 | 86 | 359 | 82 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 3.6% | 18.7% | 3.2% | 3.87 | 3.44 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 63 | 0 | 86 | 359 | 82 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 3.6% | 19.2% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 3.16 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 83 | 358 | 81 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 3.92 | 2.95 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 83 | 358 | 81 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.7 | 22.6% | 6.4% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 3.92 | 2.60 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SF | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 47 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 4.17 | 3.99 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 43 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SF | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 39 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SF | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SF | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SF | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 168 | 1 | 229 | 998 | 205 | 61 | 28 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 3.69 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 1 | 200 | 872 | 179 | 53 | 24 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 232 | 94 | 675 | 2972 | 537 | 229 | 75 | 41% | 2.9 | 18.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 3.93 | +11.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 28 | 200 | 880 | 159 | 68 | 22 | 41% | 2.9 | 18.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Hjelle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.99 | 19.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.42 | 18.2% | 11.6% | 151 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 70 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 68 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 67 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 67 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 66 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 66 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 64 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 64 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 63 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 63 |
| Mark Serrano R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.03 | 17.7% | 6.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 4.44 | 21.1% | 14.0% | 88 | +1.41 | 3.03 | 120 | 63 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 62 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.36 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .302 | 3.71 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.65 | 3.59 | 331 | 62 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 61 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 0.6% | .204 | 3.10 | 19.6% | 14.0% | 123 | +0.08 | 2.51 | 158 | 61 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 61 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.47 | 13.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.07 | 3.14 | 300 | 61 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 60 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 60 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.04 | 17.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .281 | 5.00 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 139 | +0.96 | 3.93 | 337 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 18.6% | 6.5% | 1.11 | 4.29 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |