Nash Walters — OGILVIE

Nash Walters P Rochester Red Wings

Age 29 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%20.2%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	11	6	22	103	15	20	0	55%	2.0	9.9%	24.3%	-14.4%	0.0%	4.15	5.34	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	11	6	22	103	15	20	0	55%	2.0	14.6%	19.4%	-4.9%	0.0%	4.15	4.48	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	14	9	39	190	48	45	2	64%	2.8	17.2%	29.6%	-12.4%	1.5%	5.35	6.21	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	14	9	39	190	48	45	2	64%	2.8	25.3%	23.7%	1.6%	1.1%	5.35	4.78	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	43	0	60	274	82	29	7	0%	1.4	23.0%	12.2%	10.9%	2.8%	4.33	4.21	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	43	0	60	274	82	29	7	0%	1.4	29.9%	10.6%	19.3%	2.6%	4.33	3.33	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	52	0	54	235	70	19	5	0%	1.0	26.7%	8.2%	18.5%	1.8%	4.67	2.86	+1.1
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	52	0	54	235	70	19	5	0%	1.0	29.8%	8.1%	21.7%	2.1%	4.67	2.77	+1.2
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	41	195	58	26	9	3%	1.1	26.8%	14.3%	12.5%	3.5%	8.49	4.56	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	41	195	58	26	9	3%	1.1	26.8%	14.3%	12.5%	3.5%	8.49	4.56	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	41	195	58	26	9	3%	1.1	29.7%	13.3%	16.4%	4.6%	8.49	5.01	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	0	33	133	30	11	3	0%	1.3	16.2%	8.8%	7.4%	2.8%	2.43	4.37	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	0	33	133	30	11	3	0%	1.3	16.2%	8.8%	7.4%	2.8%	2.43	4.37	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	0	33	133	30	11	3	0%	1.3	22.6%	8.3%	14.3%	2.3%	2.43	3.46	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	0	3	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	0.00	12.10	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	WSH	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.0%	10.2%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	17	9	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.85	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	WSH	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	29	5	4	1	0%	0.9	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	2.9%	4.54	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		211	0	200	893	152	121	30	0%	0.9	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	2.9%	4.54	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		183	16	249	1130	243	174	25	9%	1.4	21.5%	15.4%	6.1%	2.2%	4.98	4.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	13	200	906	195	139	20	9%	1.4	21.5%	15.4%	6.1%	2.2%	4.98	4.45	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nash Walters (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	20.2%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.85	20.1%	9.9%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Justin Miller R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	29	SU	3.74	20.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.353	4.72	22.5%	16.5%	127	+0.98	2.63	279	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	76
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	75
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	75
Louis Head R 2019 · 4.85 FIP	29	SU	4.85	21.2%	12.7%	3.5%	.450	3.54	23.7%	13.1%	108	-1.31	2.76	336	75
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	75
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	74
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	74
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	74
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	74
Jeremy Jeffress R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	29	SU	4.70	17.3%	10.2%	3.2%	.309	2.99	25.0%	16.6%	152	-1.71	2.43	343	74
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	73