Nash Walters
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 29
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%22.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 11 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 55% | 2.0 | 9.9% | 24.3% | -14.4% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 5.34 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 11 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 55% | 2.0 | 14.6% | 19.4% | -4.9% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 4.48 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 14 | 9 | 39 | 190 | 48 | 45 | 2 | 64% | 2.8 | 17.2% | 29.6% | -12.4% | 1.5% | 5.35 | 6.21 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 14 | 9 | 39 | 190 | 48 | 45 | 2 | 64% | 2.8 | 25.3% | 23.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 5.35 | 4.78 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 43 | 0 | 60 | 274 | 82 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 4.03 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 43 | 0 | 60 | 274 | 82 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.9% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 4.67 | 2.85 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 54 | 235 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 2.1% | 4.67 | 2.77 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 41 | 195 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 3% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 8.49 | 4.38 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 41 | 195 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 3% | 1.1 | 29.7% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 4.6% | 8.49 | 5.01 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 33 | 133 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.43 | 4.46 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 33 | 133 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 2.43 | 3.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.8% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.58 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 0 | 200 | 893 | 182 | 121 | 30 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.8% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 183 | 16 | 249 | 1130 | 243 | 175 | 24 | 9% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 4.98 | 4.38 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 13 | 200 | 906 | 195 | 140 | 19 | 9% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 4.98 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nash Walters (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.65 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .353 | 4.75 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +1.17 | 2.54 | 279 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 77 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 76 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 76 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 75 |
| Brandon Workman R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 23.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 3.15 | 29.9% | 16.3% | 119 | -0.44 | 2.04 | 269 | 75 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.70 | 26.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .292 | 4.72 | 21.4% | 16.7% | 57 | +1.02 | 2.82 | 363 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 74 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 74 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 74 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 74 |
| Louis Head R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 21.2% | 12.7% | 3.3% | .450 | 3.50 | 23.7% | 13.1% | 108 | -1.23 | 2.75 | 336 | 74 |
| Jeremy Jeffress R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .309 | 3.06 | 25.0% | 16.6% | 152 | -1.81 | 2.52 | 343 | 73 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 73 |