Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 12 | 0 | 21 | 100 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.6% | 18.8% | -5.1% | 4.2% | 4.79 | 6.63 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 12 | 0 | 21 | 100 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 5.23 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 11 | 7 | 44 | 187 | 35 | 19 | 1 | 64% | 4.0 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 4.06 | 4.04 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 11 | 7 | 44 | 187 | 35 | 19 | 1 | 64% | 4.0 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 0.5% | 4.06 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 20 | 20 | 114 | 440 | 90 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 2.06 | 3.41 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 20 | 20 | 114 | 440 | 90 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.5% | 4.8% | 15.7% | 1.1% | 2.06 | 2.64 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 23 | 21 | 129 | 561 | 96 | 42 | 13 | 91% | 5.6 | 13.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.43 | 5.70 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 23 | 21 | 129 | 561 | 96 | 42 | 13 | 91% | 5.6 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 5.43 | 3.90 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 20 | 20 | 100 | 440 | 85 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 5.0 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 4.30 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 20 | 20 | 100 | 440 | 85 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 4.33 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 12 | 96 | 438 | 83 | 47 | 7 | 39% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 5.27 | 4.09 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 12 | 96 | 438 | 83 | 47 | 7 | 39% | 3.1 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 5.27 | 3.79 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 34 | 158 | 24 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 20.2% | -6.7% | 0.7% | 3.15 | 4.90 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 34 | 158 | 24 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.2% | 18.4% | -3.2% | 0.6% | 3.15 | 4.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 3 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.27 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 138 | 80 | 538 | 2324 | 340 | 239 | 58 | 58% | 3.9 | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 4.55 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 30 | 200 | 864 | 126 | 89 | 22 | 58% | 3.9 | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Stewart (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Roy Merritt L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 70 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 67 |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 65 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 64 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 64 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 63 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 63 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 62 |
| Duane Below L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.54 | 12.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | .266 | 4.42 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 140 | +0.88 | 3.54 | 189 | 61 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 60 |
| Everett Teaford L 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 60 |
| Andy Otero L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 59 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2024 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 59 |
| Aríel Miranda L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.31 | 17.9% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 431 | 58 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2029 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 58 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 58 |
| Matt Lujan L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 58 |
| Nico Tellache L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 57 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .336 | 4.86 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 69 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 523 | 57 |
| Darin Gorski L 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 57 |