Domingo Robles — OGILVIE

Domingo Robles P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.21

FIP4.21

K%20.0%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF—55

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	15	15	68	295	44	20	4	100%	4.6	10.1%	8.5%	1.7%	1.9%	3.95	4.36	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	15	15	68	295	44	20	4	100%	4.6	14.9%	6.8%	8.1%	1.4%	3.95	3.45	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	5	36	152	18	4	3	56%	4.0	8.1%	3.3%	4.8%	2.8%	4.25	4.35	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	5	36	152	18	4	3	56%	4.0	11.8%	2.6%	9.2%	2.0%	4.25	3.52	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	14	14	69	303	51	16	5	100%	4.9	11.4%	6.6%	4.8%	2.3%	4.83	4.24	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	14	14	69	303	51	16	5	100%	4.9	16.8%	5.3%	11.6%	1.7%	4.83	3.26	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	143	608	107	36	9	100%	5.5	13.1%	6.9%	6.2%	1.6%	3.33	3.77	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	143	608	107	36	9	100%	5.5	17.6%	5.9%	11.7%	1.5%	3.33	3.18	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	165	684	124	36	18	100%	5.9	14.4%	5.9%	8.5%	3.8%	3.49	4.70	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	165	684	124	36	18	100%	5.9	18.1%	5.3%	12.9%	2.6%	3.49	3.67	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	23	21	92	411	78	24	18	91%	4.0	15.4%	6.4%	8.9%	5.3%	6.09	5.53	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	23	21	92	411	78	24	18	91%	4.0	19.0%	5.8%	13.1%	4.4%	6.09	4.74	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	30	10	110	495	70	42	12	33%	3.7	11.5%	9.3%	2.1%	2.7%	6.14	4.81	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	30	10	110	495	70	42	12	33%	3.7	14.1%	8.5%	5.7%	2.4%	6.14	4.39	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	129	546	131	38	10	92%	5.0	19.5%	7.4%	12.0%	2.7%	3.91	3.88	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	129	546	131	38	10	92%	5.0	19.5%	7.4%	12.0%	2.7%	3.91	3.88	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	129	546	131	38	10	92%	5.0	24.0%	7.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.91	2.96	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	21.1%	7.9%	13.2%	2.7%	2.91	3.79	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	21.1%	7.9%	13.2%	2.7%	2.91	3.79	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	26.8%	7.1%	19.7%	2.1%	2.91	2.88	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	15.2%	5.8%	9.4%	2.6%	4.04	3.97	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	15.2%	5.8%	9.4%	2.6%	4.04	3.97	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	21.7%	5.7%	16.0%	2.3%	4.04	3.24	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	40	1	73	334	56	34	7	2%	1.8	13.7%	10.1%	3.7%	2.3%	5.79	4.50	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	40	1	73	334	56	34	7	2%	1.8	13.7%	10.1%	3.7%	2.3%	5.79	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	OAK	24	0	38	161	31	15	1	0%	1.6	19.3%	9.3%	9.9%	0.6%	3.79	3.00	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	OAK	16	1	35	173	25	19	6	6%	2.2	14.5%	11.0%	3.5%	3.5%	7.97	5.17	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	OAK	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	6.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.21	4.21	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	79	359	61	36	8	—	—	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	2.1%	5.68	4.48	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	23	23	158	665	133	46	20	100%	6.9	19.9%	6.9%	13.0%	3.0%	4.29	4.35	+1.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	22	22	148	625	123	46	20	100%	6.7	19.7%	7.3%	12.4%	3.2%	4.42	4.52	+0.7
2029	31	MLB MLE	OAK	20	20	138	583	113	45	20	100%	6.9	19.4%	7.7%	11.8%	3.5%	4.58	4.70	+0.3
2030	32	MLB MLE	OAK	19	19	128	539	103	43	20	100%	6.7	19.1%	8.1%	11.0%	3.7%	4.78	4.92	-0.0
2031	33	MLB MLE	OAK	17	17	117	495	92	42	20	100%	6.9	18.6%	8.5%	10.0%	4.0%	5.01	5.17	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	7	7	49	207	41	14	6	100%	7.0	19.9%	6.9%	13.0%	3.0%	4.29	4.35	+0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	76	321	63	23	10	100%	6.9	19.7%	7.3%	12.4%	3.2%	4.42	4.52	+0.3
2029	31	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	90	380	74	29	13	100%	6.9	19.4%	7.7%	11.8%	3.5%	4.58	4.70	+0.2
2030	32	MLB CTX	OAK	14	14	95	401	76	32	15	100%	6.8	19.1%	8.1%	11.0%	3.7%	4.78	4.92	-0.0
2031	33	MLB CTX	OAK	14	14	95	401	74	34	16	100%	6.8	18.6%	8.5%	10.0%	4.0%	5.01	5.17	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	59	405	1712	330	133	61	100%	6.9	19.3%	7.8%	11.5%	3.5%	4.66	4.40	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		29	29	200	844	163	66	30	100%	6.9	19.3%	7.8%	11.5%	3.5%	4.66	4.40	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		247	163	1014	4343	626	316	124	66%	4.1	14.4%	7.3%	7.1%	2.9%	4.33	4.37	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	32	200	856	123	62	24	66%	4.1	14.4%	7.3%	7.1%	2.9%	4.33	4.37	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Domingo Robles (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.21	20.0%	6.6%	2.9%	—	4.52	19.7%	12.4%	444	+0.31	—	—	—
Vidal Nuño L 2015 · 4.10 FIP	28	SW	4.10	20.0%	4.8%	3.8%	.289	4.25	20.8%	16.1%	173	+0.15	4.00	424	76
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	71
Eric Surkamp L 2015 · 4.00 FIP	28	SP-	4.00	18.2%	6.7%	2.9%	.308	5.09	16.4%	7.1%	68	+1.09	4.00	182	70
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	69
Yohan Flande L 2015 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP-	4.68	12.9%	5.5%	3.6%	.289	3.27	15.1%	8.4%	172	-1.41	3.18	335	69
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	68
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.1%	5.2%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	67
Greg Smith L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	31	SP-	3.37	11.8%	5.3%	1.1%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	120	66
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	66
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	66
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	66
Jared Koenig L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	28	SP-	4.06	18.1%	7.4%	2.8%	.308	3.31	23.4%	15.6%	187	-0.75	2.79	473	65
Phil Pfeifer L 2019 · 3.61 FIP	27	SP-	3.61	21.9%	8.5%	2.4%	.298	5.65	19.5%	4.7%	35	+2.04	3.61	307	65
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	64
Wade LeBlanc L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	31	SP-	3.65	20.3%	5.3%	2.9%	.289	4.62	18.7%	13.0%	351	+0.97	3.65	609	63
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	62
Pat Dean L 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SP-	4.68	13.5%	6.1%	3.5%	.338	6.96	11.8%	5.8%	91	+2.28	3.63	424	62
Andy Oliver L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	28	SP-	3.93	19.9%	9.9%	2.3%	.321	7.12	16.6%	2.7%	21	+3.19	3.93	165	62
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	62
Jeffry Antigua L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	11.4%	8.6%	2.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	133	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	142	19.5%	7.4%	1.29	4.52
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01
Alex Cobb ('23)	4.0	114	19.5%	6.6%	1.03	4.14
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38