Domingo Robles P Midland RockHounds
Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 165 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 116
ERA4.27
FIP4.27
K%20.0%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP165
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 207 IP
K: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +28.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+28STAMTotal WAR: +2.88 (207 IP)+2.9WAR
0.10.00.0-0.1262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP50
STUF55
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201517ROKDSL Pirates15156829544204100%4.610.1%8.5%1.7%1.9%3.954.36
201517ROKDSL Pirates15156829544204100%4.614.9%6.8%8.1%1.4%3.953.45
201618ROKGCL Pirates9536152184356%4.08.1%3.3%4.8%2.8%4.254.35
201618ROKGCL Pirates9536152184356%4.011.8%2.6%9.2%2.0%4.253.52
201719ROKBristol Pirates14146930351165100%4.911.4%6.6%4.8%2.3%4.834.24
201719ROKBristol Pirates14146930351165100%4.916.8%5.3%11.6%1.7%4.833.26
201820MIX2 levels2626143608107369100%5.513.1%6.9%6.2%1.4%3.333.66
201820MIX2 levels2626143608107369100%5.517.6%5.9%11.7%1.5%3.333.18
201921MIX2 levels28281656841243618100%5.914.4%5.9%8.5%4.8%3.495.28
201921MIX2 levels28281656841243618100%5.918.1%5.3%12.9%2.6%3.493.67
202123AASpringfield Cardinals23219241178241891%4.015.4%6.4%8.9%5.4%6.095.56
202123AASpringfield Cardinals23219241178241891%4.019.0%5.8%13.1%4.4%6.094.74
202224AASpringfield Cardinals301011049570421233%3.711.5%9.3%2.1%2.6%6.144.72
202224AASpringfield Cardinals301011049570421233%3.714.1%8.5%5.7%2.4%6.144.39
202325MIX2 levels2624129546131381092%5.019.6%7.6%12.0%3.6%3.914.37
202325MIX2 levels2624129546131381092%5.024.0%7.0%17.0%1.8%3.912.96
202426MIX2 levels2214873409124764%3.921.1%7.9%13.2%2.9%2.913.89
202426MIX2 levels2214873409124764%3.926.8%7.1%19.7%2.1%2.912.88
202527MIX3 levels145421753810436%3.015.2%5.8%9.4%2.5%4.043.92
202527MIX3 levels145421753810436%3.021.7%5.7%16.0%2.3%4.043.24
▸ 2026 Season
202628AAALas Vegas Aviators27142189351734%1.615.4%9.8%5.7%1.7%5.363.99+0.3
ROS28MLBOAK157016569713947210%1.120.0%6.8%13.2%3.0%4.274.27+2.2
ROS28MLBOAK303133100%1.020.0%6.8%13.2%3.0%4.274.27+0.0
2026 TOT28MLBOAK207886174642419.7%7.2%12.4%2.7%4.494.21+2.9
2026 FULL28MLBOAK31431020.0%6.8%13.2%3.0%4.273.89+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBOAK25251586651334721100%6.320.0%7.1%12.9%3.1%4.354.40+1.8
202830MLBOAK23231486251234621100%6.419.8%7.4%12.3%3.3%4.484.57+1.4
202931MLBOAK22221385831134521100%6.319.5%7.8%11.7%3.5%4.644.75+1.0
203032MLBOAK20201285391034420100%6.419.1%8.2%10.9%3.8%4.834.97+0.6
203133MLBOAK1818117495924320100%6.518.6%8.6%9.9%4.0%5.065.22+0.2
203234MLBOAK1717107451814120100%6.318.0%9.1%8.9%4.3%5.325.49-0.1
202729MLBOAK884920741156100%6.120.0%7.1%12.9%3.1%4.354.40+0.1
202830MLBOAK121276321632411100%6.319.8%7.4%12.3%3.3%4.484.57+0.3
202931MLBOAK141490380743013100%6.419.5%7.8%11.7%3.5%4.644.75+0.5
203032MLBOAK151595401763315100%6.319.1%8.2%10.9%3.8%4.834.97+0.4
203133MLBOAK151595401743516100%6.318.6%8.6%9.9%4.0%5.065.22+0.1
203234MLBOAK131382346623215100%6.318.0%9.1%8.9%4.3%5.325.49-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career797649020703951687796%6.219.1%8.1%11.0%3.7%4.814.56+4.8
/ 200 IP3231200844161693196%6.219.1%8.1%11.0%3.7%4.814.56+2.0
Career234163983419861030213070%4.214.5%7.2%7.3%3.1%4.274.49+10.5
/ 200 IP4833200854124612670%4.214.5%7.2%7.3%3.1%4.274.49+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Domingo Robles (OGILVIE) 4.27 20.0%6.8%3.0% 4.57 19.7%12.3%444 +0.30
Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.07 FIP 28 SW 4.07 20.0%4.8%3.7%.289 4.33 20.8%16.1%173 +0.26 4.07 424 74
Eric Wooten L 2023 · 4.16 FIP 25 SP- 4.16 14.6%7.5%2.5%.316 4.16 116 71
Yohan Flande L 2027 · 4.45 FIP 29 SP- 4.45 12.9%5.5%3.2%.289 3.24 15.1%8.4%172 -1.21 3.16 335 71
James Gillheeney L 2025 · 3.80 FIP 27 SP- 3.80 14.4%8.0%1.6%.300 3.80 129 71
Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 71
Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 4.29 FIP 28 SP- 4.29 18.2%6.7%3.4%.308 5.15 16.4%7.1%68 +0.86 4.29 182 70
John Anderson L 2025 · 4.02 FIP 27 SP- 4.02 14.3%8.7%1.9%.367 4.02 235 68
Jared Koenig L 2026 · 3.97 FIP 28 SP- 3.97 18.1%7.4%2.6%.308 3.37 23.7%15.5%187 -0.60 2.86 455 68
Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.87 FIP 27 SP 3.87 18.0%8.4%2.2%.304 4.45 23.7%14.7%42 +0.58 3.39 291 68
Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.36 FIP 31 SP- 4.36 13.9%7.6%2.7%.324 4.36 103 68
Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 28 SP- 3.88 16.3%6.3%2.5%.304 4.60 17.8%9.9%178 +0.72 3.88 523 67
Greg Smith L 2029 · 3.36 FIP 31 SP- 3.36 11.8%5.3%1.1%.284 3.36 120 66
Phil Pfeifer L 2025 · 3.74 FIP 27 SP- 3.74 21.9%8.5%2.6%.298 5.80 19.5%4.7%35 +2.06 3.58 307 66
Chipper Smith L 2023 · 3.83 FIP 25 SP- 3.83 15.6%9.5%1.5%.321 3.83 109 65
Wade LeBlanc L 2029 · 3.53 FIP 31 SP- 3.53 20.3%5.3%2.7%.289 4.64 18.7%13.0%351 +1.11 3.53 609 64
Pat Dean L 2025 · 4.72 FIP 27 SP- 4.72 13.5%6.1%3.6%.338 6.52 11.8%5.8%91 +1.80 3.68 424 64
Jeff Locke L 2026 · 4.58 FIP 28 SP- 4.58 12.9%7.1%3.0%.309 4.18 17.1%9.2%32 -0.40 3.71 328 64
Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 28 SW 4.62 19.4%8.9%3.7%.341 4.44 18.8%11.4%57 -0.18 3.47 393 63
Jeffry Antigua L 2023 · 4.65 FIP 25 SP- 4.65 11.4%8.6%2.6%.271 4.65 133 63
Jo-Jo Reyes L 2028 · 3.53 FIP 30 SP 3.53 14.9%6.4%1.6%.326 3.42 16.3%10.7%90 -0.11 3.06 240 63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION713719.4%7.7%1.364.66
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)613421.4%7.7%1.464.45
Félix Hernández ('19)513420.0%8.1%1.394.48
Matt Harvey ('21)612019.2%6.8%1.334.98
Aníbal Sánchez ('22)712020.4%7.8%1.564.80
Tanner Roark ('20)614919.8%7.6%1.244.19
Marco Estrada ('19)514219.6%8.3%1.444.33