Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 15 | 15 | 68 | 295 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 10.1% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 4.36 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 15 | 15 | 68 | 295 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 3.95 | 3.45 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 9 | 5 | 36 | 152 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 56% | 4.0 | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.35 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 9 | 5 | 36 | 152 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 56% | 4.0 | 11.8% | 2.6% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 4.25 | 3.52 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 14 | 14 | 69 | 303 | 51 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 4.83 | 4.24 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 14 | 14 | 69 | 303 | 51 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.8% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 1.7% | 4.83 | 3.26 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 143 | 608 | 107 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 3.33 | 3.66 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 143 | 608 | 107 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 1.5% | 3.33 | 3.18 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 165 | 684 | 124 | 36 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.49 | 5.28 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 165 | 684 | 124 | 36 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.1% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 3.49 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 23 | 21 | 92 | 411 | 78 | 24 | 18 | 91% | 4.0 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.09 | 5.56 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 23 | 21 | 92 | 411 | 78 | 24 | 18 | 91% | 4.0 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 6.09 | 4.74 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 30 | 10 | 110 | 495 | 70 | 42 | 12 | 33% | 3.7 | 11.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.14 | 4.72 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 30 | 10 | 110 | 495 | 70 | 42 | 12 | 33% | 3.7 | 14.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 6.14 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 129 | 546 | 131 | 38 | 10 | 92% | 5.0 | 19.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 3.91 | 4.37 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 129 | 546 | 131 | 38 | 10 | 92% | 5.0 | 24.0% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 1.8% | 3.91 | 2.96 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 14 | 87 | 340 | 91 | 24 | 7 | 64% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 2.91 | 3.89 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 14 | 87 | 340 | 91 | 24 | 7 | 64% | 3.9 | 26.8% | 7.1% | 19.7% | 2.1% | 2.91 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 5 | 42 | 175 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 36% | 3.0 | 15.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.04 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 5 | 42 | 175 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 36% | 3.0 | 21.7% | 5.7% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 4.04 | 3.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 27 | 1 | 42 | 189 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 4% | 1.6 | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 5.36 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | OAK | 157 | 0 | 165 | 697 | 139 | 47 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +2.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 207 | 886 | 174 | 64 | 24 | — | — | 19.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 4.49 | 4.21 | +2.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 3.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 25 | 25 | 158 | 665 | 133 | 47 | 21 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.40 | +1.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 23 | 148 | 625 | 123 | 46 | 21 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.8% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 22 | 138 | 583 | 113 | 45 | 21 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.75 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 128 | 539 | 103 | 44 | 20 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 4.97 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 117 | 495 | 92 | 43 | 20 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 5.22 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 107 | 451 | 81 | 41 | 20 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 5.32 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 76 | 321 | 63 | 24 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.8% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 90 | 380 | 74 | 30 | 13 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.75 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 95 | 401 | 76 | 33 | 15 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 4.97 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 95 | 401 | 74 | 35 | 16 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 5.22 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 82 | 346 | 62 | 32 | 15 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 5.32 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 76 | 490 | 2070 | 395 | 168 | 77 | 96% | 6.2 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.56 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 161 | 69 | 31 | 96% | 6.2 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 234 | 163 | 983 | 4198 | 610 | 302 | 130 | 70% | 4.2 | 14.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 4.49 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 33 | 200 | 854 | 124 | 61 | 26 | 70% | 4.2 | 14.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Domingo Robles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.27 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.57 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 444 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.07 | 20.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .289 | 4.33 | 20.8% | 16.1% | 173 | +0.26 | 4.07 | 424 | 74 |
| Eric Wooten L 2023 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 71 |
| Yohan Flande L 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.45 | 12.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.24 | 15.1% | 8.4% | 172 | -1.21 | 3.16 | 335 | 71 |
| James Gillheeney L 2025 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 71 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.29 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .308 | 5.15 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 68 | +0.86 | 4.29 | 182 | 70 |
| John Anderson L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 235 | 68 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.97 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .308 | 3.37 | 23.7% | 15.5% | 187 | -0.60 | 2.86 | 455 | 68 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 68 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 68 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.88 | 16.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | .304 | 4.60 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 178 | +0.72 | 3.88 | 523 | 67 |
| Greg Smith L 2029 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.36 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 120 | 66 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.74 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .298 | 5.80 | 19.5% | 4.7% | 35 | +2.06 | 3.58 | 307 | 66 |
| Chipper Smith L 2023 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 65 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2029 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.53 | 20.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.64 | 18.7% | 13.0% | 351 | +1.11 | 3.53 | 609 | 64 |
| Pat Dean L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.72 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | .338 | 6.52 | 11.8% | 5.8% | 91 | +1.80 | 3.68 | 424 | 64 |
| Jeff Locke L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.58 | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .309 | 4.18 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 32 | -0.40 | 3.71 | 328 | 64 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 63 |
| Jeffry Antigua L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.65 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 133 | 63 |
| Jo-Jo Reyes L 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.53 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .326 | 3.42 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 90 | -0.11 | 3.06 | 240 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 137 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 1.36 | 4.66 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Matt Harvey ('21) | 6 | 120 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 1.33 | 4.98 |
| Aníbal Sánchez ('22) | 7 | 120 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 1.56 | 4.80 |
| Tanner Roark ('20) | 6 | 149 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 1.24 | 4.19 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |