José Suarez

P Athletics

Age 29 LHP 5'10" / 225 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	33	14	105	6.28	4.22	24.3%	9.1%	0.4	K 22.5% · BB 8.7% · FIP 4.48
2025	27	MIX4 levels	20	12	81	3.11	3.06	25.6%	6.3%	1.8	K 22.0% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.64
2026	28	MLBOAK	45	2	61	5.87	3.65	22.0%	9.4%	0.7
2027PROJ	29	MLBOAK	10	10	61	4.41	4.22	21.9%	8.7%	0.5
2028PROJ	30	MLBOAK	9	9	57	4.42	4.43	21.2%	9.0%	0.3
2029PROJ	31	MLBOAK	9	9	53	4.56	4.66	20.4%	9.4%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%59

K%49

xwOBA vs45

FB Velo25

CompsDanny Wirchansky (age 27) · Hector Hernandez (age 28) · Chris O'Grady (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96104vR 112

ERA4.41

FIP4.22

K%21.9%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%13.2%

Proj IP61

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2592.7

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p4922.0%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

CH+1.0 (24%)

SL+0.9 (29%)

SI (10%)

FB-1.7 (46%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	15	13	73	303	46	12	0	87%	4.8	10.3%	5.0%	5.4%	0.0%	2.97	2.86	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	15	13	73	303	46	12	0	87%	4.8	15.2%	4.0%	11.2%	0.0%	2.97	2.33	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	12	6	45	201	53	14	1	50%	3.7	17.9%	8.7%	9.2%	0.7%	4.84	3.07	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	12	6	45	201	53	14	1	50%	3.7	26.4%	7.0%	19.4%	0.5%	4.84	1.96	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	69	277	90	22	8	100%	4.6	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.5%	3.28	4.21	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	69	277	90	22	8	100%	4.6	32.5%	7.9%	24.5%	2.9%	3.28	2.95	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	26	117	507	142	43	5	100%	4.5	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	1.2%	3.92	3.07	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	26	117	507	142	43	5	100%	4.5	28.0%	8.5%	19.5%	1.0%	3.92	2.33	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	113	513	103	49	26	81%	4.4	19.4%	9.7%	9.6%	5.0%	6.11	5.44	-0.7
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	21	113	513	103	49	26	81%	4.4	20.1%	9.6%	10.5%	5.1%	6.11	5.56	-0.8
2020	22	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	2	2	2	23	2	5	1	100%	1.2	8.7%	21.7%	-13.0%	4.3%	38.57	7.51	-0.1
2020	22	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	2	2	2	23	2	5	1	100%	1.2	8.7%	21.7%	-13.0%	4.3%	38.57	13.39	-0.2
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	16	104	440	89	36	11	64%	4.2	20.6%	8.5%	12.1%	2.6%	3.62	3.87	+1.3
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	16	104	440	89	36	11	64%	4.2	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.5%	3.62	3.80	+1.4
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	126	539	120	39	17	88%	4.8	21.9%	7.3%	14.6%	3.2%	4.58	3.92	+1.5
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	126	539	120	39	17	88%	4.8	22.3%	7.2%	15.0%	3.2%	4.58	3.88	+1.5
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	37	182	32	21	10	69%	2.8	17.0%	11.5%	5.5%	5.9%	7.78	6.39	-0.6
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	37	182	32	21	10	69%	2.8	17.6%	11.5%	6.0%	5.5%	7.78	6.59	-0.7
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	22.5%	8.7%	13.8%	4.0%	6.28	4.48	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	22.5%	8.7%	13.8%	4.0%	6.28	4.48	+0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	24.3%	9.1%	15.3%	3.5%	6.28	4.22	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	22.0%	6.3%	15.7%	2.9%	3.11	3.64	+1.2
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	22.0%	6.3%	15.7%	2.9%	3.11	3.64	+1.2
2025	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	25.6%	6.3%	19.3%	2.4%	3.11	3.06	+1.8
2026	28	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.65	+0.7
2026	28	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.65	+0.7
2026	28	MLB RAW	Athletics	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.65	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			151	64	457	2036	423	184	73	42%	3.0	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	3.6%	5.37	4.53	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	OAK	10	10	61	258	56	22	7	100%	6.1	21.9%	8.7%	13.2%	2.7%	4.41	4.22	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	57	242	51	22	7	100%	6.4	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.43	+0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	53	225	46	21	7	100%	5.9	20.4%	9.4%	11.1%	3.1%	4.56	4.66	+0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	9	9	57	241	51	22	7	100%	6.3	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.43	+0.3
2029	31	MLB CTX	OAK	9	9	53	224	46	21	7	100%	5.9	20.4%	9.4%	11.1%	3.1%	4.56	4.66	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	82	568	2503	520	227	87	49%	3.4	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.5%	5.20	4.40	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		60	29	200	881	183	80	31	49%	3.4	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.5%	5.20	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		258	159	933	4079	831	349	118	62%	3.6	20.4%	8.5%	11.8%	2.9%	4.73	4.06	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	34	200	875	178	75	25	62%	3.6	20.4%	8.5%	11.8%	2.9%	4.73	4.06	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	21.9%	8.7%	2.7%	—	4.54	20.8%	11.6%	110	+0.32	—	—	—
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	68
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	67
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	66
Scott Downs L 2005 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	18.4%	8.4%	2.9%	.283	3.29	20.5%	12.9%	206	-0.93	2.68	748	65
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	295	64
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	64
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	64
Mike Montgomery L 2018 · 3.64 FIP	29	SP-	3.64	16.1%	6.6%	1.9%	.300	5.22	17.4%	8.6%	108	+1.58	3.43	764	63
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	63
Tommy Phelps L 2003 · 3.39 FIP	29	SW	3.39	15.6%	8.0%	1.1%	.322	4.47	16.9%	8.9%	57	+1.08	3.39	120	63
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	63
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	62
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	61
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	61
Kyle Hart L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	29	SW	5.24	17.4%	9.9%	4.3%	.286	4.29	18.4%	9.5%	196	-0.95	3.60	886	61
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	61
Tom Gorzelanny L 2011 · 3.94 FIP	29	SP-	3.94	21.3%	6.3%	3.4%	.282	3.69	22.2%	13.4%	178	-0.25	2.67	899	60
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	60
Roenis Elías L 2018 · 3.15 FIP	29	SW	3.15	17.8%	8.4%	0.9%	.275	4.80	21.8%	13.9%	50	+1.65	3.15	728	59
Duane Below L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	29	SW	3.63	12.5%	3.7%	2.0%	.266	4.57	14.7%	9.6%	140	+0.94	3.63	265	59

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	70	20.9%	9.3%	1.32	5.12
Jorge López ('25)	2.8	70	19.8%	8.8%	1.36	5.31
Brian Matusz ('16)	2.6	76	19.8%	8.7%	1.34	4.92
Frank Wills ('83-'91, -1 WAR*)	2.2	62	20.5%*	10.2%*	1.27*	5.30*
John Boozer ('62-'69, -2 WAR*)	2.0	66	21.1%*	9.0%*	1.46*	5.15*
John Strohmayer ('70-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.6	78	19.6%*	9.2%*	1.42*	5.14*
Esmil Rogers ('15)	2.3	76	18.8%	8.8%	1.19	5.59