Alan Rangel
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2027
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
xFIP1.19
SIERA0.99
K%22.0%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%13.7%
IP102
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†5055
FB+0.7 (39%)
SL (11%)
CU (18%)
CH (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | GCL Braves | 14 | 1 | 26 | 116 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 6.31 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 12 | 9 | 47 | 189 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 16.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 3.32 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 15 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 48 | 14 | 5 | 11.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.46 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Rome Braves | 25 | 22 | 125 | 533 | 105 | 31 | 12 | 14.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.09 | 4.52 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | 28 | 24 | 132 | 581 | 121 | 46 | 10 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.38 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 22 | 21 | 105 | 425 | 136 | 26 | 11 | 25.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.87 | 4.01 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 27 | 27 | 118 | 526 | 144 | 52 | 15 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 5.28 | 4.66 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 26 | 25 | 127 | 548 | 140 | 50 | 18 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 4.61 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 18 | 13 | 57 | 227 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.77 | 4.10 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 30 | 25 | 136 | 576 | 139 | 46 | 30 | 21.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.38 | 5.76 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 4 | 4 | 22 | 88 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 3.09 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 41 | — | 41 | 171 | 38 | 13 | 8 | 22.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 62 | 259 | 56 | 23 | 8 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 92 | 32 | 19 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.09 | 5.11 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 96 | 406 | 88 | 32 | 18 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.07 | 5.11 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 93 | 392 | 84 | 31 | 18 | 21.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.09 | 5.14 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 89 | 376 | 80 | 31 | 17 | 21.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 5.15 | 5.20 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 85 | 359 | 75 | 30 | 17 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.24 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.34 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 71 | 25 | 16 | 22.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.29 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 65 | 25 | 15 | 21.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.35 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 221 | 184 | 964 | 4108 | 776 | 344 | 157 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 4.37 | 4.66 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 38 | 200 | 852 | 161 | 71 | 33 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 4.37 | 4.66 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alan Rangel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 22.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | — | 5.12 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 288 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 86 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 84 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 158 | 81 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.61 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | .350 | 5.75 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 77 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.14 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | .311 | 6.15 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.01 | 3.40 | 258 | 76 |
| Rob Wooten R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.91 | 19.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | .299 | 3.86 | 17.7% | 14.4% | 111 | -1.05 | 3.19 | 191 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 76 |
| Erik Goeddel R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.54 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | .296 | 3.43 | 28.4% | 17.4% | 37 | -2.11 | 2.02 | 193 | 76 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.78 | 18.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | .357 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 167 | 76 |
| Ryan Thompson R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.35 | 20.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .316 | 3.06 | 23.3% | 16.4% | 129 | -1.29 | 2.72 | 472 | 75 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 25.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 179 | 75 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.30 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | .248 | 3.57 | 22.6% | 12.4% | 27 | -1.73 | 3.57 | 157 | 75 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.03 | 21.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | .268 | 4.49 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 62 | -0.54 | 4.12 | 230 | 74 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.21 | 19.2% | 10.5% | 4.4% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 174 | 74 |
| Paul Sewald R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.30 | 30.7% | 24.2% | 135 | -0.71 | 2.72 | 558 | 73 |
| Cory Mazzoni R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 18.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.78 | 101 | 73 |
| Trevor Bettencourt R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.47 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | .280 | 3.82 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 58 | -1.65 | 2.49 | 170 | 73 |
| Tommy Eveld R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | .234 | 3.45 | 22.6% | 16.6% | 29 | -1.47 | 2.07 | 258 | 73 |
| Ryan Dull R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.26 | 25.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | .315 | 4.93 | 23.5% | 15.2% | 98 | +0.67 | 3.11 | 345 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.