Eric Stout prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eric Stout P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 33 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 125

ERA4.72

FIP4.81

K%21.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP54

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p6227.1%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p310.334

SL-1.6

FB-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	1	40	159	25	7	2	5%	2.0	9.4%	6.0%	3.4%	2.0%	3.15	4.16	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	1	40	159	25	7	2	5%	2.0	15.7%	4.4%	11.3%	1.3%	3.15	3.02	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	42	0	72	299	69	24	3	0%	1.7	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	1.2%	3.86	3.32	—
2016	23	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	42	0	72	299	69	24	3	0%	1.7	23.1%	8.0%	15.1%	1.0%	3.86	2.73	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	45	1	69	292	56	27	4	2%	1.5	16.9%	9.7%	7.2%	1.6%	2.99	3.77	—
2017	24	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	45	1	69	292	56	27	4	2%	1.5	19.2%	9.2%	9.9%	1.4%	2.99	3.40	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	57	264	46	14	7	5%	1.4	15.6%	5.1%	10.5%	2.0%	5.49	3.53	+0.7
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	2	57	264	46	14	7	5%	1.4	17.4%	5.3%	12.1%	2.7%	5.49	3.82	+0.5
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	9	62	288	54	37	15	43%	3.0	16.3%	13.8%	2.5%	6.1%	6.06	6.84	—
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	9	62	288	54	37	15	43%	3.0	18.8%	12.8%	5.9%	5.2%	6.06	6.28	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	7	4	18	92	21	18	6	57%	2.5	20.1%	20.5%	-0.5%	8.1%	10.19	8.45	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	7	4	18	92	21	18	6	57%	2.5	22.8%	19.6%	3.3%	6.5%	10.19	8.19	—
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	65	297	88	44	6	2%	1.4	27.1%	15.3%	11.8%	2.2%	3.86	3.95	+0.5
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	65	297	88	44	6	2%	1.4	29.6%	14.8%	14.8%	2.0%	3.86	3.62	+0.7
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	21	4	41	182	44	21	3	19%	1.9	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	1.6%	4.20	3.52	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	21	4	41	182	44	21	3	19%	1.9	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	1.6%	4.20	3.52	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	21	4	41	182	44	21	3	19%	1.9	24.2%	11.5%	12.6%	1.6%	4.20	3.44	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	0	25	126	27	17	4	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.9%	3.2%	7.30	5.09	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.9%	11.7%	10.1%	3.1%	4.72	4.81	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SEA	46	0	49	206	43	25	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	3.4%	4.91	5.07	-0.3
2028	35	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	44	185	38	23	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.7%	5.15	5.35	-0.4
2027	34	MLB CTX	SEA	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	3.4%	4.91	5.07	-0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.7%	5.15	5.35	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		26	0	28	139	30	19	4	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.4%	8.0%	3.2%	7.03	4.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	1002	216	137	29	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.4%	8.0%	3.2%	7.03	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		244	22	425	1873	345	201	51	9%	1.7	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	2.7%	4.49	4.41	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	10	200	881	162	94	24	9%	1.7	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	2.7%	4.49	4.41	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Stout (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	21.9%	11.7%	3.1%	—	5.20	20.7%	8.6%	92	+0.39	—	—	—
Brandon Mann L 2017 · 4.24 FIP	33	SU	4.24	19.8%	11.3%	2.5%	.286	3.59	17.8%	6.4%	52	-0.65	3.59	190	83
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	79
Doug Creek L 2002 · 4.99 FIP	33	SU	4.99	21.4%	12.6%	3.8%	.288	5.79	17.1%	7.9%	36	+0.80	4.48	277	76
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	76
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	74
Kelly Wunsch L 2005 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	21.0%	11.4%	1.9%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	175	73
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	72
Hideki Okajima L 2009 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	20.5%	7.0%	3.1%	.268	4.27	15.5%	8.5%	46	+0.32	3.05	238	71
Ryan Sherriff L 2023 · 3.78 FIP	33	SU	3.78	21.9%	11.0%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	245	71
Brian Moran L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	21.7%	7.0%	3.7%	.304	3.72	21.5%	14.5%	152	-0.48	1.80	421	71
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	69
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	68
Scott Sauerbeck L 2005 · 3.75 FIP	33	SU	3.75	22.3%	8.9%	2.5%	.298	5.05	14.0%	0.0%	25	+1.30	2.79	386	68
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	67
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	65
Tom Martin L 2003 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	24.3%	9.5%	2.9%	.226	3.99	16.2%	8.6%	106	+0.17	3.40	303	65
Grant Dayton L 2021 · 4.00 FIP	33	SU	4.00	23.0%	8.2%	3.3%	.325	3.80	23.2%	13.5%	49	-0.20	1.63	277	64
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	64
Colt Hynes L 2017 · 3.75 FIP	32	SW	3.75	14.1%	4.6%	2.3%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	169	63
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.00	625	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	43	21.2%	12.4%	1.29	5.26
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68